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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #105,261
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:38pm Aug 3, 2008 5:38pm
http://chouse.dk/fx/aug2008/1week/monday/gbpjpy4aug.JPG
http://chouse.dk/fx/aug2008/1week/monday/gbpjpy4aug.JPG
Twitter: Forexlivetrade - Buy: AFFI.CPH ISIN: DK0015966592 - target 12 DKK
  • #105,262
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:39pm Aug 3, 2008 5:39pm
Quoting pkimnyc
Welcome back Aus.

Quoting Big Bruv
hey Aus...welcome back baby...morning all'
Quoting PJkiller
Not sure where you been bro but great to see you are still around you have been missed greatly!!!!!

Quoting B@by trader
am I seeing real auslanco back?!!!
I think yes TQ pals you help me much.
WELCOME BACK!!!
Thanks guys. It's good to be back. Hope we can see some killer moves this month like the last August.
  • #105,263
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:39pm Aug 3, 2008 5:39pm
Think if we get a chance to buy the friday lo or any decline below that lo, could be down to 210.86 buy with both hands for 2 days of rally, 46% chance of a 1.13 cent decline beyond that friday lo. for average rally of 2.95 cents from that lo being made, or the friday lo if not violated. 92% chance this will play out like this.


sup 11.50 with a reaction next 4hr bar
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #105,264
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:46pm Aug 3, 2008 5:46pm
wee need to flood with posts or above chart needs resizing
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #105,265
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:49pm Aug 3, 2008 5:49pm
man this page huge baby...all dat scrolling is making me dizzy..baby
  • #105,266
  • Aug 3, 2008 5:50pm Aug 3, 2008 5:50pm
Aus, although we never chatted, nice work on the trading system, i myself dont use it, yet many do. Its rare somone openly gives anything away, Bravo mate, a true gentleman in the game.
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #105,267
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:19pm Aug 3, 2008 6:19pm
Quoting OrionsWay
Aus, although we never chatted, nice work on the trading system, i myself dont use it, yet many do. Its rare somone openly gives anything away, Bravo mate, a true gentleman in the game.
Hi Orionsway,
Thanks for the kind words
  • #105,268
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:25pm Aug 3, 2008 6:25pm
Quoting auslanco
Good morning/Evening, everyone.
ohhhhhhhhh great aus is coming back
welcome back aus
i'm glad to see you againhttp://qsmile.com/qsimages/212.gif http://qsmile.com/qsimages/212.gif
i really missed you

wish the best for you and i hope you stay here from nowhttp://qsmile.com/qsimages/39.gif

regardshttp://qsmile.com/qsimages/83.gif
  • #105,269
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:32pm Aug 3, 2008 6:32pm
new weekly and daily candles and momentoms
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  • #105,270
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:36pm Aug 3, 2008 6:36pm
If Gj breaks that support at 212 down to 210 she goes . Very simply put the 212 area is strong support and gj moves mostly in 200 pip lots. The shorter term time frames (10 min) however is showing a possible bounce here back into 212.80.

GBPCHF dropped from 2.0750 (close of Friday) to test that 2.0690 zone. There is major support at 2.0660. A break of this level to the downside and very likely we will see a test of the last major pivot low and whole number 2.0500. One can already see form the Keltner channel (50 setting) that the trend is turning to the downside ( note how the 50 sma is starting to curl down)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #105,271
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:43pm Aug 3, 2008 6:43pm
I agree that the charts are saying sell, but I'm very concerned about the support from 212.15 to 211.65 on July 25 we had a test of that area. So just something to be awhere of, you just never know if the lines on the chart will really provide S/R or if they are just lines on a chart.
  • #105,272
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:56pm Aug 3, 2008 6:56pm
Quoting PipLucky
I agree that the charts are saying sell, but I'm very concerned about the support from 212.15 to 211.65 on July 25 we had a test of that area. So just something to be awhere of, you just never know if the lines on the chart will really provide S/R or if they are just lines on a chart.
I completely feel that GY will respect current up trending channel at all costs, since we have a huge resistance free area from 214 to 222s IMO it will bounce and go up to 213.8 levels
The market can stay irrational, longer than you can stay solvent.
  • #105,273
  • Aug 3, 2008 6:56pm Aug 3, 2008 6:56pm
i am short to 211 area. here is the chart with the most relevant landmarks.
a break there means that we will sink deeper... for a reversal, or at least a retracement. although i doubt it, i think we haven't seen the top yet.
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #105,274
  • Aug 3, 2008 7:11pm Aug 3, 2008 7:11pm
just would like to add that the weekly 50ema isn't a MA to take lightly...

CCI 30 has moved back below 100 line on the weekly chart.. for any movement above 215.80, we need to see a weekly closing above 50ema IMO.

weekly mom is pointing down, but daily mom is pointing up. daily 5sma is at 213.4x-5x area, if anyone thinks of shorting, daily 5sma would be a really good shot. close to where Aus is saying.

i'm not sure if i will short today, 4h is a bit oversold. would like to see how monday's candle closes first, although i might short at 5sma daily...

i'm really not sure if we'll see lots of action today. let's hope we do.
  • #105,275
  • Aug 3, 2008 7:11pm Aug 3, 2008 7:11pm
Quoting Scrat
i am short to 211 area. here is the chart with the most relevant landmarks.
a break there means that we will sink deeper... for a reversal, or at least a retracement. although i doubt it, i think we haven't seen the top yet.
Scrat, just a question friend.

Whats your criteria for drawing the uptrend lower line? are you placing it over closed candles?

Thnks friend
The market can stay irrational, longer than you can stay solvent.
  • #105,276
  • Aug 3, 2008 7:22pm Aug 3, 2008 7:22pm
here are the 3 points i used, but zoom in on h4 charts to spot them exactly. it should be easy...
let me know if you need the details on h4 chart.

Quoting bmvmx
Scrat, just a question friend.

Whats your criteria for drawing the uptrend lower line? are you placing it over closed candles?

Thnks friend
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #105,277
  • Aug 3, 2008 7:25pm Aug 3, 2008 7:25pm
closed that gbpjpy 212.5 .... seems to be holding on the 50 sma on the 10 min and looks like we are heading back to 212 area .

also gbpchf reversing to the downside once more.

The 50 sma on the 10 min charts are resistance for gj and gc right now.

GBPAUD has formed a potential double top on the 10 min right under the 50 % fib retracement on the daily, with a bearish divergence macd and rsi. 2.1230 is current price with 2.1185 / 2.1130 as downside targets IF price breaks the 50 sma on the 10 min chart . We have been in a very strong up trend , i am waiting for a rertracement and then get back in on the long side UNLESS that double bottom on the 10 min from Friday is broken at 2.1080
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #105,278
  • Aug 3, 2008 7:40pm Aug 3, 2008 7:40pm
Gbp/usd may rise to 4hr gann (2nd chart) before falling, see divergence on the 1hr chart (1st chart).

If the RSI falls below the trend line then down we go.
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  • #105,279
  • Aug 3, 2008 8:04pm Aug 3, 2008 8:04pm
Hey Everyone,

Watch the Oil trades today.....

Tropical storm Edouard forms in oil area of Gulf of Mexico


http://www.reuters.com/article/envir...42130620080804
  • #105,280
  • Aug 3, 2008 8:35pm Aug 3, 2008 8:35pm
short is in play from longer charts, I'll be looking for rallys and down divergence on lower charts to short. The key is to pick the right level to enter, otherwise may be looking at some draw downs due to stop loss hunters above key levels. hope that makes sense!

Good luck everyone
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