Today I and probably hundreds of others received a strangely ominous and some might say kooky email from Joe DiNapoli's organization. Anyone else get it? What do you think? I would blow something like this off normally but I know of 1 other Fib trader who has warned of a serious down move in the S&P this Summer.
Just really curious about this.
Lou
The article:
Something very big is going to happen!
If you think after reading this that I'm some sort of nut case conspiracy-theorist, looking for the shadows behind the structures, well think as you like- I've been at this trading game a lot of years and this "reality" has become clear-- It's not some dark conspiracy. Understand that the fate of our financial structure and markets are at risk and hopefully someone has some strings to pull-
With respect to the membership of the our CLIENT FORUMS, a more thorough and detailed analysis can be found there.
There is a reason beyond lack of Discipline and lack of market technical analysis that so many people lose in the markets. Estimates run as high as 97% in highly leveraged instruments and the unknown reasons are simply that the markets are designed that way… on purpose.
For 2 years running now at the Traders Expos in Las Vegas, I've been giving an hour long presentation on : "The truths of trading no one will tell you." In addition, I have included this presentation in my full day seminars. I will be doing so again in December of this year in presentations I have scheduled in America..
In these presentations, I detail how the game is solidly rigged against you. You will not get this information anywhere else because…many of the so called market Gurus don't know this stuff and if they do they are afraid of the consequences if they tell you. I have no such fears particularly now that I'm located in Asia and can trade and train here if the US becomes effectively off limits to me. A person is discredited when they become a large enough threat and so far I'm under the radar screen.
What I'm going to discuss in this report goes beyond the usual trade plans outlined in "Trading with DiNapoli Levels" and bears on what we discuss in Private seminars and some public seminars. Nothing I'm about to say however in any way contradicts my methodologies. Rather it puts my considerable experience (over 35 years) into the mix.
So, that's the background and what I'm about to describe is supported by what I'm talking about above.
Right now the talking heads are howling about the trading range markets we all have seen. Yes, for the past few months we have been in traditional range bound Summertime markets - big surprise-its summer!! -- and you know that they should be avoided unless you truly understand the difference between Good and Bad markets and know how to handle both of these conditions.
See The Trading Course:
http://www.fibtrader.com/course.html
We are flatly against the .618 node in the S&P shown below
and a clear rounding top pattern is emerging on the daily. (Reserved for client forums)
We come up to the .618 and right on cue we back away. How sweet and how obvious.
We have gotten sell signals on our MACD trend and DMA trend indicators on the daily and the weekly and we are likely to break the monthly trend to the down side shortly. Maybe… but possibly not on a confirmed (closing ) basis.
The bottom line here is that it's all too sweet and all too obvious for me to accept as real... The market is attempting to get you wrong again.
Let's look at the London bombing incident. It is my opinion that this event was artfully supported and the shorts were driven to the wall just like after 9/11. Look at the charts after 9/11 if you have doubts… It's all there and plain to see.
Why was this done?? Because those who control the game did not have a sufficient short position to accommodate a controlled break. If they knew 9/11 was going to happen they would have had shorts up the kazoo and they would not havegone to work that day…
Now, I simply can't get into much detail here but here is an example of a Malaysian stock that broke after their currency crisis in 1997. -- No rally, pretty much a total crash.
(Reserved for client forums)
Why??? because you can't short sell in Malaysia. Think about it… Who is going to buy except the shorts in an unadulterated market crash?? Are you??? Am I??? Certainly not and if you don't understand market mechanics as I teach in the Truths about trading presentation I mention above, you will be slaughtered by exchange rules!. Slaughtered, cut to pieces, and left with margin calls-and it's all legal!
So, for an orderly decline you need professional shorts. It's not that their profit is paramount-it is the stability of the game that is paramount! If the game is not seen as stable we'll all go buy real estate or go to Las Vegas where the chances of uninformed gambling success is superior to uninformed investing success on wall street… and then, those in control and the economy in general will really come unglued.. Equity markets serve more than gamblers and speculators in case any of you have forgotten that.
You see, the market can sawtooth its way down but it can't crash.
