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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #84,721
  • May 27, 2008 6:24pm May 27, 2008 6:24pm
My new trading method, "When in Rome..."
Money & Pain Respect the market, protect your capital, be patient
  • #84,722
  • May 27, 2008 6:25pm May 27, 2008 6:25pm
I would just like to understand Clouds reasoning.

He is in such strong belief that the USD will collapse so strongly over the next several months, yet believes that USDJPY AND USDCHF will rise...

This logic escapes me at the moment, and would like to understand it.
Que
  • #84,723
  • May 27, 2008 6:25pm May 27, 2008 6:25pm
Quoting Que
Also currious, how you can believe the EURUSD will rise and at the same time feel as if the USDCHF will rise as well?

I am short USDCHF and you looked supprised and said good luck with that?

For the record, looks as if my EU trade was pretty good, accept it got stopped out to the pip. Oh well huh.
maybe that's what I "want" to see happen. Sometimes usd/jpy is in an uptrend and so is eur/usd. usd/jpy moves sometimes like usd/chf. I guess I "want" to see chf and jpy both go to sh&%
  • #84,724
  • May 27, 2008 6:25pm May 27, 2008 6:25pm


To all newcomers and visitors...
Welcome to Auslanco's euro/dollar thread!! roflm-silly-ao
FUBAR...
  • #84,725
  • May 27, 2008 6:27pm May 27, 2008 6:27pm
I wonder what's accounting for the discrepancy between gbp/yen and dow, as of late...they seem out of sync

...well, maybe not today LOL
  • #84,726
  • May 27, 2008 6:28pm May 27, 2008 6:28pm
What the US has certainly proved is that war is not as profitable as it used to be
Money & Pain Respect the market, protect your capital, be patient
  • #84,727
  • May 27, 2008 6:28pm May 27, 2008 6:28pm
Quoting ak4x


To all newcomers and visitors...
Welcome to Auslanco's euro/dollar thread!! roflm-silly-ao

whatever it is , .. green pips are always welcome
am ready to trade shit if it give me green pips at the end of the day
  • #84,728
  • May 27, 2008 6:28pm May 27, 2008 6:28pm
Quoting mktjong
I saw that and think it had played out on the 4H TF, that's why I didn't mention it.

i have no idea why most of the people i know, not only u guys are so determined that euro is going to go up when all the signs either technical or even fundamental (at least to my understanding) are saying that the europeans will smash it to the floor. almost 6-7 months ago chairman of ECB was expressing on TV how the "high" euro (at 1.4) was really BAD to their economy. i wonder how he feels now when it has peaked at 1.6....


euro found the reversal point at 1.6 and hammered down 700 pips. now euro has finished it's retracement and headed back down, way down. just my own opinion.
  • #84,729
  • May 27, 2008 6:30pm May 27, 2008 6:30pm
Quoting Clouds
maybe that's what I "want" to see happen. Sometimes usd/jpy is in an uptrend and so is eur/usd. usd/jpy moves sometimes like usd/chf. I guess I "want" to see chf and jpy both go to sh&%
I understand this is what you would like to see. That is fine. But to blatantly call out one of my trades as completely wrong as you did requires a bit of explanation in my opinion.

I understand I am no James16 or Jacko or any of the other quite competent traders on this forum. However, I do not appreciate the blatant disregard of a trade I made (While posting charts) with nothing to back it up.

Quite Rude...
Que
  • #84,730
  • May 27, 2008 6:30pm May 27, 2008 6:30pm
Quoting toyboy tramp
What the US has certainly proved is that war is not as profitable as it used to be
$ is NOT the goal with our "wars"!!
  • #84,731
  • May 27, 2008 6:31pm May 27, 2008 6:31pm
Quoting Clouds
maybe that's what I "want" to see happen. Sometimes usd/jpy is in an uptrend and so is eur/usd. usd/jpy moves sometimes like usd/chf. I guess I "want" to see chf and jpy both go to sh&%

if the dollar will get way less euros, how the heck will it get way more yen??? we're not comparing crossrates here bro.
  • #84,732
  • May 27, 2008 6:33pm May 27, 2008 6:33pm
Quoting lilmoe
i have no idea why most of the people i know, not only u guys are so determined that euro is going to go up when all the signs either technical or even fundamental (at least to my understanding) are saying that the europeans will smash it to the floor. almost 6-7 months ago chairman of ECB was expressing on TV how the "high" euro (at 1.4) was really BAD to their economy. i wonder how he feels now when it has peaked at 1.6....


