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Majors & Exotics [EUR / GBP / JPY / CAD / AUD]

  • #341
  • Jan 6, 2009 2:55am Jan 6, 2009 2:55am
Quoting BBPI_fxtrader
+680 pips on EURCAD, boy is currency pair sexy these days
Congrats...

The volatility is through the roof, indeed
  • #342
  • Jan 6, 2009 2:58am Jan 6, 2009 2:58am
Quoting preneur
Congrats...

The volatility is through the roof, indeed
thanks

boy did this baby fall. this is one of those sexy trades that occurs one time or a couple of times per month
Twitter: @forexpokerpro
  • #343
  • Jan 6, 2009 3:47am Jan 6, 2009 3:47am
Quoting BBPI_fxtrader
thanks

boy did this baby fall. this is one of those sexy trades that occurs one time or a couple of times per month

Nice catch; its really rare to see 600+ move in Cad. Since you feel comfortable with large moves, are you trading Gbp/Jpy?
  • #344
  • Jan 6, 2009 3:49am Jan 6, 2009 3:49am
Quoting preneur
Nice catch; its really rare to see 600+ move in Cad. Since you feel comfortable with large moves, are you trading Gbp/Jpy?
yes, i also trade GBPJPY, but at the moment i haven't got any positions open on gbpjpy. missed the move up from 133.ish
Twitter: @forexpokerpro
  • #345
  • Jan 6, 2009 5:17am Jan 6, 2009 5:17am
Episode 1: Day 2 - US OPEN, Jan 6

Short Term vs Long Term trading portfolios journal continues to the 2nd day.

The trending markets have been a joy to trade this week. Not surprisingly, both portfolios are doing extremely well.

Some bounces in AUD pairs are causing Short Term portfolio to pause. The Long Term portfolio has now caught up with the Short Term portfolio.

As i said yesterday, only a SINGLE day of up/down or range-bound market is enough for the Long Term portfolio to take the lead.

Below are the current states:

Short Term Portfolio: $13760 - Profit: +$3760
Long Term Portfolio: $13880 - Profit: +$3880

The Long Term Portfolio has taken the lead officially
  • #346
  • Jan 6, 2009 6:02am Jan 6, 2009 6:02am
Market Sentiment - US Open, Jan 6, '09


Pair ...............|........ Short Term Direction

Eur/Usd ...............................Down
Eur/Aud ...............................Down
Eur/Cad ...............................Down
Gbp/Usd...............................Down
Usd/Jpy..................................Up
Aud/Usd.................................Down


Medium/Long Term Market Sentiment

  • #347
  • Jan 6, 2009 1:04pm Jan 6, 2009 1:04pm
Episode 1: Day 2 - US Close, Jan 6

Short Term vs Long Term trading portfolios journal continues to the 2nd day.

The long term portfolio is performing rather immensely, and extending its lead. Short term portfolio has pulled back a little, by $200, during the US session bounces.
Below are the current states:

Short Term Portfolio: $13590 - Profit: +$3590
Long Term Portfolio: $15090 - Profit: +$5090

The Long Term Portfolio has almost doubled the short term portfolio.

Considering publishing some trade positions from the portfolios. Interesting comments appreciated
  • #348
  • Jan 7, 2009 1:57am Jan 7, 2009 1:57am
Episode 1: Day 3 - Jan 7

Short Term vs Long Term trading portfolios journal continues to the 3rd day.

The sharp reversals in the markets, in US session today, continues with the moves in Asia, hence giving back some gains.

Below are the current states:

Short Term Portfolio: $12150 - Profit: +$2150
Long Term Portfolio: $13700 - Profit: +$3700


Will publish the daily moves as well.
  • #349
  • Jan 7, 2009 2:31am Jan 7, 2009 2:31am
Episode 1: Track Book

Short Term:
Date..............Short T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$13338..................+$3338.................+$3338
Jan 6...................$13590..................+$252...................+$3590
Jan 7 (Pending).....$12150..................- $1440.................+$2150


Long Term:
Date..............Long T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$12895..................+$2895.................+$2895
Jan 6...................$15090..................+$2195.................+$5090
Jan 7 (Pending).....$13700..................- $1390.................+$3700
  • #350
  • Jan 7, 2009 4:36am Jan 7, 2009 4:36am
Market Sentiment - US Open, Jan 7, '09


Pair ...............|........ Short Term Direction

Eur/Usd ...............................Up
Eur/Aud ...............................Down
Eur/Cad ...............................Up
Gbp/Usd...............................Up
Usd/Jpy................................Down
Aud/Usd...............................Up


Medium/Long Term Market Sentiment

Attached Image
  • #351
  • Jan 7, 2009 2:23pm Jan 7, 2009 2:23pm
Episode 1: Track Book

US close, January 7 2009:

Short Term vs Long Term trading portfolios journal continues to the 3rd day.

US session saw a bounce of the Short Term Portfolio, as it took the lead back from the Long Term Portfolio.The main reason was that Short Term caught the drop in AUD and raise in JPY early on. If AUD continues to lose value and JPY gain value in the coming sessions, Short Term will widen the lead, as Long Term portfolio is lagging in trend reversals.

If todays moves in AUD and JPY were fake, and will reverse during next few sessions, expect the Long Term to widen.

Will evaluate furthermore by the end of the week.

