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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #102,601
  • Jul 21, 2008 5:53pm Jul 21, 2008 5:53pm
targeting the black 16:1 angle downside tonight LOL or by sept 28th 29th
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #102,602
  • Jul 21, 2008 5:55pm Jul 21, 2008 5:55pm
Quoting rrram2
Whatis your basis for the short?
Just that she seems a little high?

how comes long ??? so close to major resistance
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #102,603
  • Jul 21, 2008 6:00pm Jul 21, 2008 6:00pm
Quoting malcolmb14
basis for short... now if we break out of 214 then it is a different story.
Ask a simple question, get a real answer...

Well done, malcolmb!!
FUBAR...
  • #102,604
  • Jul 21, 2008 6:06pm Jul 21, 2008 6:06pm
Quoting ak4x
Ask a simple question, get a real answer...

Well done, malcolmb!!
Thanks

I often put 2 pieces of paper on the wall

One reads LONG
One reads SHORT

I close eyes and throw a dart ....

But today I thought I would think about the trade as I just knew rram would ask me why i went short....

Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #102,605
  • Jul 21, 2008 6:09pm Jul 21, 2008 6:09pm
Quoting malcolmb14
basis for short

technicals .. massive bearish div 60 min on the rsi
Price down through the 50 sma on the 15 min
Bull flag , that we tried to break out earlier but it failed = bearish
Bull flag is still intact even idf we hit 212.5 ( 80 pips trade)
Oh add to that mirror image pattern that might play out ( same pattern as may this year and July last year)

Fundies
YM tanked 120 pips after hours ... bear rally party is OVER rather early as i thought we would at least retrace to 12000.
Bad earnings Apple , Amex and Sandisk.

now if we break out of 214 then it is a different story.

Attachment

forgot to add , 10 , 20 and 50 sma on 15 min in bearish stack (50 , 20 , 10)
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  • #102,606
  • Jul 21, 2008 6:18pm Jul 21, 2008 6:18pm
The beast is still banging its head on weekly resistance.

If we get a clear break up (big IF), we should see it move up towards the 50% monthly fib at 222.
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  • #102,607
  • Edited 7:05pm Jul 21, 2008 6:37pm | Edited 7:05pm
Quoting NuckingFuts
The beast is still banging its head on weekly resistance.

If we get a clear break up (big IF), we should see it move up towards the 50% monthly fib at 222.
Maybe you have right but if we touch 222 index don't pass main rule for elliot waves.
- wave 1 never meet wave 4
- usually wave 4 ends (in or) bellow 38.2 fibo
IF (big) this happens we should recount waves
Regards TomWo
  • #102,608
  • Jul 21, 2008 7:03pm Jul 21, 2008 7:03pm
Shorting the D1 Hangman

Short: 213.18
Stop: 213.87
TP: 212.25
Que
  • #102,609
  • Jul 21, 2008 7:15pm Jul 21, 2008 7:15pm
Quoting Que
Shorting the D1 Hangman

Short: 213.18
Stop: 213.87
TP: 212.25
I'm a suport/resistance guy, so I do a lot of waiting, that said, to go short I would wait untill it was under 213.00, it's also a 50% fibo. don't ask me about long, by the time I'd go long 200 pip's will have gone by.
  • #102,610
  • Jul 21, 2008 7:18pm Jul 21, 2008 7:18pm
Quoting PipLucky
I'm a suport/resistance guy, so I do a lot of waiting, that said, to go short I would wait untill it was under 213.00, it's also a 50% fibo. don't ask me about long, by the time I'd go long 200 pip's will have gone by.
We will see how it goes...
Que
  • #102,611
  • Jul 21, 2008 9:26pm Jul 21, 2008 9:26pm
RG Mode + Boring Day = Better Sculp EU
  • #102,612
  • Jul 21, 2008 9:47pm Jul 21, 2008 9:47pm
i see bad conditions in bull camp .but im comfortable in bear camp.
hurry is the devill's wont.with 100 or 150 pips up we must think a reversal !!
  • #102,613
  • Jul 21, 2008 9:52pm Jul 21, 2008 9:52pm
Quoting hussin naiji
i see bad conditions in bull camp .but im comfortable in bear camp.
hurry is the devill's wont.with 100 or 150 pips up we must think a reversal !!
some discussion on 216 or even 218 and recently 221
ambition or imagination ??
  • #102,614
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:22pm Jul 21, 2008 10:22pm
Quoting hussin naiji
some discussion on 216 or even 218 and recently 221
ambition or imagination ??

If we break 214 ..I do not see much holding her back from hitting 219 / 222

The fundamentals have to be ignored when we look at the daily charts , it becomes very clear that we may well break out of the 214 zone.

Right now I am short from 213.30 for a few pips down though into 212 or 211.50
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  • #102,615
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:29pm Jul 21, 2008 10:29pm
salam hussin
  • #102,616
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:31pm Jul 21, 2008 10:31pm
Quoting malcolmb14
If we break 214 ..I do not see much holding her back from hitting 219 / 222

The fundamentals have to be ignored when we look at the daily charts , it becomes very clear that we may well break out of the 214 zone.

Right now I am short from 213.30 for a few pips down though into 212 or 211.50
hi dear malcolmb
yes
but if we look in
VIX
TED spread -LiBOR
more risk aversion in market
why we must be in bull camp ??
  • #102,617
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:33pm Jul 21, 2008 10:33pm
Quoting hussin naiji
hi dear malcolmb
yes
but if we look in
VIX
TED spread -LiBOR
more risk aversion in market
why we must be in bull camp ??
Malcolmb
even if read report BOJ (in the past week )
i dont konw
  • #102,618
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:34pm Jul 21, 2008 10:34pm
LTD_Line (212.95), probable downbreak targets: T1=211.39
  • #102,619
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:39pm Jul 21, 2008 10:39pm
Malcolmb you live in vancouver
we can see a cut rate by BOC or no in the next time ??
  • #102,620
  • Jul 21, 2008 10:45pm Jul 21, 2008 10:45pm
hi Q my dear bro
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