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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #90,741
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:09pm Jun 8, 2008 10:09pm
Quoting Rustyyy
Cooking up some nice PB's......should turn out just as planned.

See you all at London.
ya ..see you at London
  • #90,742
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:10pm Jun 8, 2008 10:10pm
Quoting shakesfx
Well, what do your charts show you now it's 1hr later? I see reversal candles on the 30m and 1hr for Shorts. I don't think your 210 is in reach somehow.
Nothing change yet.
Attached Image

AJ - TP 105
EJ - TP 170
GJ - TP 110
  • #90,743
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:11pm Jun 8, 2008 10:11pm
will see 203..........................
short only
  • #90,744
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:15pm Jun 8, 2008 10:15pm
we have seen 203 and it's history for a long time

*no punning is intended.


Quoting Ultraman
will see 203..........................
short only
greed+gluttony+self-indulgence+craving= success
  • #90,745
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:15pm Jun 8, 2008 10:15pm
Quoting shakesfx
Well, what do your charts show you now it's 1hr later? I see reversal candles on the 30m and 1hr for Shorts. I don't think your 210 is in reach somehow.
I'm not changing my trade. I'm keeping it long until I stop out.Just trying to make money :/
  • #90,746
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:17pm Jun 8, 2008 10:17pm
lol, guys, common, that's not a contest, everyone trades what he sees. and all might turn out right
  • #90,747
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:18pm Jun 8, 2008 10:18pm
Quoting OwningSoros
higher lows and highs with uptrend channel intact on 4H and daily... I will join ShakesFX to short at 213 ....
Don't follow my trades, trade what you see. I'm not short at 213 BTW as I'm sure price won't get there.

I've been loading shorts from 204,205,206,207,208 area on the way up. IF we get above 208 again I'll load more shorts, but I think this is as high as we go.
  • #90,748
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:19pm Jun 8, 2008 10:19pm
Quoting lilmoe
lol, guys, common, that's not a contest, everyone trades what he sees. and all might turn out right

the only bad thing(s) for our shorts is that h4 and h1 qqe are crossed upwards and we're trading above gann on both tfs, looool. i'll post my crapper when we close below 206.60
  • #90,749
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:19pm Jun 8, 2008 10:19pm
Quoting OwningSoros
we have seen 203 and it's history for a long time

*no punning is intended.

203 is not far away

any financial (not oil) related issues .. such as the impending Lehman bros write down announcement week after this one and gj will be dropping fast.

In the mean time we are in an up trend on the 4hour

You must be a newer trader other wise you would know ' never say never' ... just as you think one thing it does a complete 180 on you
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #90,750
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:20pm Jun 8, 2008 10:20pm
high oil hurts Jap economy......and UK is also an oil exporter and BOE may switch to rate hike when they find inflation figures (to be released in a few hours) so intolerable...


Quoting shakesfx
Don't follow my trades, trade what you see. I'm not short at 213 BTW as I'm sure price won't get there.

I've been loading shorts from 204,205,206,207,208 area on the way up. IF we get above 208 again I'll load more shorts, but I think this is as high as we go.
greed+gluttony+self-indulgence+craving= success
  • #90,751
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:20pm Jun 8, 2008 10:20pm
Quoting OwningSoros
we have seen 203 and it's history for a long time

*no punning is intended.
  • #90,752
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:23pm Jun 8, 2008 10:23pm
Quoting lilmoe
the only bad thing(s) for our shorts is that h4 and h1 qqe are crossed upwards and we're trading above gann on both tfs, looool. i'll post my crapper when we close below 206.60
I'll see your crapper and my bear cab at around 1000gmt then.
  • #90,753
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:25pm Jun 8, 2008 10:25pm
Quoting shakesfx
Don't follow my trades, trade what you see. I'm not short at 213 BTW as I'm sure price won't get there.

I've been loading shorts from 204,205,206,207,208 area on the way up. IF we get above 208 again I'll load more shorts, but I think this is as high as we go.

u need to learn how to use ur ignore function bro.
  • #90,754
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:25pm Jun 8, 2008 10:25pm
a bull weighed 211 pounds?


Quoting shakesfx
I'll see your crapper and my bear cab at around 1000gmt then.
greed+gluttony+self-indulgence+craving= success
  • #90,755
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm
Quoting Ultraman
will see 203..........................
short only
I don't think so GJ will drop till 203. Long term trend is up trend. But who knows...Big Boys also don't know.
  • #90,756
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm
this should start playing out anytime soon now.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj_m5.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #90,757
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm Jun 8, 2008 10:30pm
Quoting OwningSoros
high oil hurts Jap economy......and UK is also an oil exporter and BOE may switch to rate hike when they find inflation figures (to be released in a few hours) so intolerable...
BOE is in a bind. Look at the financial data from last week.
Don't be surprised if they actually lower rates soon.
There is a storm a brewing and it WILL not be good for carry trades.

Being flexible and trading your chart is the only way to be profitable.

My 4HR Gann is at 207.59 which was just touched almost to the pip. Daily QQE is crossed down.
Could go either way.
  • #90,758
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:35pm Jun 8, 2008 10:35pm
Quoting lilmoe
u need to learn how to use ur ignore function bro.
Found it.
  • #90,759
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:36pm Jun 8, 2008 10:36pm
Here is another scenario:

The 4 four has lower highs and is the start of a downward trending channel . A breach of 205.5 and price is heading to the bottom of the channel at 202.67. This could be as early as Tuesday of this week.

I have placed a 1-2-3 sell formation on the 4 hour that gives targets of

100 is 202.67
127% is 201.21.

The bearish scenario is more favoured right now on the 4 hour due to
1) double rapid rsi sell triggers
2) macd cross to down side
3) macd histo under 0

If 208 is not breached to the upside this downward channel could well play out.

I am day trading this bad boy till it gives better direction . There are way better swing trade out there (GU , NZDUSD , GBPCAD , GBPCHF, USDCHF etc etc )

I would not be going swing trade short till break 204.5 ( 50 sma on daily) , and I would not be going swing trade long till break out of 209. In the middle is fair game on day trades.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy.png Size: 288 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #90,760
  • Jun 8, 2008 10:43pm Jun 8, 2008 10:43pm
Quoting Rustyyy
BOE is in a bind. Look at the financial data from last week.
Don't be surprised if they actually lower rates soon.
There is a storm a brewing and it WILL not be good for carry trades.

Being flexible and trading your chart is the only way to be profitable.

My 4HR Gann is at 207.59 which was just touched almost to the pip. Daily QQE is crossed down.
Could go either way.

I agree. BOE will lower rates and surprise the market IMHO.

I like this compasion made by a senior economist about the FED lowering rates versus Inflation:

"This slowdown/recession can be compared to a firefighter at a fire. Firstly you put out the fire (get consumers to start spending money) and worry about the smoke/water damge (inflation) after the fire is out.
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