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Divergences - (All Pairs)

  • #521
  • Oct 25, 2008 9:31am Oct 25, 2008 9:31am
you will do a lot better if you watch for a hidden bearish divergence and then enter short again.

Quoting TIckerShuffl
with all the chaos in the market hard to know if anything can help prognosticate the future moves in the pair, but here it goes.

http://keefermedia.com/divergence.gif
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #522
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:02am Oct 26, 2008 10:02am
Quoting Scrat
let me tell you a secret... the class doesn't really matter, all you need is to see the confirmation: trendline break + oscillator break through 0/50 (whichever is the mid point) . but don't tell anyone.
i know you have posted this long time ago but i have a question, the confirmation you're talking about, should it be on the same TF? what if price broke a trendline on lower TF? or what if oscillator broke below/above a mid point, will that be enough confirmation?
I recommend you read something else as this sentence is now concluded.
  • #523
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:14am Oct 26, 2008 10:14am
Quoting emda
waiting to rsi H4 to go above 20 and above pivot... I guess it would then try to go to the stoploss aera.. when I'm sure there would be plenty of stop losses to capture...

Hello Emda

I notice that you have pivot point indicator on your chart which is only for current day . That is what I am looking for for lomg time...Do you mind to post it so I (and others interesterd in..) can download it, please?

Thank you in advance

mima
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #524
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:16am Oct 26, 2008 10:16am
on the same timeframe with the divergence you are watching. if you go to a lower timeframe, you wouldn't know if it's just a retracement or a reversal.
if the oscillator breaks through midpoint, but you don't see the break on trend line, then be careful because you probably have a hidden divergence... but it depends from case to case.
practice should give you the answer. it's all about probability and taking chances with a strict money management.

Quoting Obaidah
i know you have posted this long time ago but i have a question, the confirmation you're talking about, should it be on the same TF? what if price broke a trendline on lower TF? or what if oscillator broke below/above a mid point, will that be enough confirmation?
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #525
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:16am Oct 26, 2008 10:16am
I believe that the dollar surge will end soon( as a temporary retrace). This nxt trading session(for the whole week) will show the beginning of the end of Dollar's recent domination. I mean it cant gain strength forever,right? Thats what I will be looking for and if Im wrong, I will cover and go the other way!
FF = Forex Faggots
  • #526
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:20am Oct 26, 2008 10:20am
not yet.
and yes, it can gain strength "forever".

Quoting 8fingers
I believe that the dollar surge will end soon( as a temporary retrace). This next trading session(for the whole week) will show the beginning of the end of Dollar's recent domination. I mean it cant gain strength forever,right? Thats what I will be looking for and if Im wrong, I will cover and go the other way!
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #527
  • Oct 26, 2008 11:39am Oct 26, 2008 11:39am
Quoting mima
Hello Emda

I notice that you have pivot point indicator on your chart which is only for current day . That is what I am looking for for lomg time...Do you mind to post it so I (and others interesterd in..) can download it, please?

Thank you in advance

mima
of course.. here it is.
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 SDX-TzPivots.mq4   23 KB | 519 downloads
  • #528
  • Edited 12:15pm Oct 26, 2008 11:46am | Edited 12:15pm
Quoting 8fingers
I believe that the dollar surge will end soon( as a temporary retrace). This nxt trading session(for the whole week) will show the beginning of the end of Dollar's recent domination. I mean it cant gain strength forever,right? Thats what I will be looking for and if Im wrong, I will cover and go the other way!
as Scrat says... there is no reason to end with dollar strength... I mean.. if it ahs got this strength so quickly and so much... it can mean 2 things... in my opinion...
1) it is just a quick correction so that we could quickly reenter against the dollar to finish the dollar dominance in the world forever.
or
2) it is really the start of a change in the trend for a long time... getting stronger and stronger dolalr in some years during the recession.