So lets assume for a moment that the world is coming apart, which it seems to be… between the (anything but conservative) GWB policies, world health, and climate concerns, and well you get the idea-
The powers that be need to get a big short position on to control the fall. They have not had the opportunity to do so-for that we need a dramatic up move.
Now let's assume the opposite… that the world is not coming apart, the Jews move their 700,000 people off Palestinian land and all the parties in Iraq kiss each other and we find a new source of energy-and the chickens develop antibodies to bird flu… well in that case the market will have to go up and go up big-
This is further supported by many important world markets at or reaching new highs over the past three or four years.
So, the market is slated to go up Dramatically or really big-
The point is that either way, I see a rally of major proportions.
It will not take place however, until we get enough bearishness to develop ample stops to overcome the inherent resistance of the major .618 node mentioned above.
Below is an image of a typical manipulation to accomplish this. (Reserved for client forums) If you're upset that this free report is not totally intact then, I repectfully say, "get real". Others pay for this information and it would not be fair to them or the people whosupport the forums to give away everything. I doubt you work for free-- I'm also not trying to get you to subscribe. Do so if you feel it is in your interest. If you are not a member and joining is too much for you just be prepared for a thrusting surprise up move to happen and continue relentlessly.
Just where this low will be put in will depend heavily on D-Levels key support and the ability of the talking heads to make things gloomy enough for us to want to sell or sell short. If too many people get on board to the upside, then the market will wash and rinse a sufficient number of times to shake out the excess. That's just the way it works!
If you are not equipped with our methods to attempt to catch the bottom or a pull back,-- watch the DiNapoli MACD (not your average poorly constructed MACD see chapter five TWDL) on the daily and do not let a confirmed daily buy signal happen without being on board!!
Now, what do I think the probabilities are that this will happen??
I'd put them at 80% but I will be re-evaluating all the time using Trading with DiNapoli Levels techniques. I never get locked into anything and neither should you.
When will this happen? I'd guess in September though it could take longer- Since it's the monthly .618 it could take months-- I just doubt it will!
The more important question is, as I see it… Just where will this market stop going up… Exceeding the all time highs by at least a tiny amount in the Dow is likely in the cards. But after that - well that's for another report.
Hope this helps you out.
Just really curious about this.
Lou
The article:
Something very big is going to happen!
If you think after reading this that I'm some sort of nut case conspiracy-theorist, looking for the shadows behind the structures, well think as you like- I've been at this trading game a lot of years and this "reality" has become clear-- It's not some dark conspiracy. Understand that the fate of our financial structure and markets are at risk and hopefully someone has some strings to pull-
With respect to the membership of the our CLIENT FORUMS, a more thorough and detailed analysis can be found there.
There is a reason beyond lack of Discipline and lack of market technical analysis that so many people lose in the markets. Estimates run as high as 97% in highly leveraged instruments and the unknown reasons are simply that the markets are designed that way… on purpose.
For 2 years running now at the Traders Expos in Las Vegas, I've been giving an hour long presentation on : "The truths of trading no one will tell you." In addition, I have included this presentation in my full day seminars. I will be doing so again in December of this year in presentations I have scheduled in America..
In these presentations, I detail how the game is solidly rigged against you. You will not get this information anywhere else because…many of the so called market Gurus don't know this stuff and if they do they are afraid of the consequences if they tell you. I have no such fears particularly now that I'm located in Asia and can trade and train here if the US becomes effectively off limits to me. A person is discredited when they become a large enough threat and so far I'm under the radar screen.
What I'm going to discuss in this report goes beyond the usual trade plans outlined in "Trading with DiNapoli Levels" and bears on what we discuss in Private seminars and some public seminars. Nothing I'm about to say however in any way contradicts my methodologies. Rather it puts my considerable experience (over 35 years) into the mix.
So, that's the background and what I'm about to describe is supported by what I'm talking about above.
Right now the talking heads are howling about the trading range markets we all have seen. Yes, for the past few months we have been in traditional range bound Summertime markets - big surprise-its summer!! -- and you know that they should be avoided unless you truly understand the difference between Good and Bad markets and know how to handle both of these conditions.
