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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #93,701
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:10pm Jun 14, 2008 6:10pm
Quoting hussin naiji
malcolmb
what is viewpoint about usdyen ??
thanks
hussin
agree with me about fall usd/yen ?
  • #93,702
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:12pm Jun 14, 2008 6:12pm
Quoting hussin naiji
agree with me about fall usd/yen ?
in the weekly candle chart USDYEN ,we see a blue opening Marubozu previous week that with combination red closing Bozu give to us a bullish engulfing pattern .of course a Blue opening Marubozu is a candlestick pattern with low reliability .
if we see to weekly candle chart USDYEN from date 1999-2008 for Blue candlesticks with 300 till 370 pips up ,this observation shows to us that only there are 10 candle in the following order:
1-1999/2/28 with 340 pips up then after one week 200 pips down.
2-1999/3/21 with 330 pips up then after one week 200 pips down.(lower wick) after two week without change and after next one week 300 pips down.
3-2000/1/2 with 327 pips up then after one week 130 pips down. (lower wick)
4-2001/2/25 with 310 pips up then after one week without change and then next week 340 pips up.
5-2001/3/25 with 325 pips up then after one week 260 pips down.
6-2007/3/17 with 370 pips up then after one week without change and then next week 150 pips down.
7-2002/9/8 with 310 pips up then after one week 130 pips up.
8-2003/16 with 355 pips up then after one week 130 pips down.
9-2004/12/5 with 300 pips up then after one week 140 pips down.
10-2088/6/8 ?????????????????
only in two case up and in eight case down.on the other hand pattern date 2008/6/8 is more similar pattern date 2004//12/5.
i think we will see a downtrend for USDYEN in the next weeks even with this bullish pattern .
let see
  • #93,703
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:17pm Jun 14, 2008 6:17pm
Quoting hussin naiji
in the weekly candle chart USDYEN ,we see a blue opening Marubozu previous week that with combination red closing Bozu give to us a bullish engulfing pattern .of course a Blue opening Marubozu is a candlestick pattern with low reliability .
if we see to weekly candle chart USDYEN from date 1999-2008 for Blue candlesticks with 300 till 370 pips up ,this observation shows to us that only there are 10 candle in the following order:
1-1999/2/28 with 340 pips up then after one week 200 pips down.
2-1999/3/21 with 330 pips up then after one week 200 pips down.(lower wick) after two week without change and after next one week 300 pips down.
3-2000/1/2 with 327 pips up then after one week 130 pips down. (lower wick)
4-2001/2/25 with 310 pips up then after one week without change and then next week 340 pips up.
5-2001/3/25 with 325 pips up then after one week 260 pips down.
6-2007/3/17 with 370 pips up then after one week without change and then next week 150 pips down.
7-2002/9/8 with 310 pips up then after one week 130 pips up.
8-2003/16 with 355 pips up then after one week 130 pips down.
9-2004/12/5 with 300 pips up then after one week 140 pips down.
10-2088/6/8 ?????????????????
only in two case up and in eight case down.on the other hand pattern date 2008/6/8 is more similar pattern date 2004//12/5.
i think we will see a downtrend for USDYEN in the next weeks even with this bullish pattern .
let see
nice observation. I remember very well when she was stuck in range trading back then.
  • #93,704
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:19pm Jun 14, 2008 6:19pm
Quoting hussin naiji
good morning from Tehran
hi lilmoe
hi malcolmb

hello hussin, and hello Tehran
  • #93,705
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:20pm Jun 14, 2008 6:20pm
Quoting hussin naiji
agree with me about fall usd/yen ?
i hope so

i would like to see the market crumble
  • #93,706
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:21pm Jun 14, 2008 6:21pm
[quote=lilmoe;2055925]hello hussin, and hello Tehran [/quote
lilmoe , you are in bull camp ??
  • #93,707
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:21pm Jun 14, 2008 6:21pm
do you guys remember when usd/jpy and usd/chf were trending opposite of gbp/usd and eur/usd. There was strong opposite correlation back then.
  • #93,708
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:28pm Jun 14, 2008 6:28pm
Hi,

The Middle East will address reports that the world's largest oil-producing country is set to raise production by about 500,000 barrels per day, the country's highest ever.

