As expected, we saw the three wave move of retrace at the end of the past week in blue wave ii, as we discussed in the previous USD/CHF post. So, in past few sessions we saw a move through this significant 1.1300 resistance area which was the key for move to current highs. In the last bullish channel we can already count a clear five wave move in red iii), which means the pullbacks in wave iv) could be the case. But patiently; we have some mixed dollar signals at the moment; the Oil is still trading lower which is pulling the euro down and the swissy higher. Meantime the equities and gold are going higher which is dollar negative. So, for a better dollar picture we should take a look on the $ Index chart where we are seeing 30 pips range at 15 minute chart. So, we will se reaction on the Usd/Chf chart when the dollar index will move. Break higher on $ Index will make higher Usd/Chf; move lower on $ Index could be the key for red wave iv) retrace on our Usd/Chf chart which is attached bellow.
Joined Mar 2006
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Status: Trade the reaction not the news!
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BKX US Banking index sliced through upper fib support and now at a make or break point on lower fibs. Will it hold?? If it don't kiss your butt goodbye.