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Daily EUR/JPY analysis

  • #921
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:09am Jul 30, 2008 7:09am
Quoting krullmagnon
I understood this forum was for the purpose of discussing the EUR/JPY?

I've never traded the EJ into or thru the NFP. Thoughts or past experiences?
Sorry for being off topic, you are right, but itīs all exciting

Back to e/j: somebody long on daily timeframe ?
  • #922
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:11am Jul 30, 2008 7:11am
Quoting 5ysfx
hi peaches

now hyenna looks ok for short 5th wave is coming imo.
Subprime anniversary ? (echo wave)

i know this chart is sux but blue channel is important
and momentum goes below emas thats good for short.
What do you think ?
yep, I`am with you bearish.
  • #923
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:33am Jul 30, 2008 7:33am
Quoting peaches
yep, I`am with you bearish.
winning in forex is a lonely task.. not a group.. groups are set to lose
  • #924
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:39am Jul 30, 2008 7:39am
Quoting forexguru
winning in forex is a lonely task.. not a group.. groups are set to lose
I do feel lonely at times...

Nice e book btw...

sonic
  • #925
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:49am Jul 30, 2008 7:49am
Quoting peaches
yep, I`am with you bearish.
This time wont be pedantic and short it now at ema14 3H chart or miss my train again
  • #926
  • Jul 30, 2008 7:49am Jul 30, 2008 7:49am
Quoting sonicdeejay
I do feel lonely at times...

Nice e book btw...

sonic
thanks!
  • #927
  • Jul 30, 2008 9:42am Jul 30, 2008 9:42am
do I keep my short position ????
Don't Blame Yourself This Is Forex...
  • #928
  • Jul 30, 2008 9:49am Jul 30, 2008 9:49am
Quoting PipsFinder
do I keep my short position ????
I also have a short at 168.20, if it breaks fibo 38.2 i throw it away...

Please...opinions
Buying Tops, Selling dips xP
  • #929
  • Jul 30, 2008 10:40am Jul 30, 2008 10:40am
I'm still holding a short from 169.2 area and trying to decide if all the news is going to jack up my expected run back down to the 167.5 or lower.

Hard to tell in this environment but where are now is already a break of the 50% fib of the previous retrace that ran down to 167.50. So I'm looking at the previous retrace that ran to 165.50 back on the 13th which gives me 167.5 as the 50% of that move.

I still think there is enough steam in this to get fairly close to the 167.5 at which I'm bailing out with 3/4 of my position. Then let the rest play out and see if continues to the previous 165.5.
  • #930
  • Jul 30, 2008 12:38pm Jul 30, 2008 12:38pm
just reversed position. bullish from now on.
4 h pinbar, maybe daily pinbar in 4 hours.
  • #931
  • Jul 30, 2008 3:10pm Jul 30, 2008 3:10pm
Hello All,

I am short at 168.20 do I keep my position ?



Thanks
Don't Blame Yourself This Is Forex...
  • #932
  • Jul 30, 2008 3:26pm Jul 30, 2008 3:26pm
On my daily chart I see a pinbar above a pivot-resistance zone, so this is a bullish pattern.

But there is no need to hurry in a bullish trade, because often the price comes back on the next days candle lower wick into the body of todays candle. So its might be wise, not to enter quick and wait for confimation of this hammer.

Also, this hammer is against the weekly trend, and his wick is not very long
compared to the body, so the bull run might not be very strong.

My 2 ct
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  • #933
  • Jul 30, 2008 3:28pm Jul 30, 2008 3:28pm
i cant recommend u for sure any trade but short from 55 evel seems to be fine
tp lower low
peaches what do you think ?
  • #934
  • Jul 30, 2008 3:52pm Jul 30, 2008 3:52pm
Quoting 5ysfx
i cant recommend u for sure any trade but short from 55 evel seems to be fine
tp lower low
peaches what do you think ?
chart :-)

this is J16 stuff.

Please visit james16 thread, its valuable.

Oh, and its not a recommendation. Everybody should decide for himself.
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  • #935
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:16pm Jul 30, 2008 4:16pm
Dont you think that we have to hit pivot at 168.20 after ema50 hourly will be met ?
Btw check my bottom hunt all orders filled almost perfect
i am stupid unpatient guy.
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  • #936
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:22pm Jul 30, 2008 4:22pm
Quoting 5ysfx
Dont you think that we have to hit pivot at 168.20 after ema50 hourly will be met ?
Btw check my bottom hunt all orders filled almost perfect
i am stupid unpatient guy.


I`am not that good on lower timeframes.

And I donīt know how a bullish pattern match with bad jpy
news later, but this is, what my chart is telling.
  • #937
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:26pm Jul 30, 2008 4:26pm
great so lets hunt for some spike
order placed at 168.23
  • #938
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:31pm Jul 30, 2008 4:31pm
Quoting 5ysfx
great so lets hunt for some spike
order placed at 168.23
Short? I think this thing will dip into the 167's, maybe even low 167's. Do you guys trade GBP/JPY?
  • #939
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:37pm Jul 30, 2008 4:37pm
Quoting 5ysfx
great so lets hunt for some spike
order placed at 168.23
If wednesday low would be hit, my bullish setup would be invalid.
I placed my SL a few pips below.
  • #940
  • Jul 30, 2008 4:46pm Jul 30, 2008 4:46pm
Well i assume only two scenarios.
Ema 200 hourly is the key imo.
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