The Middle East Economic Survey said Friday that Saudi Arabia was considering a production increase, but did not provide a source.

The Saudis are concerned that sustained high oil prices will eventually slacken the world's appetite for oil, affecting them in the long run.

So if this happen to be true, what will happen to G/Y? any ideas please?

  • #93,709
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:34pm Jun 14, 2008 6:34pm
[quote=hussin naiji;2055927]
Quoting lilmoe
hello hussin, and hello Tehran [/quote
lilmoe , you are in bull camp ??

  • #93,710
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:34pm Jun 14, 2008 6:34pm
in the next week we must see reports Americans of banks ,if these are reports bad ,we will say good-bye 108 and if good .....
  • #93,711
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:35pm Jun 14, 2008 6:35pm
Quoting ovaforty
do you guys remember when usd/jpy and usd/chf were trending opposite of gbp/usd and eur/usd. There was strong opposite correlation back then.

yea, that was because the US dollar was the major player back then. it would be very normal for them to trade opposite ways.
  • #93,712
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:38pm Jun 14, 2008 6:38pm
[quote=lilmoe;2055933]
Quoting hussin naiji



i'm in neither right now, but still waiting on confirmation for either.
  • #93,713
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:38pm Jun 14, 2008 6:38pm
[quote=lilmoe;2055933]
Quoting hussin naiji


but lilmoe i think euryen -audyen-cadyen are better then GJ for trade in the next week . direction is for GJ unclear .maybe i wrong
  • #93,714
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:39pm Jun 14, 2008 6:39pm
[quote=lilmoe;2055936]
Quoting lilmoe


i'm in neither right now, but still waiting on confirmation for either.
agree with you 101%
  • #93,715
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:40pm Jun 14, 2008 6:40pm
Quoting forex888
Hi,

The Middle East will address reports that the world's largest oil-producing country is set to raise production by about 500,000 barrels per day, the country's highest ever.

The Middle East Economic Survey said Friday that Saudi Arabia was considering a production increase, but did not provide a source.

The Saudis are concerned that sustained high oil prices will eventually slacken the world's appetite for oil, affecting them in the long run.

So if this happen to be true, what will happen to G/Y? any ideas please?

i'm not sure if that piece of data would of that importance to the market, but i do see oil going down. and that would mean one of 2 things.

oil is just going down, or the USD is going up. and if it's the latter, then yen pairs should start climbing. that would also mean euro and cable should start boarding my crapper

something's gotta fall, if it's not the geppy then it's cable or euro
  • #93,716
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:41pm Jun 14, 2008 6:41pm
Quoting ovaforty
do you guys remember when usd/jpy and usd/chf were trending opposite of gbp/usd and eur/usd. There was strong opposite correlation back then.
why this correlation is been broken if I may ask, thanks in advance
The Chonchy
  • #93,717
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:41pm Jun 14, 2008 6:41pm
[quote=hussin naiji;2055937]
Quoting lilmoe
but lilmoe i think euryen -audyen-cadyen are better then GJ for trade in the next week . direction is for GJ unclear .maybe i wrong

no you are not wrong. but bulls have the advantage. last week i was trading cable and euro more than yen pairs. they were VERY good, i hope you made profit?
  • #93,718
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:42pm Jun 14, 2008 6:42pm
have a nice week with green pips for all
local time 3.56 am
good bye
  • #93,719
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:46pm Jun 14, 2008 6:46pm
Quoting chonchy
why this correlation is been broken if I may ask, thanks in advance
I think lilmoe amwers the question, so a weak dollar broke the correlation but lilmoe said that with a strong dollar eur/usd and gbp/usd go down and usd/jpy go up so the correlation is still there, or not?
The Chonchy
  • #93,720
  • Jun 14, 2008 6:54pm Jun 14, 2008 6:54pm
Quoting chonchy
I think lilmoe amwers the question, so a weak dollar broke the correlation but lilmoe said that with a strong dollar eur/usd and gbp/usd go down and usd/jpy go up so the correlation is still there, or not?
that's right. a strong dollar will get the market back to being very predictable. i think it won't be too far away.
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