DislikedI don't subscribe to the theory that any market is entirely random...Ignored
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,616 Posts
PROFITABLE TRADERS ARE NOT LUCKY BUT ARE WELL PREPARED
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DislikedI don't subscribe to the theory that any market is entirely random...Ignored
QuoteDislikedBy independent I mean for example choosen by cointoss, picked from different pairs randomly, picked in different period of time randomly, anything that is not the same pair in the same time etc...
QuoteDislikedI would bet everything that if god sold one contract of his favourite currency pair on every friday when weekly close was higher than weekly open, and vice versa for oposit conditions he would made a killing when closing all positions simultaneusly at the end of the world [if country that was currency owner didn't disappeared].
DislikedI would bet everything that if god sold one contract of his favourite currency pair
on every friday when weekly close was higher than weekly open, and vice versa for oposit conditions
he would made a killing when closing all positions simultaneusly at the end of the world
[if country that was currency owner didn't disappeared].
Ignored
DislikedIf you exclude a pair it isn't random anymore.
When all closing positions what? In what time frame? Give details.
You are giving the vaguest of arguments. I bet "God" could buy when weekly close
keeps getting lower and lower and still make money.Ignored
DislikedThe market is not random in the sense that every move is accounted for. i.e. sellers/buyers in control, x bought from/sold to y, yadda yadda. A transaction must have occurred for it to move.
The market is random in the sense that we simply cannot predict what people will do.Ignored
DislikedI really got excited when I realized I don't have to be right all the time or even half the time, instead I just have to be protected against being 'more wrong, ' and risk management does just that.Ignored
DislikedHi,
I wouldn't look so much at the "math" when trading - or trying to explain market behaviour. (except your position size relative to capital and risk)Ignored
Disliked
Second is enormous possible profit you ca obtain when trading second method it for eternity.
I've applied simple rule - when daily candle bigger than 20 pips up, you sell on closig price, if closing lower than open more than 20 pips you buy it.Ignored
Dislikedhi Kaligula:
1. I don't see any attachments
2. It seems you do not really believe in absolute randomness - because you apply rules to the market for enormous possible profitIgnored
DislikedHope springs eternal in the human breast.
When viewing the calendar, I'm drawn to threads like these like eyes are to a train wreck.
If you've found something too good to be true, ask yourself why Goldman Sachs doesn't do it. If you can't, it probably isn't them missing something.Ignored
DislikedI love these threads too. I'm interested in hearing that GS doesn't use a Buy-Low-Sell-High strategy. Please tell us more about how GS operates in the FX market.Ignored
DislikedI'm interested in hearing that GS doesn't use a Buy-Low-Sell-High strategy. Please tell us more about how GS operates in the FX market.Ignored
DislikedI did a quick modification to your spreadsheet to us High+Low vs High+Low of previous bar. Using the exact same sample data, I got a slightly less even distribution.
DD. DU. UD. UU.
596 415 415 619
DDD DDU DUD DUU UDD UDU UUD UUU
342 254 149 266 256 159 264 355
Hope this helps.Ignored