I really don't have an idea of what to think.. will just follow lower timeframes.
  • #529
  • Oct 26, 2008 12:17pm Oct 26, 2008 12:17pm
a chart showing USDCHF divergences in monthly chart as reference...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 26-10-2008 18-00-21.png Size: 63 KB
  • #530
  • Oct 26, 2008 12:27pm Oct 26, 2008 12:27pm
Quoting Scrat
you will do a lot better if you watch for a hidden bearish divergence and then enter short again.
Hey Scrat,
Always wondered how you see Hidden Divergence (bearish- bullish) and on what TFs. Please explain. Really wanna cover my heavy losses.Heard good things about you from LILMoe. Thanks.
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #531
  • Oct 26, 2008 10:06pm Oct 26, 2008 10:06pm
i know its only m1 chart but could you please tell me if the following is a valid div or or i cant simply ignore the little highs between those 2 connected highs?
Attached Image
I recommend you read something else as this sentence is now concluded.
  • #532
  • Oct 26, 2008 11:32pm Oct 26, 2008 11:32pm
Quoting Scrat
on the same timeframe with the divergence you are watching. if you go to a lower timeframe, you wouldn't know if it's just a retracement or a reversal.
if the oscillator breaks through midpoint, but you don't see the break on trend line, then be careful because you probably have a hidden divergence... but it depends from case to case.
practice should give you the answer. it's all about probability and taking chances with a strict money management.
thanks
I recommend you read something else as this sentence is now concluded.
  • #533
  • Oct 27, 2008 1:03am Oct 27, 2008 1:03am
I try in general not to use indicators.
  • #534
  • Edited 1:28am Oct 27, 2008 1:12am | Edited 1:28am
ok... eurusd
seems RSI is in a trigangle towards equilibrium at 50... consolidation period.. before monday open... don't go against the trend if we miss a divergence to go long.. doesn't matter because there will be soon a divergence to go short.. more secure than longs until things change.

if price goes above pivot... would be interesting to see if price goes to R1 reaching the weekly pivot near 1.2900... then would be a nice short entry.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 27-10-2008 7-08-43.png Size: 36 KB
  • #535
  • Oct 27, 2008 1:21am Oct 27, 2008 1:21am
Interesting chart. Does mean it is now better not to trade on EUR ?
  • #536
  • Oct 27, 2008 1:25am Oct 27, 2008 1:25am
Quoting bowman
Interesting chart. Does mean it is now better not to trade on EUR ?
...
well.. it would be interesting to see if it breaks 1.2500.. you could try to short if it does. RSI H4 is still under 50 which means that shorts are more powerful than longs right now.

to break 1.2500 to me would be that price goes to 1.2450.. goes up again to 1.2500 to retest and then back down to 1.2450.
  • #537
  • Oct 28, 2008 10:49am Oct 28, 2008 10:49am
I'm a newbie and as I see it's a really good indicator to analyse market..Could you help me to understand its and explaain more simple!? thanks
  • #538
  • Oct 28, 2008 12:39pm Oct 28, 2008 12:39pm
Quoting livingFX
I'm a newbie and as I see it's a really good indicator to analyse market..Could you help me to understand its and explaain more simple!? thanks
welcome to the world of forex.
I can't explain it more simple... why? Because forex is not simple...If you ask specific questions maybe I can answer them. This indicator I use is RSI. it is an oscillator.. it means it goes from 0 to 100. and from 100 to 0... but it is as good as any other oscillators .. stochastics... CCI... etc... it is not better than any of the others... but I had to choose one
  • #539
  • Oct 28, 2008 2:43pm Oct 28, 2008 2:43pm
I believe a major retracment underway in Dollar strength- will start to lose strength starting now. Maybe last 30 days. I will consult my vodoo witchdoctor just to be sure.
FF = Forex Faggots
  • #540
  • Oct 28, 2008 3:11pm Oct 28, 2008 3:11pm
Div + TLB = My favorite
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 11 KB
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