Is December a bad month for scalpers??

I’ve done some back testing of several scalping strategies (5 minute timeframes), and most seem to perform their worst in December. I suppose the reasoning seems obvious, what with the holidays and all. But, it seems that the bad performance isn’t just contained in the specific holiday week, but rather from the very beginning. I’ve only tested for 2 years, so I wanted to ask long time scalpers here on the forums: Do you notice any change in performance of your strategy during the month of December? Or is it just a coincidence that my testing shows bad performance in this month.

Responses from non-scalpers are also welcomed.

Thanks!

Dahlia

I would follow mark twain on this kind of thinking:
"OCTOBER: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks in. The other are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February."

replace "stocks" with whatever you trade

The market for 2008 is not like the previous years market. Don't try to figure out if December is going to be a good month or not. Do what I do and trade day by day.

Hi there people, I have one question why would December affect the market. I mean for the last months the market itself has been very crazy and I don't see how just because it's December the market it's going to change.

I have no proof of this, but...

The Big Dog Bosses don't take a week long holiday over xmass. They take from~ Dec 15th to Jan 15th {at least their actions do} leaving the jittering understudies with one Instruction.

"We're Good. Our Plan is Set. Don't F. it Up While I'm Gone And Don't Call Me Unless WW111 Breaks Out!"

December 15th till January 15th is an insight into how the Markets would behave If they were controlled by Small Guys. {You and me (us)}

I think that there’s no relation at all between the holiday season and the market behavior. This year as someone else said before, and more specifically this last 2 months are being strongly unstable due to the world’s financial crisis. But I have to say that in my opinion it is not an obstacle for scalpers to get pips, cause, if you are placing short term orders, you are suppose not to put a lot of money in risk, and you will probably exit the market very fast, as soon as you get your profit

And we can add scalpers do not use fundamentals (most of them) as they work in short timeframes, so there’s no reason to believe anything can change in Hollidays.

I hope you have more experience in FX than you do in FF.

Good luck over the festives.

I was thinking about the same about fundamentals…is “I hope you have more experience in FX than you do in FF.” a good or a bad comment? What does mean FF?

With FF he means Forex Factory , but it doesn't matter how manny post you have, lots of people are on the forums just to read things not to post.

certainly though...as my personal view of the forex market, my short experience would let me say that there's no relation between the current volatile, out-of-confidence market behaviour and the holiday season. Right now...a lot of traders decided to stay aside of the market due to it's lack of liquidity...fear is around...