euro found the reversal point at 1.6 and hammered down 700 pips. now euro has finished it's retracement and headed back down, way down. just my own opinion.
gbp/usd also: some calling it to fall massively to 1.75, others say it will maybe reach 2.00 upwards. myself? i say the former
  • #84,733
  • May 27, 2008 6:33pm May 27, 2008 6:33pm
Quoting SuperV900
$ is NOT the goal with our "wars"!!
ummmm, yes it is!
Money & Pain Respect the market, protect your capital, be patient
  • #84,734
  • May 27, 2008 6:33pm May 27, 2008 6:33pm
Quoting lilmoe
i have no idea why most of the people i know, not only u guys are so determined that euro is going to go up when all the signs either technical or even fundamental (at least to my understanding) are saying that the europeans will smash it to the floor. almost 6-7 months ago chairman of ECB was expressing on TV how the "high" euro (at 1.4) was really BAD to their economy. i wonder how he feels now when it has peaked at 1.6....


euro found the reversal point at 1.6 and hammered down 700 pips. now euro has finished it's retracement and headed back down, way down. just my own opinion.
Well, you never know, all countries are going down the toilet. I'll short the Euro, went the central banks tell us they are going to intervene, until then, it's just talk to me, just like Bush complaining about oil prices. Unfortunately, the market has a mind of it's own.
  • #84,735
  • May 27, 2008 6:36pm May 27, 2008 6:36pm
Quoting ukvipersden
gbp/usd also: some calling it to fall massively to 1.75, others say it will maybe reach 2.00 upwards. myself? i say the former

i think 1.88 first, then 1.75
provided analysis on that a month ago
  • #84,736
  • May 27, 2008 6:38pm May 27, 2008 6:38pm
Quoting toyboy tramp
ummmm, yes it is!
Heh, I agree it is. Unfortunately, the private sector is making the money while the US Government is bending over, getting raped, and then paying for the service...
Que
  • #84,737
  • May 27, 2008 6:38pm May 27, 2008 6:38pm
Quoting Clouds
Well, you never know, all countries are going down the toilet. I'll short the Euro, went the central banks tell us they are going to intervene, until then, it's just talk to me, just like Bush complaining about oil prices. Unfortunately, the market has a mind of it's own.

it's evidently sarcastic that the bush administration is complaining about high oil, when all his administration are making a killing out of it. but i really don't find that the same case when europeans are hurting because of their high currency, and cant figure out how their governments can make a killing off of that.
  • #84,738
  • May 27, 2008 6:39pm May 27, 2008 6:39pm
Quoting SuperV900
$ is NOT the goal with our "wars"!!

  • #84,739
  • May 27, 2008 6:41pm May 27, 2008 6:41pm
Originally Posted by ukvipersden http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
gbp/usd also: some calling it to fall massively to 1.75, others say it will maybe reach 2.00 upwards. myself? i say the former

Quoting lilmoe
i think 1.88 first, then 1.75
provided analysis on that a month ago
missed it LOL: mind if i ask what time-frame you have in mind??
  • #84,740
  • May 27, 2008 6:42pm May 27, 2008 6:42pm
Quoting lilmoe
i have no idea why most of the people i know, not only u guys are so determined that euro is going to go up when all the signs either technical or even fundamental (at least to my understanding) are saying that the europeans will smash it to the floor. almost 6-7 months ago chairman of ECB was expressing on TV how the "high" euro (at 1.4) was really BAD to their economy. i wonder how he feels now when it has peaked at 1.6....


euro found the reversal point at 1.6 and hammered down 700 pips. now euro has finished it's retracement and headed back down, way down. just my own opinion.
Is it because you are currently short EU?
There is no fundamental reason either for US dollar to appreciate other than FED has signaled possibly hold or raise the interest rate. ECB also has hinted inflation cautionary ..
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