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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #99,201
  • Jul 4, 2008 6:41am Jul 4, 2008 6:41am
Quoting msniper
can this be our new trend starting next week ! i hope so
Good find bro .. possible .. ..
  • #99,202
  • Jul 4, 2008 6:49am Jul 4, 2008 6:49am
Quoting mktjong
Good find bro .. possible .. ..
  • #99,203
  • Jul 4, 2008 6:53am Jul 4, 2008 6:53am
I think DP and 50% fib retrace on UJ might be the highest we climb today, and we should see a bounce down and should take Geppy for a walk down the alley heh
  • #99,204
  • Jul 4, 2008 6:54am Jul 4, 2008 6:54am
i shorted more at 211.50
  • #99,205
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:01am Jul 4, 2008 7:01am
UJ seems to be retesting its broken dayly tl in confluence with WP and 50% fib retrace of whole moove down from 108.57 We might see it go down in the next week

My 3 cents
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  • #99,206
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:02am Jul 4, 2008 7:02am
Quoting msniper
i shorted more at 211.50
Looks like a safe bet (don't over leverage, if it goes higher 100 pips, short more, this pair has higher volatility but overall price is down).
I prefer to short GU now ..
  • #99,207
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:02am Jul 4, 2008 7:02am
been checking every 2 hours, i guess no surprises today...

GJ... hmmmm, donno, DP is holding! i might go short if next week opens below 210.50. and of course a closing below daily gann otherwise i'm long next week should be interesting and full of surprises.

UJ's ranging in a 25 pip range.. too damn boring. i think it's looking good to revisit DP

cable currently at 50% fibo from the rally that started after the retracement to 1.9584 going up to 2 bucks. bounced from ther but currently trading below DP

but now euro might continue its fall 50% fib at 5620-5600 is the next level of support (from its rally from 1.5301 to 1.5908.) after yesterday's low was taken out. also low volume. 38.2 fib gave in also, looks good to go down more. today's candle was pretty bearish, i guess that's the confirmation everyone's waiting at. i hope the guys who went long ran with their pips before it resumed down.


good luck all!
  • #99,208
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:07am Jul 4, 2008 7:07am
Quoting mktjong
Looks like a safe bet (don't over leverage, if it goes higher 100 pips, short more, this pair has higher volatility but overall price is down).
I prefer to short GU now ..

true , but still i am risking only 10% of my account.
  • #99,209
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:10am Jul 4, 2008 7:10am
Quoting lilmoe
been checking every 2 hours, i guess no surprises today...

GJ... hmmmm, donno, DP is holding! i might go short if next week opens below 210.50. and of course a closing below daily gann otherwise i'm long next week should be interesting and full of surprises.

UJ's ranging in a 25 pip range.. too damn boring. i think it's looking good to revisit DP

cable currently at 50% fibo from the rally that started after the retracement to 1.9584 going up to 2 bucks. bounced from ther but currently trading below DP

but now euro might continue its fall 50% fib at 5620-5600 is the next level of support (from its rally from 1.5301 to 1.5908.) after yesterday's low was taken out. also low volume. 38.2 fib gave in also, looks good to go down more. today's candle was pretty bearish, i guess that's the confirmation everyone's waiting at. i hope the guys who went long ran with their pips before it resumed down.


good luck all!
Lilmoe ..limoe .. good morning man ..hope you had a good sleep .. hehe. Well, on EU and GU, looks like both have hundred of pips more to the downside .. hehee
  • #99,210
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:21am Jul 4, 2008 7:21am
Quoting lilmoe
hmmm.....

here's a zoom in, and a zoom out

Attachment

Attachment
so, it was an bearish engulfing candle because today is bearish....

but wait for monday
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  • #99,211
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:27am Jul 4, 2008 7:27am
Quoting lilmoe
but now euro might continue its fall 50% fib at 5620-5600 is the next level of support (from its rally from 1.5301 to 1.5908.)


good luck all!
Not as bearish as the daily on eur/aud. The smallness of the today's eur/usd daily candle scares me. I guess Aud is bullish against everything all the time, but aud/usd looks strong and could bring up eur/usd.
  • #99,212
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:30am Jul 4, 2008 7:30am
Quoting mktjong
Lilmoe ..limoe .. good morning man ..hope you had a good sleep .. hehe. Well, on EU and GU, looks like both have hundred of pips more to the downside .. hehee
Let's see if the dealers would use thin market to flush out some stops .. a pre-emptive move on anticipation of next week bigger move down. Shorted GU @1.9821 ..itchy fingers ..
  • #99,213
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:34am Jul 4, 2008 7:34am
Yo Lilmoe, how youve been bro?

