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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #160,021
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:11am Feb 12, 2009 11:11am
Quoting belekas
Not bad and yourself? I dont trade price action alone but from what i can say the pin is in traffic.
I felt a bit worry as H1 vs H4 with bouncing and D1 fail to cross and may not seeing new low....May think if she retrace daily pivot 130.24 @ 38.2% and may tend to go @ R1=131.36 or even higher 133 level...almost crazy lol....miss 80pips down just now....aiseh
  • #160,022
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:20am Feb 12, 2009 11:20am
Quoting pkimnyc


spot on.
I hope so ... because things look little scary right now. With this widening wedge to the down side, IF we see another low, I mean lower than today's low, then the story will change because 1.2704 will be violated and daily TL will break.

If EU falls this time and closes higher than today's low (1.2720) then everything will most probably be ok and we should wait for uptrend to start in coming weeks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 5M.jpg Size: 90 KB
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #160,023
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:21am Feb 12, 2009 11:21am
ES is above its open range high = bullish sentiment .. buyers off those lows. I think we will see that daily pivot test soon ..130.20

817.50 is the level to watch on ES. That is the OR high .. failure of that gj might drop other than that it is long into the daily pivot
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #160,024
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:50am Feb 12, 2009 11:50am
Price is close to the H4 gann ...,
If it went above ........,

this mean we will not see the 126.6 in this week ,

this is frustrating
  • #160,025
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:55am Feb 12, 2009 11:55am
Quoting arezab
I hope so ... because things look little scary right now. With this widening wedge to the down side, IF we see another low, I mean lower than today's low, then the story will change because 1.2704 will be violated and daily TL will break.

If EU falls this time and closes higher than today's low (1.2720) then everything will most probably be ok and we should wait for uptrend to start in coming weeks.
i'm expecting usd/chf will be in free fall mode shortly.
if that happens euro will rise. let's see how it plays out.
  • #160,026
  • Feb 12, 2009 11:59am Feb 12, 2009 11:59am
Quoting malcolmb14
I look at 15 min chart and the stack of the 14 wma . 4 and 8 sma

for example ...

today the 4 and 8 have been riding on top of the 14 wma all morning ..

]
Well thanks malcomb14 - you learn something new every day! Very interesting, presumably you use this as a part of a trigger for long/short when at the end of a range and final confirmation on crossover.

Thanks for that useful insight.
  • #160,027
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:04pm Feb 12, 2009 12:04pm
Quoting freed123
Price is close to the H4 gann ...,
If it went above ........,

this mean we will not see the 126.6 in this week ,

this is frustrating
Why? Do you have positions in red territory?
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #160,028
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:12pm Feb 12, 2009 12:12pm
Quoting arezab
Why? Do you have positions in red territory?
yes
arezab......,

Do you expect to see become a trend upwards,
is dropping the idea of a new low,
i'm Confused,
  • #160,029
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:13pm Feb 12, 2009 12:13pm
If my interpretation of ellio waves is correct, wave 3 of 3 down should have started now in geppy. can someone confirm?
  • #160,030
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:16pm Feb 12, 2009 12:16pm
Quoting Kurti
If my interpretation of ellio waves is correct, wave 3 of 3 down should have started now in geppy. can someone confirm?
which tf?
  • #160,031
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:23pm Feb 12, 2009 12:23pm
Did I label it correctly ? Thanks!

Oh I just saw I forgot the 2 and 4 ind the first wave
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #160,032
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:26pm Feb 12, 2009 12:26pm
Quoting Kurti
Did I label it correctly ? Thanks!

Oh I just saw I forgot the 2 and 4 ind the first wave
i wouldn't count it like that....
  • #160,033
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:26pm Feb 12, 2009 12:26pm
how would you count it?
  • #160,034
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:30pm Feb 12, 2009 12:30pm
Quoting freed123
yes
arezab......,

Do you expect to see become a trend upwards,
is dropping the idea of a new low,
i'm Confused,
I see this bear flag and that hidden divergence right now. I believe as long as we stay below that trend line, we will see another drop on flag break out to the down side to -Fib 100 area (127.30).

JMHO
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GJ flag.jpg Size: 122 KB
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #160,035
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:35pm Feb 12, 2009 12:35pm
maybe like this?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #160,036
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:37pm Feb 12, 2009 12:37pm
Quoting Kurti
how would you count it?
something like this? maybe?....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: geppy_1hr_02_11_09.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #160,037
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:37pm Feb 12, 2009 12:37pm
Quoting Kurti
maybe like this?
close.
  • #160,038
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:41pm Feb 12, 2009 12:41pm
thanks for the insight !
  • #160,039
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:42pm Feb 12, 2009 12:42pm
Quoting arezab
I see this bear flag and that hidden divergence right now. I believe as long as we stay below that trend line, we will see another drop on flag break out to the down side to -Fib 100 area (127.30).

JMHO

15 min moving averages shifted .. selling rallies now ...

ES dropped back into its open range and is drifting slowly lower.

Attached Image
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  • #160,040
  • Feb 12, 2009 12:46pm Feb 12, 2009 12:46pm
Quoting pkimnyc
close.
Closed all your gj shorts? Lol...I hope it can get back to 127.00 level then I will close all from there.
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