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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #146,541
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:06am Dec 5, 2008 10:06am
Quoting amed12
My IV always working
Well according to my charts, the low was 133.25 so your IV is a bit out. And I certainly dont remember 160 this week or did I miss it??
  • #146,542
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:07am Dec 5, 2008 10:07am
Quoting amed12
Possible move for week 11/30/08

My IV said


GBP/JPY

160.50 high

134.00 low
#144408
  • #146,543
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:07am Dec 5, 2008 10:07am
Very suspicious that the downside has been maintained with the worst job numbers seen in a long time, Hmmmmmmmm!

Looks like it's time to scoop some dips. . .

Scoop, scoop, scoop, scoop. . . . . .

The rally will come when everyone is selling - then POW - SHORT SQUEEZE.

Patience will be key!
  • #146,544
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:09am Dec 5, 2008 10:09am
Quoting gillybabe
Well according to my charts, the low was 133.25 so your IV is a bit out. And I certainly dont remember 160 this week or did I miss it??

My IV SAID IF UP 160 IF DOWN 134 THE LETTER IN BOLT IS THE SAFE ON
  • #146,545
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:14am Dec 5, 2008 10:14am
Quoting quecee5
Very suspicious that the downside has been maintained with the worst job numbers seen in a long time, Hmmmmmmmm!

Looks like it's time to scoop some dips. . .

Scoop, scoop, scoop, scoop. . . . . .

The rally will come when everyone is selling - then POW - SHORT SQUEEZE.

Patience will be key!
Can you give us an idea of where you see this thing going to (up) and when you see the squeeze. Lilmoe is convinced the big down day is Monday. I'm afraid my charting abilities dont run to which day things are going to happen. Thanks
  • #146,546
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:20am Dec 5, 2008 10:20am
seems as though today may be over
  • #146,547
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:21am Dec 5, 2008 10:21am
Quoting jaxbeach007
seems as though today may be over

yes

The day is over
  • #146,548
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:27am Dec 5, 2008 10:27am
Quoting amed12
yes

The day is over
?

we have 11.30 am in ny which is begin of lunchtime. afterlunch action will be interesting.
  • #146,549
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:27am Dec 5, 2008 10:27am
Quoting amed12
My IV SAID IF UP 160 IF DOWN 134 THE LETTER IN BOLT IS THE SAFE ON

my IV just has coffee in for trading and morphine for when I mess up so I can forget my errors ....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #146,550
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:29am Dec 5, 2008 10:29am
as q. has pointed, this push down looks fishy. and i mean FISHY.
after a big spike during NFP (which by the way, ended up with a close at the middle of the candle on 30min chart), i can see low volume & low volatility as g-j is testing again today's lows.
dji is not pushing down that much.
IF things stay like this, i guess we'll probably see a rally towards the end of today's session, or a gap up on monday.
i am patiently waiting for a long confirmation, at which point i will also close my shorts.
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #146,551
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:33am Dec 5, 2008 10:33am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
?

we have 11.30 am in ny which is begin of lunchtime. afterlunch action will be interesting.

I hope so , would love to get some more pips
  • #146,552
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:34am Dec 5, 2008 10:34am
Quoting Scrat
as q. has pointed, this push down looks fishy. and i mean FISHY.
after a big spike during NFP (which by the way, ended up with a close at the middle of the candle on 30min chart), i can see low volume & low volatility as g-j is testing again today's lows.
dji is not pushing down that much.
IF things stay like this, i guess we'll probably see a rally towards the end of today's session, or a gap up on monday.
i am patiently waiting for a long confirmation, at which point i will also close my shorts.
yep, pretty silent currently but futures slowly dripple down. i think if we take out 817,814 on s&p this thing can go forwards also taking gj with it.
there might be some buyers to be absorbed in those areas which needs time.
i'm still not enough pleasured with this tiny fall..there has to come more


i smell fishy ny afternoon to show up with some surprise..if not...wasted time...
  • #146,553
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:36am Dec 5, 2008 10:36am
Quoting amed12
yes

The day is over

today is over for sell
  • #146,554
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:37am Dec 5, 2008 10:37am
Quoting amed12
today is over for sell
another user of the crystal ball method


RED card, you are out!
  • #146,555
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:40am Dec 5, 2008 10:40am
Quoting gillybabe
Can you give us an idea of where you see this thing going to (up) and when you see the squeeze. Lilmoe is convinced the big down day is Monday. I'm afraid my charting abilities dont run to which day things are going to happen. Thanks
Up, Ar'd lunch time and toward the end of NY session. . .

Right now it looks like accumulation at these bottoms, downside is being contained at the moment and the push down is weakening IMO.

With the worst than expected NY data we should have seen a continued sell-off but It appears that the market has absorbed the news or the bad news was already priced in. . .

Also, look how UJ is hovering ar'd 92 area as well as GU above 1.45 support.

It all just seems quite amazing IMO. . .

Attempting small longs but on EU not GJ right now. . .
  • #146,556
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:42am Dec 5, 2008 10:42am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
another user of the crystal ball method


RED card, you are out!
  • #146,557
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:42am Dec 5, 2008 10:42am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
another user of the crystal ball method


RED card, you are out!

this method is not a cristal ball but i made a lot of pips. search for black scholes calculator
  • #146,558
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:42am Dec 5, 2008 10:42am
Quoting quecee5
Very suspicious that the downside has been maintained with the worst job numbers seen in a long time, Hmmmmmmmm!

Looks like it's time to scoop some dips. . .

Scoop, scoop, scoop, scoop. . . . . .

The rally will come when everyone is selling - then POW - SHORT SQUEEZE.

Patience will be key!

You mean THIS ??

http://www.doske.com/fx/snapshot-335.png
  • #146,559
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:44am Dec 5, 2008 10:44am
Is marketing waiting for bailout???

Bad news over bad news and $$$ getting stronger.

My head is hurting now.
  • #146,560
  • Dec 5, 2008 10:46am Dec 5, 2008 10:46am
Quoting quecee5
Up, Ar'd lunch time and toward the end of NY session. . .

Right now it looks like accumulation at these bottoms, downside is being contained at the moment and the push down is weakening IMO.

With the worst than expected NY data we should have seen a continued sell-off but It appears that the market has absorbed the news or the bad news was already priced in. . .

Also, look how UJ is hovering ar'd 92 area as well as GU above 1.45 support.

It all just seems quite amazing IMO. . .

Attempting small longs but on EU not GJ right now....

also not much buying interest at the lows, just hovering around.

i hope we'll see a surprise. a final pump & dump scenario is also possible
we'll see. the auto bailout talk is currently live to see on cnbc.com, perhaps also a brake.

regularly i would totally agree with you and your short squeeze view, sucking bears in, but the point which makes me so sure about an upcoming drop is my observation of fututres this week. if not today, then on monday..fact is it has to come to unload tons of shorts from this week.
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