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New opportunities on EUR/USD market

  • #81
  • Feb 12, 2009 9:15am Feb 12, 2009 9:15am
Quoting Paul88
hello , Alex_S

base on volume to trading , that's interesting

and may i know which platform u are using?
For analysis and volumes data I use Volfix, and hope in nearest future get Bloomberg platform.For opening positions strategy runner and ninja trader.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #82
  • Feb 15, 2009 1:57pm Feb 15, 2009 1:57pm
The analysis.
Week from 09/02/09 - was quite volatile. Monday gained as it was supposed, and at level 1.3055 appeared large volumes (the maximum volume of day) - that has stopped sharp movement upward. Tuesday (volume 1.2967) gained from max volume of the contract to volume of Monday 1.3055. Wednesday (volume 1.2895), have opened below previous days - it went to volume of Tuesday and declined again to the contract price. Thursday (volume 1.2919) - under the contract and under volume of week + this day were important news.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #83
  • Feb 15, 2009 2:01pm Feb 15, 2009 2:01pm
What to expect from next week?
If Monday opens above volume of the contract and volume of previous week - 1.2885 (7423 lots) and will not go under these levels - is expected gaining movement, on a slide I have indicated zones of possible long positions on the next week. It is possible to open long position over 1.29 - as it is volume of week 19-01-09, position will possibly be hold to volume of Tuesday, because it is a resistance for market to gain, and from Tuesday 1.2967 to volume of Monday. Last week has generated a powerful platform of volumes from 1.2885 to 1.2845, because 3 days were trading in this price range (on a slide-Thursday, Wednesday and Friday).So next week we should trade from these levels. If Monday opens under contract price we will be in a sell-zone. It is possible to short under volume of Thursday-1.2819.

http://savepic.ru/419440.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #84
  • Feb 16, 2009 9:39am Feb 16, 2009 9:39am
Quoting Alex_S
Euro broke 1,281.That was a bottom.Nothing resist/
Why is this particular volume significant? Which important volume was accumulated here: day/week/etc? There was activity here last Thursday, but I don't understand why this volume would mark a "sell" zone below it. Thank you for all your instruction here. I am finding it very helpful.
  • #85
  • Feb 16, 2009 9:41am Feb 16, 2009 9:41am
Quoting Teiresias
Why is this particular volume significant? Which important volume was accumulated here: day/week/etc? There was activity here last Thursday, but I don't understand why this volume would mark a "sell" zone below it. Thank you for all your instruction here. I am finding it very helpful.
at least it is a resistance zone because the ones who put large volume would like to hold it to buy it back at a lower price... and if possible keep something to try to ride it further...
  • #86
  • Feb 16, 2009 10:58am Feb 16, 2009 10:58am
Quoting Teiresias
Why is this particular volume significant? Which important volume was accumulated here: day/week/etc? There was activity here last Thursday, but I don't understand why this volume would mark a "sell" zone below it. Thank you for all your instruction here. I am finding it very helpful.
There was strong declining movement few weeks ago, and then on Friday market stopped ot 1,281 and during next Monday and Tuesday there has been made volume of 6ooo lots- very big, from that volume market gained, it is actully bottom, two weeks closed at this price, couldn`t break it.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #87
  • Feb 18, 2009 2:22pm Feb 18, 2009 2:22pm
This week`s analysis:
We have huge volume accumulation during two weeks, as they were trading in the same price range:

http://savepic.ru/480717.png

This week(white chart) opened below these volumes, and rebounded from bottom volume at 1,281- nothing resisted for market to decline.Then during Tuesday and half of Wednesday at 1,261 was made very big volume of 6000 lots, that might have reversed the movement or pushed the market lower, on Wednesday market declined.Pay attention to very large volume that were made today- they will be base for tomorrow - max volumes of day at prices 1,2543 and 1,2525-1,2527 (more than 3000 lots).
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #88
  • Feb 20, 2009 3:32am Feb 20, 2009 3:32am
Alex

did u make some trade in thursday ??? Price in europen session nice broke level around 1,2605 up but did not retrace (" work off "as you said) and was stopped on volume of monday( just europe session) around 1,2758.Do you think was there ,during thursday, any nice "work off" signal ??? Thank
  • #89
  • Feb 20, 2009 12:37pm Feb 20, 2009 12:37pm
Hi Alex
Can you update us the volume levels for this big movement on friday?
  • #90
  • Feb 22, 2009 12:15pm Feb 22, 2009 12:15pm
Quoting kuky969
Alex

did u make some trade in thursday ??? Price in europen session nice broke level around 1,2605 up but did not retrace (" work off "as you said) and was stopped on volume of monday( just europe session) around 1,2758.Do you think was there ,during thursday, any nice "work off" signal ??? Thank
After strong gain at 1,2737 appeaped unnormal volume of more than 2000 lots per 1 hour.Next hour was an oppotunity to short.