The 1st Episode week is turning to be an interesting one.
Short Term:
Date..............Short T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$13338..................+$3338.................+$3338
Jan 6...................$13590..................+$252...................+$3590
Jan 7 ..................$13679..................+ $89....................+$3679


Long Term:
Date..............Long T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$12895..................+$2895.................+$2895
Jan 6...................$15090..................+$2195.................+$5090
Jan 7 ..................$12723..................- $2367.................+$2723


I recently began to publish the daily p/l, too and believe this format is more convenient, and informative for most of us.

What do you guys think? Is this more informative, or should i go back to the concise one?
  • #352
  • Jan 7, 2009 3:19pm Jan 7, 2009 3:19pm
  •  Ronin77
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: เงินกินเปล่า | 95 Posts
8-1-09
10am Australian Eastern TIme

Hi everyone, just wanted to share a trade of mine and to hear any thoughts

im short USD/CAD at 1.1940
stop at 1.2230
first profit 1.1740

Im basing my trade on the 4 hour chart where price has recently broken and risen and retested a rising trendline and with the daily candle having just closen i consider this a good oppertunity for entry. The trendline has been respected 3 times and in my opinion i consider significant.
whish me luck any opinions welcome.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad.jpg Size: 227 KB
Ronin77
  • #353
  • Jan 7, 2009 4:42pm Jan 7, 2009 4:42pm
Ronin,

I turned to long during US session today, in my short term portfolio

and currently holding short in my long term; waiting for 1.20-1.2050s; will go long in long turn too, if moves above 1.2050s

I think 1.2200s is very high for stop at this point
  • #354
  • Jan 8, 2009 4:13am Jan 8, 2009 4:13am
Will publish portfolio status during the us session...

Latest news: Short term portfolio turned to long GBP/USD after the announcement
  • #355
  • Jan 8, 2009 3:27pm Jan 8, 2009 3:27pm
Quoting Ronin77
8-1-09
10am Australian Eastern TIme

Hi everyone, just wanted to share a trade of mine and to hear any thoughts

im short USD/CAD at 1.1940
stop at 1.2230
first profit 1.1740

Im basing my trade on the 4 hour chart where price has recently broken and risen and retested a rising trendline and with the daily candle having just closen i consider this a good oppertunity for entry. The trendline has been respected 3 times and in my opinion i consider significant.
whish me luck any opinions welcome.


Great call Ronin,

I went long above 1.20s, then closed and reversed around 1.1880s. I almost got back the losses.

Will remain short for the time being
  • #356
  • Jan 8, 2009 3:41pm Jan 8, 2009 3:41pm
Episode 1: Track Book

US close, January 8 2009:

Short Term vs Long Term trading portfolios journal continues, day 4 close.

Current state:


 Short Term:
Date..............Short T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$13338..................+$3338.................+$3338
Jan 6...................$13590..................+$252...................+$3590
Jan 7 ..................$13679..................+ $89....................+$3679
Jan 8 ..................$13415..................- $264...................+$3415


Long Term:
Date..............Long T Close..............Daily PL.................PL

Jan 2 (Start).........$10K......................---------..................------
Jan 5...................$12895..................+$2895.................+$2895
Jan 6...................$15090..................+$2195.................+$5090
Jan 7 ..................$12723..................- $2367.................+$2723
 Jan 8 ..................$12695..................- $28.....................+$2695
  • #357
  • Jan 8, 2009 5:10pm Jan 8, 2009 5:10pm
Usd/Cad

Currently short, but 1.1740s is the support area. Below 1.1740s is very bearish; until then, there could be another bounce upwards
  • #358
  • Jan 9, 2009 12:42am Jan 9, 2009 12:42am
  •  Ronin77
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: เงินกินเปล่า | 95 Posts
Quoting preneur
Usd/Cad

Currently short, but 1.1740s is the support area. Below 1.1740s is very bearish; until then, there could be another bounce upwards

Yes agreed, i have noticed that price has stalled at around 760 i have'nt taken profit yet but i have adjusted stop for break even.
A break below the 760 region and i will take profit on my original positions and adds some more short positions.
Ronin77
  • #359
  • Jan 9, 2009 12:44am Jan 9, 2009 12:44am
  •  Ronin77
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: เงินกินเปล่า | 95 Posts
Quoting preneur
Usd/Cad

Currently short, but 1.1740s is the support area. Below 1.1740s is very bearish; until then, there could be another bounce upwards
Yes agreed, i see price has stalled and turned back 3 times now at 1.1760, i have adjusted my stop at break even on my original short from 1.1940. A break of 760 and i will take profit and add more short positions.
Ronin77
  • #360
  • Jan 9, 2009 12:47am Jan 9, 2009 12:47am
  •  Ronin77
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: เงินกินเปล่า | 95 Posts
Quoting Ronin77
8-1-09
10am Australian Eastern TIme

Hi everyone, just wanted to share a trade of mine and to hear any thoughts

im short USD/CAD at 1.1940
stop at 1.2230
first profit 1.1740

Im basing my trade on the 4 hour chart where price has recently broken and risen and retested a rising trendline and with the daily candle having just closen i consider this a good oppertunity for entry. The trendline has been respected 3 times and in my opinion i consider significant.
whish me luck any opinions welcome.
Adjusted stop to break even at 1.1940, no profit taken yet.
Ronin77
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