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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #114,241
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:47pm Sep 16, 2008 12:47pm
Quoting rgitt05
If the Fed cuts, they're most likely to cut by 50 bps, to signal determination, etc. In that case, stocks would likely soar, taking JPY crosses with them. USD/JPY might dip initially, but ultimately look for USD/JPY to move higher, and think the non-JPY pairs would also move higher, leaving us with a bid EUR/USD alongside a bid USD/JPY, and a surging EUR/JPY.
I agree .. 50 bps would really send the market surging today ... but for the long term think Japanese economy....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #114,242
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:47pm Sep 16, 2008 12:47pm
Why should I care about problems at AIG if I'm not a customer?
AIG is by far the world's largest insurer and its stock is found in many mutual funds, including any S&P 500 index fund. It is also a component of the Dow Jones industrial average. All by itself, it's been responsible for dragging the Dow down more than 400 points so far this year.
AIG is also active in the business of credit default swaps, complicated financial instruments used by investors to protect themselves from bond defaults. Lehman Brothers was another major player in that field. If both go away, it would create a tighter credit market for consumers and businesses trying to get loans.

AIG is an insurer, not a lender. Why do I keep hearing about its problems with subprime mortgages?
All insurers take money they collect in premiums and invest them in different forms of assets. The idea is to make money on those investments so that the insurer can keep their premiums low and attract more clients.
But AIG made a bigger investment into securities that were backed by subprime mortgages than most other insurers. As defaults and foreclosures of those loans rose, the value of those securities fell, creating big problems for the firm.
In the past nine months, AIG has reported net losses of more than $18 billion, largely due to its exposure to bad mortgages. http://i.cdn.turner.com/money/images/bug.gif
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  • #114,243
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:50pm Sep 16, 2008 12:50pm
What should Federal Reserve policy makers do at Tuesday's meeting?

  1. Lower rates
  2. Hold rates steady, but hint at cuts
  3. Hold rates steady, say inflation is worrisome
  4. Raise rates

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  • #114,244
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:53pm Sep 16, 2008 12:53pm
Quoting rgitt05
What should Federal Reserve policy makers do at Tuesday's meeting?

  1. Lower rates
  2. Hold rates steady, but hint at cuts
  3. Hold rates steady, say inflation is worrisome
  4. Raise rates

all of the above at once ... now that would really confuse the market ....lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #114,245
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:53pm Sep 16, 2008 12:53pm


Quoting rgitt05
What should Federal Reserve policy makers do at Tuesday's meeting?

  1. Lower rates
  2. Hold rates steady, but hint at cuts
  3. Hold rates steady, say inflation is worrisome
  4. Raise rates

[
  • #114,246
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:54pm Sep 16, 2008 12:54pm
They are already confused....

Quoting malcolmb14
all of the above at once ... now that would really confuse the market ....lol
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  • #114,247
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:59pm Sep 16, 2008 12:59pm
sound of the drum roll ....lol

t -1min
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #114,248
  • Sep 16, 2008 12:59pm Sep 16, 2008 12:59pm
Quoting rgitt05
They are already confused....
I think they should turn things back over to there rightful owner and quit scamming the U.S. population. The fed has nothing to do with the federal Gov. They are a private corporation a lot like the IRS out of puerto rico
Price does what price wants , I just need to be prepared.
  • #114,249
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:02pm Sep 16, 2008 1:02pm
Quoting malcolmb14
sound of the drum roll ....lol

t -1min
if I looked to calendar, it was already +15 min ..
  • #114,250
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:02pm Sep 16, 2008 1:02pm
Quoting malcolmb14
sound of the drum roll ....lol

t -1min

there i was waiitng for fomc at 11 am my time.... 1 min after 11 ...I realised it was 11:15 .....lol ... talk about dumb

Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #114,251
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:03pm Sep 16, 2008 1:03pm
Quoting malcolmb14
sound of the drum roll ....lol

t -1min
i thought it was 2:15
--post hoc ergo propter hoc--
  • #114,252
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:03pm Sep 16, 2008 1:03pm
Quoting rgitt05

Fed Should:

-Initially cut rates, but reverse it next week by increased it 100 basis points
-It should promise to be dovish in tone but Paulson tomorrow should be hawkish in an emergency speech
-It should promise to bail out AIG but reverse it by saying only 2Billion initially available.


Sound good?
  • #114,253
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:06pm Sep 16, 2008 1:06pm
i believe shorting GJ right now isn't bad.
  • #114,254
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:09pm Sep 16, 2008 1:09pm
http://media.cnbc.com/i/CNBC/Section...plan_thumb.gif
The Federal Reserve Tuesday afternoon will announce that they either know something or nothing when they decide to either cut interest rates or not. For the sake of the markets, let’s hope they know something.


Cramer said he wanted a full 1% cut, 50 basis points at the minimum, so banks will get the leeway they need to get back on their feet. Low interest rates mean that banks can pay their depositors less while earning more on the loans that they’re issued. This is what’s called net interest margin, and the bigger the gap the more money banks make. And Cramer thinks that right now banks need as much capital as they can get.

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  • #114,255
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:10pm Sep 16, 2008 1:10pm
Quoting lilmoe
i believe shorting GJ right now isn't bad.
what are you smoking can I have some please ... lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #114,256
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:10pm Sep 16, 2008 1:10pm
Quoting lilmoe
i believe shorting GJ right now isn't bad.

The DOW is going to be disappointed no matter which way you look at it.
  • #114,257
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:11pm Sep 16, 2008 1:11pm


Quoting PJkiller
I think they should turn things back over to there rightful owner and quit scamming the U.S. population. The fed has nothing to do with the federal Gov. They are a private corporation a lot like the IRS out of puerto rico
[
  • #114,258
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:12pm Sep 16, 2008 1:12pm
Quoting lilmoe
i believe shorting GJ right now isn't bad.
Waiting for the spike up then short it. Buy the rumor sell the news.
  • #114,259
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:12pm Sep 16, 2008 1:12pm
Quoting malcolmb14
what are you smoking can I have some please ... lol
wahhahahaha
I recommend you read something else as this sentence is now concluded.
  • #114,260
  • Sep 16, 2008 1:13pm Sep 16, 2008 1:13pm


Quoting seesaw
Fed Should:

-Initially cut rates, but reverse it next week by increased it 100 basis points
-It should promise to be dovish in tone but Paulson tomorrow should be hawkish in an emergency speech
-It should promise to bail out AIG but reverse it by saying only 2Billion initially available.


Sound good?
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