http://savepic.ru/510254.png

http://savepic.ru/502062.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #91
  • Feb 22, 2009 12:25pm Feb 22, 2009 12:25pm
Quoting emda
Hi Alex
Can you update us the volume levels for this big movement on friday?
About Friday: very big movements on the market happens only after really large volume has been formed:
At 1,261 we had huge max volume of week - more than 7000 lots.
At 1,2675 we had large volume of previous day- Thursday, on the chart u see that market rebounded from each important price, that was a confirmation for us that gain will be big.
Max volume of week:

http://savepic.ru/486702.png

Max volume of Thursday:

http://savepic.ru/489774.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #92
  • Feb 22, 2009 12:34pm Feb 22, 2009 12:34pm
Intraday volumes of Friday:
During 9th hour (Chicago time) there was formed unnnormally big volume of 2000lots during one hour.After that hour finished we had max volume of this hour at the price 1,2621 and max volume of Friday by that time- 1,2623 and of course 1,261 max volume of week, these prices were base for trading, next hour rebounded from that prices and gained, u should have been very attentive at max volume of Thursday, but after market had broken it, came back and rebounded - market came without any problems to next large volume- max volume of contract 1,2845:

http://savepic.ru/480558.png

http://savepic.ru/460078.png

http://savepic.ru/466222.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #93
  • Feb 22, 2009 3:11pm Feb 22, 2009 3:11pm
Euro analysis for nest week:
Important levels:
Max volume of contract- 1,2845
Max volume of this week- 1,26 and 1,261

http://savepic.ru/489738.png

http://savepic.ru/490762.png

So we have 2 large volume accumulations:
(Depending on where market will open the logic of market behaviour is this)

http://savepic.ru/518437.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #94
  • Feb 25, 2009 1:19pm Feb 25, 2009 1:19pm
[quote=Alex_S;2556514]Intraday volumes of Friday: post num. 92
During 9th hour (Chicago time) there was formed unnnormally big volume of 2000lots during one hour.After that hour finished we had max volume of this hour at the price 1,2621 and max volume of Friday by that time- 1,2623 and of course 1,261 max volume of week, these prices were base for trading, next hour rebounded from that prices and gained, u should have been very attentive at max volume of Thursday, but after market had broken it, came back and rebounded - market came without any problems to next large volume- max volume of contract 1,2845:



Alex please I would like ask how do you know acording to cluster chart that price rebounded from 1,261 and what moment exactly you enter and trigger the trade.??? and why ??
  • #95
  • Mar 1, 2009 2:40pm Mar 1, 2009 2:40pm
Alex please I would like ask how do you know acording to cluster chart that price rebounded from 1,261 and what moment exactly you enter and trigger the trade.??? and why ??[/quote]

I see that price rebouned from 1,261 on the bar chart, not in the cluster chart, u may see it there too- in 10th hour, after forming of volume of 9th hour was finished.That is a very important principle, that one day trades from max volume of previous, week trades from max volumes of previous weeks and hour trades from max volume of previous.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #96
  • Mar 1, 2009 3:05pm Mar 1, 2009 3:05pm
After decline from max volume of contract 1,2845 situation on the market is next:

http://savepic.ru/506105.png

This week was a good example of accurate "workings off" weekly levels.
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #97
  • Mar 4, 2009 6:49pm Mar 4, 2009 6:49pm
Punks not dead!
Today`s euro)

http://savepic.ru/474180.png
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #98
  • Mar 4, 2009 9:03pm Mar 4, 2009 9:03pm
Quoting Alex_S
This thread is dedicated mostly to EUR/USD market.Here I will post in real-time mode large volumes and all important prices on this market.
Volumes I get from data from CME of euro futures market.As I mansioned in my previous topic, movements of Euro futures market and spot market EUR/USD are equal,
that means that we can understand nature of market behavior using volumes that are not aviable on EUR/USD.There will be no indicators and waves, only important volumes.

Is that from a bloomberg terminal????
  • #99
  • Mar 6, 2009 7:47am Mar 6, 2009 7:47am
Quoting fxterrapin
Is that from a bloomberg terminal????
no
skype: aleksey_trader
  • #100
  • Edited Mar 31, 2009 9:02pm Mar 6, 2009 7:49am | Edited Mar 31, 2009 9:02pm
Yesterday`s risky long.Gain happened after on the buttom appeared unusual volume 1212 lots for 15 min.Very large.Next 15 min rebounded from it.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 477311.jpg Size: 158 KB
skype: aleksey_trader
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