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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #151,181
  • Dec 30, 2008 5:31pm Dec 30, 2008 5:31pm
Quoting dialpips
is anyone seeing the bullish div. on the 15m and 1hr charts. we should be preparing for the up move if this observation is correct. just my thoughts.

this one ?

may not get any real move in this till after New Year .. I think most of Europe on vacation 31st ..... maybe a limited market on Jan 2nd.
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  • #151,182
  • Dec 30, 2008 6:27pm Dec 30, 2008 6:27pm
Quoting malcolmb14
fib time lines tell me pivot on Jan 2-5th ... maybe up move .. it would be required to spark more selling interest

I have seen some signs of accumulation of GJ in the 133 - 130 area

not sure if this is real or not ... but has been happening since dec 3rd
Hello Malcolmb
Can you tell me what are the signs of accumulation you are seeing? Is it volume or some other indicator or the crystal ball? Just curious. I am asking because I am seeing on the daily charts 127.50 and possibly 122.67. I may need to re-think that analysis.
  • #151,183
  • Dec 30, 2008 6:30pm Dec 30, 2008 6:30pm
Quoting malcolmb14
fib time lines tell me pivot on Jan 2-5th ... maybe up move .. it would be required to spark more selling interest

I have seen some signs of accumulation of GJ in the 133 - 130 area

not sure if this is real or not ... but has been happening since dec 3rd
i'm not sure if these trendlines are the best thing to watch for... but since that bullish div is still present on the daily chart and wayyyyy overdue, i think a close above daily gann should trigger the upmove with a first target to daily 50ema and 2nd target to weekly 50ema... those ema's haven't been visited since the fall started and are way overdue as well. i guess 130 was the assigned closing price of this year. the yearly candle should have no lower wick, and to be honest, i don't think we've seen a bottom yet. BUT the upper wick of the yearly candle should form starting jan 1st. i'll buy all those dips if we close above daily gann. i believe rallies will be sudden with no chance to load once they start.

again, a confirming close above the upper TL and daily gann are required for my confirmation... daily gann ain't too far away.. 200-300 pips at the most by then.

i'm thinking this might be a very close scenario to the first trading day of january 2000 where the rally started with no comeback till weekly 50ema was hit. we should hit weekly 50ema as an ultimate target then fall from there in slow motion to form the bottom anywhere between july and september of next year (2009). weekly 50ema should be somewhere between a 38.2 and a 50% retracement (215.80 - bottom) by the time it is reached.

i believe the the 2009 yearly candle should look something like a doji or maybe a hammer, if so, then 2010 should start the long slow bullrun. i think 2009 will be the last year we'll see good swings in GJ, GJ might start turtle mode again... i'm looking for new pairs to get used to as of now. good trading GJ, u've been good to us the past 2 years

chart..,

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  • #151,184
  • Dec 30, 2008 6:32pm Dec 30, 2008 6:32pm
Quoting malcolmb14
this one ?

may not get any real move in this till after New Year .. I think most of Europe on vacation 31st ..... maybe a limited market on Jan 2nd.
thanks. i'll take note. good to have guys like u around , ready to assist at all times.

happy new year to u man, and to all on this thread. great piping in the new year to everyone.
  • #151,185
  • Dec 30, 2008 7:10pm Dec 30, 2008 7:10pm
Quoting PipChick
Hello Malcolmb
Can you tell me what are the signs of accumulation you are seeing? Is it volume or some other indicator or the crystal ball? Just curious. I am asking because I am seeing on the daily charts 127.50 and possibly 122.67. I may need to re-think that analysis.

I did a posting of 4 hr charts where all high volume down bars were met with buyers ... the only way this can happen is pros selling , but others buying on opposite side. The volume over the last 3 sessions has been very low . There have also been low volume down bars testing support with buyers.

We have broken support .. but odd it happens this week when likely most investment houses on vacation and not participating in the markets

not saying this will play out ... but there are signs of it. The only way for the price to go higher is for the pros to make sure the supply at this level ( willing sellers) has dried up as if a rally is going to happen they do not want to be buying into heavy supply , this would be pointless.

