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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #160,901
  • Feb 16, 2009 10:37pm Feb 16, 2009 10:37pm
Quoting malcolmb14
soomething going on

did you see move in EU in Asia !!!! very unusual

also when was the last time Uj moved 100 pips straight up in Asian session ?

this smells of intervention .. or at least market test by big player ... and very liekly BOJ
sounds like a mix off bloomberg spreading its legs wide open
  • #160,902
  • Feb 16, 2009 10:43pm Feb 16, 2009 10:43pm
Quoting danryman78
hi malcolmb14
I usually follow your comments . but do not write in this site . so what s your idea ? you mean market is preparing to fall or continue to upside ?

no idea ......

I still see s&p breaking down this week.

if this happens gj should break to downside ..... BOJ intervention or not.

I htink we all have to wait and see what cooks in the next US session . This will give us a better picture of the next fews days.

The only thing to watch out for tomorrow is if the drop in ES is just a market test ( meaning test of the lows) .... she could bounce hard if there are no real sellers.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #160,903
  • Feb 16, 2009 10:43pm Feb 16, 2009 10:43pm
If it is intervention i am very surprised that they chose to do it at such elevated levels. Last time they did this the UJ was down sub 80
  • #160,904
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:04pm Feb 16, 2009 11:04pm
Hi

Nice surprise on early asian session

eu down
uj up
uc up

moreover with this $ strength gold and silver is moved up too hmm ?

Anyway BoJ intervention or not we are just above ema 14(91.05) and now ema50(91.50) on daily so as long as price stay above them we got uptrend.
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  • #160,905
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:13pm Feb 16, 2009 11:13pm
I just want to note that I'm not necessarily convinced we have intervention. My opinion on UJ is based more on the state of their economy.

B
  • #160,906
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:16pm Feb 16, 2009 11:16pm
Quoting bigcoupe
I just want to note that I'm not necessarily convinced we have intervention. My opinion on UJ is based more on the state of their economy.

B

so who moved the eu by 160 .... and uj by 100 in asia .... the smurf's ???? lol

might not be real intervention ... just a test missile....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #160,907
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:22pm Feb 16, 2009 11:22pm
Quoting malcolmb14
so who moved the eu by 160 .... and uj by 100 in asia .... the smurf's ???? lol

might not be real intervention ... just a test missile....
That move on Gold was also too crazy to believe.

$16 jump in Asian session WTF????

On one hand you have high yield carries forced back into play
simultaneously, the defensive, inflation shielding Gold also jumps.

something isn't quite right.
  • #160,908
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:27pm Feb 16, 2009 11:27pm
Quoting Eulogy
That move on Gold was also too crazy to believe.

$16 jump in Asian session WTF????

On one hand you have high yield carries forced back into play
simultaneously, the defensive, inflation shielding Gold also jumps.

something isn't quite right.

something brewing ......

cannot put finger on it yet ....

$16 move in gold in Asia ...... that is very odd.

oh i know ....... tomorrow they announce the Amero .....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #160,909
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:29pm Feb 16, 2009 11:29pm
15 min PA rounded top and rsax rolling over..... but for some reason not trusting market .. took a little sell off 131.50 . (50 % daily fib pivot right there) and breathed a sigh of relief when I moved stop BE +1

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  • #160,910
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:30pm Feb 16, 2009 11:30pm
Quoting Eulogy
That move on Gold was also too crazy to believe.

$16 jump in Asian session WTF????

On one hand you have high yield carries forced back into play
simultaneously, the defensive, inflation shielding Gold also jumps.

something isn't quite right.
I smell market tankage tomorrow ..... might be very wrong .... but all the signs are there
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #160,911
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:37pm Feb 16, 2009 11:37pm
Quoting malcolmb14
I smell market tankage tomorrow ..... might be very wrong .... but all the signs are there
With Gold spooned up that high, UJ/UChf spiking so unexpectedly and the GJ as of yet failing to close that window on the 2nd day, I'm gonna have to agree with you. This market bears the smell of manipulation.

