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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #92,481
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:08pm Jun 11, 2008 2:08pm
Quoting piptrain
i use 31
it looks like major divergence has formed using cc1 31 on m30. i need to read into this indicator a little and learn more about it. i know that a lot of large volume traders us it.

thanks
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #92,482
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:10pm Jun 11, 2008 2:10pm
GBPJPY by tomorrow afternoon
Attached Image
  • #92,483
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:15pm Jun 11, 2008 2:15pm
Quoting ultimate
GBPJPY by tomorrow afternoon
  • #92,484
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:15pm Jun 11, 2008 2:15pm
Quoting pino2
Actual close was 209.97 vs predicted 210.07 missed by 10 pips
You need a new crystal ball...

JK
Patience + Discipline - Greed = Success
  • #92,485
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:16pm Jun 11, 2008 2:16pm
Quoting ultimate
GBPJPY by tomorrow afternoon
... gotta get me one of those....
Addicted and proud of it!
  • #92,486
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:17pm Jun 11, 2008 2:17pm
Quoting Infinity
You need a new crystal ball...

JK
  • #92,487
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:17pm Jun 11, 2008 2:17pm
Quoting PiPsAddict
... gotta get me one of those....

ditto....
  • #92,488
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:18pm Jun 11, 2008 2:18pm
would u get more pips if u went long gbp/usd and short usd/jpy , since usually, when there is dollar selling, they go in opposite direction, but i guess sometimes gbp/usd stands still, and usd/jpy falls, giving u twice as many pips, or maybe im thinking too much
  • #92,489
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:23pm Jun 11, 2008 2:23pm
shorted the yen and euppy again intrest free
166.20
106.92
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #92,490
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:25pm Jun 11, 2008 2:25pm
Quoting OrionsWay
shorted the yen and euppy again intrest free
166.20
106.92
lol, me too, same pairs
  • #92,491
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:34pm Jun 11, 2008 2:34pm
I hate to say this, since I've been holding out for the final drop for quite some time now, but.... Too many signs are beginning to hint at the other possibilities, it maybe surprising to quite a few people here but I think we are in for a major rally, bear markets are violent and can have huge upward corrections, 219 would be my minimum target, but I would think 223-228 is where we might top out, very strange things are happening in the markets, dynamics are changing, the only thing that I would prefer is to drop first a bit lower to do a classic fake out, geppy is known to do that before a major turn, risk aversion is gone, gone like the wind. The Dow is declining nicely just as I had thought, right on time and right form where it had to decline, even though I was hoping for a risk aversion to start once we pass 12000, reflecting back over some data I do not think it will happen, panic that caused the initial selloff is gone, the declines are orderly. There is a lot of money parked on the sidelines and it has to flow somewhere. Do I think that we will surpass the last low? Yes, but not in the near future, perhaps by fall, in the meantime the carry lives another day. Even though the vix is ticking higher, and there are some reversal signs on the daily charts, if it happens I'll be very cautios, don't see the required numbers in the cot reports and do not see the correlation to the Dow anymore, dynamics are shifting, risk aversion is not present at the moment, why would it, if the general perception in the markets had been set by the Federal Reserve that will not allow any major player to fail and risk a systematic crash to the whole system. I still think that it will happen in the fall, winter of 2009, but not now, that would be the time to visit the slaughterhouse, for now in all probabilities we might just shoot up, time will tell, ohh forgot to mention hate the FED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • #92,492
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:35pm Jun 11, 2008 2:35pm
Quoting piptrain
i use 31

Thank U.... I like it.... May make me a pip or two.
  • #92,493
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:38pm Jun 11, 2008 2:38pm
LOL Gene, hate the fed too

im just waitn on the 4hr to correct a bit and im a buyer again, just like the past so is the future. Spot on im thinking also was posting 222 few months back now for our targets. Who even knows maybe taht was the correction ABC now the SLOW grind carry building postions again slow and mythodically
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #92,494
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:42pm Jun 11, 2008 2:42pm
Quoting gene22
I hate to say this, since I've been holding out for the final drop for quite some time now, but.... Too many signs are beginning to hint at the other possibilities, it maybe surprising to quite a few people here but I think we are in for a major rally, bear markets are violent and can have huge upward corrections, 219 would be my minimum target, but I would think 223-228 is where we might top out, very strange things are happening in the markets, dynamics are changing, the only thing that I would prefer is to drop first a bit lower to do a classic fake out, geppy is known to do that before a major turn, risk aversion is gone, gone like the wind. The Dow is declining nicely just as I had thought, right on time and right form where it had to decline, even though I was hoping for a risk aversion to start once we pass 12000, reflecting back over some data I do not think it will happen, panic that caused the initial selloff is gone, the declines are orderly. There is a lot of money parked on the sidelines and it has to flow somewhere. Do I think that we will surpass the last low? Yes, but not in the near future, perhaps by fall, in the meantime the carry lives another day. Even though the vix is ticking higher, and there are some reversal signs on the daily charts, if it happens I'll be very cautios, don't see the required numbers in the cot reports and do not see the correlation to the Dow anymore, dynamics are shifting, risk aversion is not present at the moment, why would it, if the general perception in the markets had been set by the Federal Reserve that will not allow any major player to fail and risk a systematic crash to the whole system. I still think that it will happen in the fall, winter of 2009, but not now, that would be the time to visit the slaughterhouse, for now in all probabilities we might just shoot up, time will tell, ohh forgot to mention hate the FED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
amen gene22
I have been telling these guys this for 2 days now.
  • #92,495
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:50pm Jun 11, 2008 2:50pm
Quoting gene22
I hate to say this, since I've been holding out for the final drop for quite some time now, but.... Too many signs are beginning to hint at the other possibilities, it maybe surprising to quite a few people here but I think we are in for a major rally, bear markets are violent and can have huge upward corrections, 219 would be my minimum target, but I would think 223-228 is where we might top out, very strange things are happening in the markets, dynamics are changing, the only thing that I would prefer is to drop first a bit lower to do a classic fake out, geppy is known to do that before a major turn, risk aversion is gone, gone like the wind. The Dow is declining nicely just as I had thought, right on time and right form where it had to decline, even though I was hoping for a risk aversion to start once we pass 12000, reflecting back over some data I do not think it will happen, panic that caused the initial selloff is gone, the declines are orderly. There is a lot of money parked on the sidelines and it has to flow somewhere. Do I think that we will surpass the last low? Yes, but not in the near future, perhaps by fall, in the meantime the carry lives another day. Even though the vix is ticking higher, and there are some reversal signs on the daily charts, if it happens I'll be very cautios, don't see the required numbers in the cot reports and do not see the correlation to the Dow anymore, dynamics are shifting, risk aversion is not present at the moment, why would it, if the general perception in the markets had been set by the Federal Reserve that will not allow any major player to fail and risk a systematic crash to the whole system. I still think that it will happen in the fall, winter of 2009, but not now, that would be the time to visit the slaughterhouse, for now in all probabilities we might just shoot up, time will tell, ohh forgot to mention hate the FED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Right on Gene.... there has definitely been a lot of "disconnecting" going on the past couple of weeks. The markets seem to be re-inventing themselves again... in an attempt to avert "the collapse". Long term, I don't think they have a chance... too much damage has been done over the past 8 years.

