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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #123,621
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:34am Oct 20, 2008 3:34am
4:30amGBPPrelim M4 Money Supply m/m

4:30amGBPPublic Sector Net Borrowing

Both where low level news releases, but good for the currency none the less
  • #123,622
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:36am Oct 20, 2008 3:36am
Quoting cancunkev
4:30am GBP Prelim M4 Money Supply m/m

4:30am GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing

Both where low level news releases, but good for the currency none the less
hehe,that's not important news. now only credit easing can move this beast higher
  • #123,623
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:40am Oct 20, 2008 3:40am
In this market any good news is great news....
  • #123,624
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:44am Oct 20, 2008 3:44am
I think, last sunday`s gap gives us direction of trade.
Has done often. Needs patience for reaching 185.
  • #123,625
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:50am Oct 20, 2008 3:50am
im expecting hourly ema200 retest before going higher (my short target (17650)
Then if will hold then "death cross" on houlry becomes a fact
and 188 and even 203 will be possible IMO
  • #123,626
  • Oct 20, 2008 3:58am Oct 20, 2008 3:58am
lets see the chart karmo pls
Quoting karmostaji
yep and I hope it stays like this and no crazy volatility, 181.6 is the first stop, if broken then 61.8% and UTL of the bear flag is in order which is 185.4 area
  • #123,627
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:09am Oct 20, 2008 4:09am
Quoting lilmoe
just a small observation that got me worried a bit...

cable, euro, gj, UJ, and others have weekly inside bars (last week's candle). i wonder if this should trigger an actual reversal...
weekly close above 185 would confirm a three inside up weekly bullish
reversal pattern. But I doubt, I think, we will see 165 at the end of the week, maybe earlier. Weekly pattern will show the way ...

have a look at longterm scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406
  • #123,628
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:20am Oct 20, 2008 4:20am
Quoting peaches
weekly close above 185 would confirm a three inside up weekly bullish
reversal pattern. But I doubt, I think, we will see 165 at the end of the week, maybe earlier. Weekly pattern will show the way ...

have a look at longterm scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406
in this case stock market need to dive again to see 165 in play,not today i think
  • #123,629
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:46am Oct 20, 2008 4:46am
Quoting moneybookers
in this case stock market need to dive again to see 165 in play,not today i think
not today, agreed.

Looks like we see the same behavior like beginning september.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #123,630
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:50am Oct 20, 2008 4:50am
Quoting uncletrumpet
lets see the chart karmo pls
.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj.gif Size: 23 KB
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #123,631
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:51am Oct 20, 2008 4:51am
TL still holding

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=123626

If we get a 4hr IB im in.
  • #123,632
  • Oct 20, 2008 4:52am Oct 20, 2008 4:52am
Quoting peaches
not today, agreed.

Looks like we see the same behavior like beginning september.
It is exactly the same, the Daily QQE crossed up last week and until today we do not have a daily candle close above the gann, this is an indication of bearish continuation, so even if we get a candle close today, it is still a bearish continuation pattern to me.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #123,633
  • Edited 5:12am Oct 20, 2008 4:59am | Edited 5:12am
Quoting peaches
weekly close above 185 would confirm a three inside up weekly bullish
reversal pattern. But I doubt, I think, we will see 165 at the end of the week, maybe earlier. Weekly pattern will show the way ...

have a look at longterm scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406
sure is slowing down. we might see another pullback to 4h 5sma.. and that's around 177.30 area.

i took some partial profit and will wait more as things unfold. as i stated earlier at the start of the market, anything's possible, so your scenario isn't impossible. meanwhile, i have an FE 50 at 178.16 and it seems this level is holding this 4h bar from going any lower. if, however, this 4h candle closes below that level, i will reevaluate the shorter term. but since we're above the monthly TL i mentioned in my latest post, i will buy dips unless 176.40 is taken out
  • #123,634
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:02am Oct 20, 2008 5:02am
15m and 30m indicating bullish continuation pattern.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #123,635
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:04am Oct 20, 2008 5:04am
Quoting karmostaji
It is exactly the same, the Daily QQE crossed up last week and until today we do not have a daily candle close above the gann, this is an indication of bearish continuation, so even if we get a candle close today, it is still a bearish continuation pattern to me.


Please have a look at longtime scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406

  • #123,636
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:15am Oct 20, 2008 5:15am
Quoting peaches


Please have a look at longtime scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406

GJ at 84? (that's eighty-four).... and i thought i was nuts for thinking 149
  • #123,637
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:24am Oct 20, 2008 5:24am
5min chart diving mode started- momentum has changed to negative
15min neutral now but bears in favour
higher TF remain bullish for now
17750 on the cards
  • #123,638
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:35am Oct 20, 2008 5:35am
Quoting peaches


Please have a look at longtime scenario, if you like:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3406

Don't worry, I'm up to date
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #123,639
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:36am Oct 20, 2008 5:36am
On the daily chart, price rejected by the Monthly TL again, lol.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #123,640
  • Oct 20, 2008 5:37am Oct 20, 2008 5:37am
Quoting lilmoe
GJ at 84? (that's eighty-four).... and i thought i was nuts for thinking 149
just in case we break 76.4 fibo level
+
break 100 % fibo level.

Itīs just speculation with a lot of "if".

But IF those monthly level break....

Another scenario might be a bullish weekly reversel pattern this week.

But i doubt.
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