See The Trading Course:
http://www.fibtrader.com/course.html
We are flatly against the .618 node in the S&P shown below
and a clear rounding top pattern is emerging on the daily. (Reserved for client forums)
We come up to the .618 and right on cue we back away. How sweet and how obvious.
We have gotten sell signals on our MACD trend and DMA trend indicators on the daily and the weekly and we are likely to break the monthly trend to the down side shortly. Maybe… but possibly not on a confirmed (closing ) basis.
The bottom line here is that it's all too sweet and all too obvious for me to accept as real... The market is attempting to get you wrong again.
Let's look at the London bombing incident. It is my opinion that this event was artfully supported and the shorts were driven to the wall just like after 9/11. Look at the charts after 9/11 if you have doubts… It's all there and plain to see.
Why was this done?? Because those who control the game did not have a sufficient short position to accommodate a controlled break. If they knew 9/11 was going to happen they would have had shorts up the kazoo and they would not havegone to work that day…
Now, I simply can't get into much detail here but here is an example of a Malaysian stock that broke after their currency crisis in 1997. -- No rally, pretty much a total crash.
(Reserved for client forums)
Why??? because you can't short sell in Malaysia. Think about it… Who is going to buy except the shorts in an unadulterated market crash?? Are you??? Am I??? Certainly not and if you don't understand market mechanics as I teach in the Truths about trading presentation I mention above, you will be slaughtered by exchange rules!. Slaughtered, cut to pieces, and left with margin calls-and it's all legal!
So, for an orderly decline you need professional shorts. It's not that their profit is paramount-it is the stability of the game that is paramount! If the game is not seen as stable we'll all go buy real estate or go to Las Vegas where the chances of uninformed gambling success is superior to uninformed investing success on wall street… and then, those in control and the economy in general will really come unglued.. Equity markets serve more than gamblers and speculators in case any of you have forgotten that.
You see, the market can sawtooth its way down but it can't crash.
So lets assume for a moment that the world is coming apart, which it seems to be… between the (anything but conservative) GWB policies, world health, and climate concerns, and well you get the idea-
The powers that be need to get a big short position on to control the fall. They have not had the opportunity to do so-for that we need a dramatic up move.
Now let's assume the opposite… that the world is not coming apart, the Jews move their 700,000 people off Palestinian land and all the parties in Iraq kiss each other and we find a new source of energy-and the chickens develop antibodies to bird flu… well in that case the market will have to go up and go up big-
This is further supported by many important world markets at or reaching new highs over the past three or four years.
So, the market is slated to go up Dramatically or really big-
The point is that either way, I see a rally of major proportions.
It will not take place however, until we get enough bearishness to develop ample stops to overcome the inherent resistance of the major .618 node mentioned above.
Below is an image of a typical manipulation to accomplish this. (Reserved for client forums) If you're upset that this free report is not totally intact then, I repectfully say, "get real". Others pay for this information and it would not be fair to them or the people whosupport the forums to give away everything. I doubt you work for free-- I'm also not trying to get you to subscribe. Do so if you feel it is in your interest. If you are not a member and joining is too much for you just be prepared for a thrusting surprise up move to happen and continue relentlessly.
Just where this low will be put in will depend heavily on D-Levels key support and the ability of the talking heads to make things gloomy enough for us to want to sell or sell short. If too many people get on board to the upside, then the market will wash and rinse a sufficient number of times to shake out the excess. That's just the way it works!
If you are not equipped with our methods to attempt to catch the bottom or a pull back,-- watch the DiNapoli MACD (not your average poorly constructed MACD see chapter five TWDL) on the daily and do not let a confirmed daily buy signal happen without being on board!!
Now, what do I think the probabilities are that this will happen??
I'd put them at 80% but I will be re-evaluating all the time using Trading with DiNapoli Levels techniques. I never get locked into anything and neither should you.
When will this happen? I'd guess in September though it could take longer- Since it's the monthly .618 it could take months-- I just doubt it will!
The more important question is, as I see it… Just where will this market stop going up… Exceeding the all time highs by at least a tiny amount in the Dow is likely in the cards. But after that - well that's for another report.
Hope this helps you out.