I guess all we can do in the meantime is take green pips when they are available and watch this soap opera play itself out.

Prosperous trading to us all....
Addicted and proud of it!
  • #92,496
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:55pm Jun 11, 2008 2:55pm
Quoting cookthis12
Thank U.... I like it.... May make me a pip or two.

yes. check out the weekly chart with cci showing mega positive divergence long long ago. it keeps me on the right side of the moves.

  • #92,497
  • Jun 11, 2008 2:57pm Jun 11, 2008 2:57pm
good, so the general "feeling" is shifting towards bullish side. you know what this means, right?

Quoting gene22
I hate to say this, since I've been holding out for the final drop for quite some time now, but.... Too many signs are beginning to hint at the other possibilities, it maybe surprising to quite a few people here but I think we are in for a major rally, bear markets are violent and can have huge upward corrections, 219 would be my minimum target, but I would think 223-228 is where we might top out, very strange things are happening in the markets, dynamics are changing, the only thing that I would prefer is to drop first a bit lower to do a classic fake out, geppy is known to do that before a major turn, risk aversion is gone, gone like the wind. The Dow is declining nicely just as I had thought, right on time and right form where it had to decline, even though I was hoping for a risk aversion to start once we pass 12000, reflecting back over some data I do not think it will happen, panic that caused the initial selloff is gone, the declines are orderly. There is a lot of money parked on the sidelines and it has to flow somewhere. Do I think that we will surpass the last low? Yes, but not in the near future, perhaps by fall, in the meantime the carry lives another day. Even though the vix is ticking higher, and there are some reversal signs on the daily charts, if it happens I'll be very cautios, don't see the required numbers in the cot reports and do not see the correlation to the Dow anymore, dynamics are shifting, risk aversion is not present at the moment, why would it, if the general perception in the markets had been set by the Federal Reserve that will not allow any major player to fail and risk a systematic crash to the whole system. I still think that it will happen in the fall, winter of 2009, but not now, that would be the time to visit the slaughterhouse, for now in all probabilities we might just shoot up, time will tell, ohh forgot to mention hate the FED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #92,498
  • Jun 11, 2008 3:00pm Jun 11, 2008 3:00pm
I do not swing trade this pair for love nor money because of it's swift aggressive action. This is the main reason why I seldom look past the daily when doing gj analysis. I do agree that this pair will continue up but a retracement is due on the pair which I expect will come within the next two days. After the retracement is complete I am looking at 214.00-214.5 to be the max upside before a large fall. If price action takes it above this level, I think that could mean very much higher than 220 area. But as I said, I do not swing trade this pair because of the nature of its movement.....Soooo in the meantime, I will be taking my 100 to 200 pips each time, whichever way....long or short....

Bless
Patience + Discipline - Greed = Success
  • #92,499
  • Jun 11, 2008 3:22pm Jun 11, 2008 3:22pm
Well, interesting, so there are a few people that have the same view, lol
In most cases the crowd is wrong, hmm something to consider... In any case, at this point and time I intend to follow the dates only, no price as the stucture to this point has been very irrational, in all fairness it should be the 4th wave and the structure so far is sugestive of that pattern, but the dynamics are off, way off. either the 10th or 11th should of been the potential reversals for guppy, tomorrow 12th, should be a reversal for the yen, the next date is not untill the 17th maybe 18th of june for guppy so there are 2 scenarios at this time, 1st the guppy will reverse lower and not have the next reversal up untill the 17th. Or, and I think I'm favouring this one we would see a new high tomorrow and the low that tomorrow will bring will not be surpassed. 17th will most likely in this case send us lower just to bring back up. Which ever way it goes it should go strong, it feels like it is coling up, so the move should be a 1000 pips or so in either direction. Well, all that is left now is just to sit and watch which way it will break...
  • #92,500
  • Jun 11, 2008 3:23pm Jun 11, 2008 3:23pm
Quoting Scrat
good, so the general "feeling" is shifting towards bullish side. you know what this means, right?

large swing traders have been long since the lo, building positions, charts definately say bullish for months now, corrections are fast and furious and the action since the low is far from fast and furious, rather slow and accumulative, because compounded intrest is sweet
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
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