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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #99,061
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:28pm Jul 3, 2008 2:28pm
for those who think this isn't important for GJ, i think it is.... euro.


euro weekly chart. retest of 161.8 fibo extension, is highly probable. even lower to 1.42 is a good possibility. i said this before, when i first posted these analysis more than a month ago. yes i think euro will go close to 1.7, but not before going down. 1.36 is also a probability.

will it hit 261.8% first? also a probability.

take a look at where price is sitting now... 200 fib

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  • #99,062
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:31pm Jul 3, 2008 2:31pm
Quoting hussin naiji
but my reason for long EURUSD:
1-after 210 pips down we will see a reurned min(38 fibo)
2-hit trend line (h4)
bro, when it rallied from 1.53 it didn't retrace, not even to 23% fibo...
  • #99,063
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:32pm Jul 3, 2008 2:32pm
but lilmoe
in this time
the market is unclear
trend line is unclear
candlestick patterns is unclear
  • #99,064
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:33pm Jul 3, 2008 2:33pm
Quoting hussin naiji
but my reason for long EURUSD:
1-after 210 pips down we will see a reurned min(38 fibo)
2-hit trend line (h4)
Im long too, 5680 is strong support, at least we bought at a good place, lets see if it goes up, btw, do u know what roll over is now? it increased?
  • #99,065
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:33pm Jul 3, 2008 2:33pm
Quoting lilmoe
bro, when it rallied from 1.53 it didn't retrace, not even to 23% fibo...
  • #99,066
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:35pm Jul 3, 2008 2:35pm
Quoting hussin naiji
but lilmoe
in this time
the market is unclear
trend line is unclear
candlestick patterns is unclear

yes but fibs are clear, be careful if this day closes below 1.5690

there MIGHT be a bounce, i already told clouds that i'm not sure, BUT, and there's always a BUT, tomorrow it might fall. just be careful bro. i'm not trading euro now, i'll wait on a signal.
  • #99,067
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:35pm Jul 3, 2008 2:35pm
lilmoe only this star will show to you
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  • #99,068
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:37pm Jul 3, 2008 2:37pm
Quoting lilmoe
yes but fibs are clear, be careful if this day closes below 1.5690

there MIGHT be a bounce, i already told clouds that i'm not sure, BUT, and there's always a BUT, tomorrow it might fall. just be careful bro. i'm not trading euro now, i'll wait on a signal.
agree dear bro
  • #99,069
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:37pm Jul 3, 2008 2:37pm
Quoting lilmoe
yes but fibs are clear, be careful if this day closes below 1.5690

there MIGHT be a bounce, i already told clouds that i'm not sure, BUT, and there's always a BUT, tomorrow it might fall. just be careful bro. i'm not trading euro now, i'll wait on a signal.
Ive bought at 1.5700 and a seller at 1.5665, with no TP's.
  • #99,070
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:40pm Jul 3, 2008 2:40pm
Quoting hussin naiji
lilmoe only this star will show to you
like these? the range there was 30 pips after a 200 pip rally!

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  • #99,071
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:42pm Jul 3, 2008 2:42pm
Quoting lilmoe
like these? the range there was 30 pips after a 200 pip rally!

Attachment

take a look at the fall after that rally, also no retracement.
  • #99,072
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:43pm Jul 3, 2008 2:43pm
Quoting hussin naiji
Peaches ,you have gone long EURUSD ?
SHOW TO ME YOUR CHART(CANDLE)
of course im in bull camp EURUSD

sorry hussin. made decision not based on candlesticks. If there were a pattern, maybe the yellow marked. but only maybe.

decision was made: 1. break of tom-demark resistance + a channel break to the upside.
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  • #99,073
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:48pm Jul 3, 2008 2:48pm
like to give you example for channel break for uj and 168.1 fibo
expansion. channel are blue lines. also notice please demark now is
resistance for uj green line at 107.4. this resistance is now, and has nothing to do with last channel break.
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  • #99,074
  • Jul 3, 2008 2:52pm Jul 3, 2008 2:52pm
Quoting lilmoe
take a look at the fall after that rally, also no retracement.

It had already broken the trendline though. In today's case the trendline
held. Just an observation.
  • #99,075
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:05pm Jul 3, 2008 3:05pm
Quoting peaches
sorry hussin. made decision not based on candlesticks. If there were a pattern, maybe the yellow marked. but only maybe.

decision was made: 1. break of tom-demark resistance + a channel break to the upside.
yes my friend agree with u
but you can say to me why EURUSD have fall today ?
  • #99,076
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:09pm Jul 3, 2008 3:09pm
Quoting hussin naiji
yes my friend agree with u
but you can say to me why EURUSD have fall today ?
only explanation i have is here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=2090782&postcount=335

vix is up and tnx is down on my charts today. thats good :-)

The bad us data may play out tomorrow, maybe. During london session.
  • #99,077
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:09pm Jul 3, 2008 3:09pm
Quoting hussin naiji
but you can say to me why EURUSD have fall today ?
My opinion is that it's just healthy up trend. It was over bought, needed buyers, and needed to re-visit the lower TL sometime, sooner or later it would have had too... AND Fundamentally speaking, Trichet signaled that it was the only rate increase for a while or something.
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  • #99,078
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:11pm Jul 3, 2008 3:11pm
Quoting lilmoe
loooooooooool, bare with me bro let my imagination go through
As long as we make money with what we SEE it's all good anyway!
  • #99,079
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:14pm Jul 3, 2008 3:14pm
Quoting Clouds
My opinion is that it's just healthy up trend. It was over bought, needed buyers, and needed to re-visit the lower TL sometime, sooner or later it would have had too... AND Fundamentally speaking, Trichet signaled that it was the only rate increase for a while or something.
Attachment
fall 10 year-benchmark Govt Yields -Germany
  • #99,080
  • Jul 3, 2008 3:14pm Jul 3, 2008 3:14pm
Look, no buying
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Enjoy it while it lasts, then pay for it. Be Grateful.
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