Tell me what you think about my line chart, im a little testing something right now heh. Imma post USDYEN weekly chart and fib's applied to my predictions. UJ has completed its 38.2% retrace, and we have LH and a LL on the weekly you can clearly see here. Now i wonder if we are going down to test the lows or possible for another LL or we are still mooving up for a complete 50% retracement. Anyway based on the USDYEN dayly line chart ive posted before, the moove down from 108.57 has already retraced to 50% fibo and its WP @ ~106.82, dont mention that shes retesting the broken dayly tl, check my previous post with USDYEN dayly line chart. So basically what im seying is a moove down, so my bias is bearish on this pair.

Tell me what you think guys

Cheers
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  • #99,214
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:53am Jul 4, 2008 7:53am
Hrly preasure points

Have set a short, will let it swing where it may, yet thik hrly presure is to downside near term
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #99,215
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:56am Jul 4, 2008 7:56am
Quoting mktjong
Lilmoe ..limoe .. good morning man ..hope you had a good sleep .. hehe. Well, on EU and GU, looks like both have hundred of pips more to the downside .. hehee

morning bro i thought i'd only sleep for 3 hours, but i guess those extended to 8

so yes lots of sleep here.

and yes, i think cable and euro are about to go for a dive
  • #99,216
  • Jul 4, 2008 7:59am Jul 4, 2008 7:59am
Quoting belekas
Yo Lilmoe, how youve been bro?

Tell me what you think about my line chart, im a little testing something right now heh. Imma post USDYEN weekly chart and fib's applied to my predictions. UJ has completed its 38.2% retrace, and we have LH and a LL on the weekly you can clearly see here. Now i wonder if we are going down to test the lows or possible for another LL or we are still mooving up for a complete 50% retracement. Anyway based on the USDYEN dayly line chart ive posted before, the moove down from 108.57 has already retraced to 50% fibo and its WP @ ~106.82, dont mention that shes retesting the broken dayly tl, check my previous post with USDYEN dayly line chart. So basically what im seying is a moove down, so my bias is bearish on this pair.

Tell me what you think guys

Cheers
hm.. if this weekly candle closes below 106.50 or more low, i would say down. just my opinion
  • #99,217
  • Jul 4, 2008 8:01am Jul 4, 2008 8:01am
Quoting for_idea
hm.. if this weekly candle closes below 106.50 or more low, i would say down. just my opinion
and if not i would say continue this new swing.. hell knows - to 109
  • #99,218
  • Jul 4, 2008 8:02am Jul 4, 2008 8:02am
YM is clearly sitting on FE78.6 level @ 11262 . If the weekly candle closes as a pinbar so that would be above FE78.6 level to be valid pin, and in confluence of the descending red dotted tl ive drawn, then we should go up for a retrace, having in mind that LH and LL. Anyone trading YM take a look
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  • #99,219
  • Jul 4, 2008 8:12am Jul 4, 2008 8:12am
Quoting belekas
Yo Lilmoe, how youve been bro?

Tell me what you think about my line chart, im a little testing something right now heh. Imma post USDYEN weekly chart and fib's applied to my predictions. UJ has completed its 38.2% retrace, and we have LH and a LL on the weekly you can clearly see here. Now i wonder if we are going down to test the lows or possible for another LL or we are still mooving up for a complete 50% retracement. Anyway based on the USDYEN dayly line chart ive posted before, the moove down from 108.57 has already retraced to 50% fibo and its WP @ ~106.82, dont mention that shes retesting the broken dayly tl, check my previous post with USDYEN dayly line chart. So basically what im seying is a moove down, so my bias is bearish on this pair.

Tell me what you think guys

Cheers

hey there. some people may have over looked this, but i think UJ has hit 76.4 fib and bounced off of there (i usually use 78.6, but 76.4 usually means bounce, not coming back to breach), this bounce could actually extend to 38.2 fib which is back to 121. but to be more preservative i would say 50% at 113 which is the same as 61.8 at your chart.

the uptrend for UJ should resume i think, all the barriers that i had in mind a last month where breached to the upside, same goes for GJ. we might have a retest to 95 area. but not after this sucker goes up. wayyy up. i hope u guys know what that means for GJ!!

another reason i think it's has to bounce up to there. take a look at the classic bullish divergence on CCI. came side by side with 76.4 fib bounce


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  • #99,220
  • Jul 4, 2008 8:14am Jul 4, 2008 8:14am
Quoting lilmoe
hey there. some people may have over looked this, but i think UJ has hit 76.4 fib and bounced off of there (i usually use 78.6, but 76.4 usually means bounce, not coming back to breach), this bounce could actually extend to 38.2 fib which is back to 121. but to be more preservative i would say 50% at 113 which is the same as 61.8 at your chart.

the uptrend for UJ should resume i think, all the barriers that i had in mind a last month where breached to the upside, same goes for GJ. we might have a retest to 95 area. but not after this sucker goes up. wayyy up. i hope u guys know what that means for GJ!!

another reason i think it's has to bounce up to there. take a look at the classic bullish divergence on CCI. came side by side with 76.4 fib bounce
sorry, forgot to post the chart here it is, i 'll edit the original post so it should be there.

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