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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #110,161
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:37am Sep 4, 2008 4:37am
Quoting marcb
picchi nun ta piggli to culu
ma va a fa nciul
pa ko bi tebe razumeo..pričaj po naše čovječe...anyway, i dont think eur is going to hike rates,....lets see..
its just money
  • #110,162
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:40am Sep 4, 2008 4:40am
Quoting OrionsWay
204-207/if continuation south or full reversal for a wave c of abc correction
Thxs!
  • #110,163
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:44am Sep 4, 2008 4:44am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
you use vol?
based on which candles + tf orion?

could be the beginning, but one thing i see is testing, but it always fails, regarding the higher tfs. so there is much supply left which wouldn't be wise to start a rally into. this will last some time till it is removed imho.

Yes much supply BUT each producing higher vol's BUT not nearly any results, whats this mean DEMAND
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #110,164
  • Edited 5:01am Sep 4, 2008 4:45am | Edited 5:01am
I was in the ride right from 193.35 but i need to get out before the pull back begins, the question for karmostaji is if the yesterdays low can be reached today?Karmostaji what do you think?
  • #110,165
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:55am Sep 4, 2008 4:55am
Quoting OrionsWay
Yes much supply BUT each producing higher vol's BUT not nearly any results, whats this mean NO DEMAND
e.g. low vol up bars closing off the high. also tight spread adds to weakness.
even tough we see rapid price markups with wide spreads, price does not continue that way...we drift sideways + decline. the high vol up bars must have also contained much selling, otherwise they would have closed on the highs with following bars rising = result of this effort to higher prices. every upmove so far did not lead to any significant result except serving big sell orders. still think we go down in the long run until i see other signs on higher tf.
  • #110,166
  • Sep 4, 2008 4:59am Sep 4, 2008 4:59am
I've gotten a signal to go long (3hr OANDA) wanting confirmation before i do anything.

Tonight's jobless claims should be better than expected due to the fact that during weeks with holidays (labour day this week) they always screw up the calculations and more often than not end up making the figure seem better than it is.
  • #110,167
  • Sep 4, 2008 5:03am Sep 4, 2008 5:03am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
e.g. low vol up bars closing off the high. also tight spread adds to weakness.
even tough we see rapid price markups with wide spreads, price does not continue that way...we drift sideways + decline. the high vol up bars must have also contained much selling, otherwise they would have closed on the highs with following bars rising = result of this effort to higher prices. every upmove so far did not lead to any significant result except serving big sell orders. still think we go down in the long run until i see other signs on higher tf.

yes anything is possible, but a side note psychologically would u begin accumulating from a lo or a high and how fast would you choose to advance price agaisnt your buying until you have your position on, would you push and pull both ways without giving yourself away. such manipulations happen daily both ways. The drop was fast then they support it buy a bit suck in more buying then release what they bought adding to the already dominant orderflow selling.
who really knows what their desire is, except buying is a slow process and selling is a fast process, after all every single market is a bull market the real question is are they supporting it or not
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #110,168
  • Sep 4, 2008 5:23am Sep 4, 2008 5:23am
Quoting quecee5
What do u see as a target????

inverse H/S on 1H on GU, price breached the NL, then tested..

possible shoot UP on GU.. I'll post a chart shortly

  • #110,169
  • Sep 4, 2008 5:31am Sep 4, 2008 5:31am
Quoting Eulogy
I've gotten a signal to go long (3hr OANDA) wanting confirmation before i do anything.

Tonight's jobless claims should be better than expected due to the fact that during weeks with holidays (labour day this week) they always screw up the calculations and more often than not end up making the figure seem better than it is.
well well well, i stand corrected, Bad jobless claims even with the dodgy calculations. Really showing that the US market is fully screwed.
  • #110,170
  • Sep 4, 2008 5:44am Sep 4, 2008 5:44am
Quoting Piters
inverse H/S on 1H on GU, price breached the NL, then tested..

possible shoot UP on GU.. I'll post a chart shortly

http://www.doske.com/Charts/mt17.gif
  • #110,171
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:01am Sep 4, 2008 6:01am
What is the meaning of NL????
Quoting Piters
http://www.doske.com/Charts/mt17.gif
  • #110,172
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:01am Sep 4, 2008 6:01am
OK now I am totally confused on the direction of this pair
  • #110,173
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:02am Sep 4, 2008 6:02am
neckline
  • #110,174
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:04am Sep 4, 2008 6:04am
Quoting uncletrumpet
What is the meaning of NL????
NL =NeckLine, trendline used in Head & shoulders Pattern
  • #110,175
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:12am Sep 4, 2008 6:12am
Crapper , please!
  • #110,176
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:13am Sep 4, 2008 6:13am
Quoting chris747
Crapper , please!
looks like it will get there
  • #110,177
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:14am Sep 4, 2008 6:14am
Quoting chris747
Crapper , please!
Yes, but which way? LOL
  • #110,178
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:18am Sep 4, 2008 6:18am
ok, it looks like we had a breakout last night. the way it looks, i would think that we will see a correction on h4 chart, meaning 2 things:
- either a straight retracement (it may climb as high as weekly 5sma, but i doubt it...)
- or a consolidation between 196.75/200 area and 191.8x, until macd line becomes positive on h4; i tend to favor this one.
after this, another push down to complete the daily wave.
this scenario will be invalidated if g-j makes a new low, of course.
here are the charts.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gjh4.gif Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gj40min.gif Size: 23 KB
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #110,179
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:29am Sep 4, 2008 6:29am
Gj looks headed for the 180`s looking for a very good sell. Ideas ne1?
  • #110,180
  • Sep 4, 2008 6:30am Sep 4, 2008 6:30am
Quoting Scrat
ok, it looks like we had a breakout last night. the way it looks, i would think that we will see a correction on h4 chart, meaning 2 things:
- either a straight retracement (it may climb as high as weekly 5sma, but i doubt it...)
- or a consolidation between 196.75/200 area and 191.8x, until macd line becomes positive on h4; i tend to favor this one.
after this, another push down to complete the daily wave.
this scenario will be invalidated if g-j makes a new low, of course.
here are the charts.
But if the UJ stays bearish even though GU is quite bullish, we may not see Geppy up or down too much.
Btw, I went long last nite and covered the loss I had on short. Now, am side line.
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