NB. The Euro/Oceanic pairs i'm looking at are also at elevated levels, levels which usually reflect when the market is in highly stressed times and tankage is, if not in progress, then just on the horizon.
  • #160,912
  • Feb 16, 2009 11:52pm Feb 16, 2009 11:52pm
Quoting malcolmb14
I smell market tankage tomorrow ..... might be very wrong .... but all the signs are there
any chance of getting some tanking tonight during london?
  • #160,913
  • Feb 17, 2009 12:01am Feb 17, 2009 12:01am
By default JPY will stronger and at the same time their economic in the way of become worsen like US Q4'08-Q1'09...

Am predicted UJ and GY will going up back to 100 and 150 level caaordingly as what happen in JPY right now. The impact may seen in some where around end Q1'09 to early of Q2'09.

Why?

1. Inventory got stuck with higher JPY curriencies which at the mean time world had recessionary time. No buying power for the goods especially from JPY as there have plentry of stock right now.

2. So JPY inventory become buffer and at the same they are hit by higher currentcies vs Dollar and at mean time JPY product already goes to the world market especially US. With higher Yen the return to JPY will become smaller. So no input mean no process due to higer buffer of stock.It also mean no production and higher jobless rate.

By this 2 scenerio, definetely JPY GDP vs export/import now become worsen in JPY and am expected the inflanationary also will be increase for 2-3 month from now.

So,

Starting by March to Q3'09..we may seen the weaken of JPY compared to others curriencies and it will show slighly higher of dollar supporting by stimulas plan.

Opportunies may come for this period of time lol....and the lowest of 118 for GPY already end.....no IMHO I believe till end Q3'09 but am may be wrong..

Need other comment on this...
  • #160,914
  • Feb 17, 2009 12:13am Feb 17, 2009 12:13am
Quoting grashid
By default JPY will stronger and at the same time their economic in the way of become worsen like US Q4'08-Q1'09...

Am predicted UJ and GY will going up back to 100 and 150 level caaordingly as what happen in JPY right now. The impact may seen in some where around end Q1'09 to early of Q2'09.

Why?

1. Inventory got stuck with higher JPY curriencies which at the mean time world had recessionary time. No buying power for the goods especially from JPY as there have plentry of stock right now.

2. So JPY inventory become buffer and at the same...
So it means it will not go lower then 91.30. I mean the UJ because that is my entry point..
  • #160,915
  • Feb 17, 2009 12:26am Feb 17, 2009 12:26am
Quoting amar747
So it means it will not go lower then 91.30. I mean the UJ because that is my entry point..
  • #160,916
  • Feb 17, 2009 12:27am Feb 17, 2009 12:27am
well its getting close
either we break the descending red fork and go up while staying within the orange upfork or by breaking it (retracing) then goin up ===== either way we go up

or

we go down to blue fork and bounce from there and continue up

or

we break the blue fork and we can be on our way to new lows

my first sign is a failure to break the red fork and a break of the orange fork
then we go down towards 129.50/130 i dont like exact numbers so somewhere over there
after that its either up for a while or down for a while
so wll see
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  • #160,917
  • Feb 17, 2009 1:22am Feb 17, 2009 1:22am
dp is 130.72 on action forex. a close below this i'll short. any confirm.?
  • #160,918
  • Feb 17, 2009 1:38am Feb 17, 2009 1:38am
Not trusting this PA at all.
I smell a trap.
  • #160,919
  • Feb 17, 2009 1:43am Feb 17, 2009 1:43am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Not trusting this PA at all.
I smell a trap.

yup ive been skeptical all night havent done anything, thinking of waiting for NY to see whats going on.

malcolmb pointed out earlier the 130.400 level and it looks like its going to hold again if it does i think upmove to 132 is in the cards? waiting to see i think only move would be to short the up move
  • #160,920
  • Feb 17, 2009 3:09am Feb 17, 2009 3:09am
Its so scary looking GJ in lower timeframe right now, so many spike and fast movement. GJ playing in Monthly Pivot.
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