I am day trading these days as this is what I am good at.....so this might all be a load of rubbish lol. However if I saw on a 5 minute chart what I see on 4 hr GJ right now I would be wetting my pants and risking 5 % of account on trade
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  • #151,186
  • Dec 30, 2008 7:32pm Dec 30, 2008 7:32pm
Quoting malcolmb14
fib time lines tell me pivot on Jan 2-5th ... maybe up move .. it would be required to spark more selling interest

I have seen some signs of accumulation of GJ in the 133 - 130 area

not sure if this is real or not ... but has been happening since dec 3rd
One thing was very odd to me was last nite during London and US sessions, the Geppy had hardly traded above 131 area even though treasuries data supported the move up. Not to mention 131, even above 130.50 during US session was hardly stayed. The market kept smashing it down .. very strange. Now, in Asian seesion we have seen it traded above 130.50, let's see if it will stay and beyond ..
  • #151,187
  • Dec 30, 2008 9:30pm Dec 30, 2008 9:30pm
EU got smacked down .. no idea why? ..
  • #151,188
  • Dec 30, 2008 9:32pm Dec 30, 2008 9:32pm
Lilmoe .. where are u bro? Taking a break till next year?
  • #151,189
  • Dec 31, 2008 12:30am Dec 31, 2008 12:30am
I'm going to London

Later boys n girls
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #151,190
  • Dec 31, 2008 12:46am Dec 31, 2008 12:46am
Quoting karmostaji
I'm going to London

Later boys n girls
Hope u a safe & happy staying there .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #151,191
  • Dec 31, 2008 12:47am Dec 31, 2008 12:47am
Quoting karmostaji
I'm going to London

Later boys n girls
WISHING YOU THE VERY BEST IN
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　　║╚═╣╚╝║╚╝╠═╝║
　　╚══╩══╩══╩══╝
¤ø„¸¨°º¤ø„¸ ¸„ø¤º°¨¸„ø¤º°¨
¨°º¤ø„¸ HaPpY ¸„ø¤º°¨
¸„ø¤º°¨ NeW yEaR``°º¤ø„¸
¸„ø¤º ``°º¤ø„¸ ¤ø„¸¨°º¤ø„¸

  • #151,192
  • Dec 31, 2008 1:09am Dec 31, 2008 1:09am
Happy New Year!
This wasn't the year of the pound.
I predict that also 2009 won't shine on the GBP.
At least at the beginning of the year...
  • #151,193
  • Dec 31, 2008 2:22am Dec 31, 2008 2:22am
Quoting salihin
hi, awak ni dari malaysia?

ahmad sulaiman?
Mana pulak..Usha nama la....tu true name bang....I nya YM [email protected]

senang2 jom la berkongsi pengalaman...saya pun baru blaja...
  • #151,194
  • Dec 31, 2008 2:29am Dec 31, 2008 2:29am
Quoting malcolmb14
I have confluences of 2 fib expansion at that level

I have not even traded gj recently ... gu , eu and chf are providing great trades and for the crazy ones gbpcad and eurcad

just day trading .... fantastic opps every day
Do you agreed that if gpy cross below 127 level then it tend to go for 110 or maybe lower in Q1'09..by then follow back 1996 trend...did you agree...I believe it will not fall below 127 as bailout may seen some manipulation here and some more oil will tend to follow the trend vs world liquidity...

I may look for daily if above gantt then it tend to up move by this 2009 years....so I will pumping as maximum as I can if price fail to fall below 127.....
  • #151,195
  • Dec 31, 2008 5:10am Dec 31, 2008 5:10am
Quoting mktjong
Lilmoe .. where are u bro? Taking a break till next year?
i'm around bro... just taking it easy
  • #151,196
  • Dec 31, 2008 7:01am Dec 31, 2008 7:01am
Happy NEW YEAR from Sydney, Australia
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  • #151,197
  • Dec 31, 2008 7:20am Dec 31, 2008 7:20am
Quoting Piters
Happy NEW YEAR from Sydney, Australia
Happy new year. This years fireworks were hell better than last years. Creation theme rocks
  • #151,198
  • Dec 31, 2008 7:22am Dec 31, 2008 7:22am
Quoting Eulogy
Happy new year. This years fireworks were hell better than last years. Creation theme rocks
Yep, every day in every way we are getting better and better

Happy New Year to all, and lot of Pips in this 2009!
  • #151,199
  • Dec 31, 2008 7:27am Dec 31, 2008 7:27am
Baffled by the todays price movement! anyone can help withteh reasons?
Eurjpy and GBPJPY have moved in opposit direction!
and GBP and CHF have both gone up, normally a strong correllation

will appreciate some guidance
  • #151,200
  • Dec 31, 2008 7:29am Dec 31, 2008 7:29am
Quoting marwan2010
Baffled by the todays price movement! anyone can help withteh reasons?
Eurjpy and GBPJPY have moved in opposit direction!
and GBP and CHF have both gone up, normally a strong correllation

will appreciate some guidance
It looks like there is quite a bit of profit taking in the EUR/GBP and that is keeping the GBP relatively strong.

Just my guess.
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