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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #78,001
  • May 2, 2008 12:50pm May 2, 2008 12:50pm
Quoting lilmoe
if this 30 min candle closes below 207.35 i'm adding another short
Can you slap it again?
  • #78,002
  • May 2, 2008 1:02pm May 2, 2008 1:02pm
Quoting Clouds
Can you slap it again?

Ya lilmoe...Gj need your slap
  • #78,003
  • May 2, 2008 1:02pm May 2, 2008 1:02pm
Quoting Clouds
Can you slap it again?


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  • #78,004
  • May 2, 2008 1:04pm May 2, 2008 1:04pm
Quoting Clouds
Maybe it takes going long against the dollar for a month, and watching your money slowly disappear.

thats why they make puts, cover the risk, many players do it, trading delta positive, negative. But clearly lookin at the dx chart real money took a stand back on march 17th
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #78,005
  • May 2, 2008 1:05pm May 2, 2008 1:05pm
Quoting Clouds
Can you slap it again?
are we still going down?
  • #78,006
  • May 2, 2008 1:06pm May 2, 2008 1:06pm
On two hour chart, you look like you just got done retracing, and sitting on pedestal, ready for success, but you must get down lower, so other people can scoop you up.
  • #78,007
  • May 2, 2008 1:06pm May 2, 2008 1:06pm
man it worked ?!?!
  • #78,008
  • May 2, 2008 1:08pm May 2, 2008 1:08pm
Quoting lilmoe
man it worked ?!?!


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  • #78,009
  • May 2, 2008 1:09pm May 2, 2008 1:09pm
Quoting OrionsWay
I guess noone wants to believe a trend change has happened


My chart show too much.
I use Gann-Hilo10 & Gann-Hilo 14, QUE 20 & QUE 5, MACD (8,17,9).
I am looking for better enter point, maybe 205 or 204.60.
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It’s just emotions & money
  • #78,010
  • May 2, 2008 1:12pm May 2, 2008 1:12pm
Told ya not till Monday.
  • #78,011
  • May 2, 2008 1:15pm May 2, 2008 1:15pm
Quoting khaled22
we need to breake 207.48 to go 206 area
Also we3 need UJ breake 105.15 to go GJ 206 area
  • #78,012
  • May 2, 2008 1:20pm May 2, 2008 1:20pm
Hello guys,
I'm happy to join forex factory and enjoy reading ur post guys very good and make me feel it's like family.

Today my first day here @gbp/jpy and 2 trade better than eur/usd in my opinion
I'M working most of day and have free time only from 8 GMT so i better trade with pair at Asian market.

If it break 207.40 i will go short
  • #78,013
  • May 2, 2008 1:23pm May 2, 2008 1:23pm
Quoting Dmac
Told ya not till Monday.
That's what she wants you to think.
  • #78,014
  • May 2, 2008 1:34pm May 2, 2008 1:34pm
S&P just cut the largest lender to rating to junk, stocks lower, this may help this pair! Thanks S&P
  • #78,015
  • May 2, 2008 1:35pm May 2, 2008 1:35pm
Written by Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency Strategist


We maintain that the GBPJPY rally from 192.60 is a correction. For one, the first leg of the rally is in 3 waves. Second, the extended nature of the decline from 242.60 argues that the GBPJPY decline from 251.10 will unfold in 5 waves rather than 3. Since there are only 3 down as of right now, we can expect another low. Near term resistance begins at 205.39 and a bearish bias is warranted against 208.60.
http://www.dailyfx.com/export/sites/...9-08cross3.gif
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #78,016
  • May 2, 2008 1:40pm May 2, 2008 1:40pm
Written by Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency Strategist


The Dow has advanced nearly 1,500 points from its January low and lulled market participants into a complacent state that is common (and necessary) before a major price decline occurs. What does this mean for the USDJPY?


http://www.dailyfx.com/export/sites/...-08weekly1.gif

When focusing on the bigger picture, there is little evidence to suggest that the USDJPY is headed higher. There is nothing to suggest that the rally from 95.72 is not a 4th wave. A 50% Fibo at 105.18 coincides with the lower region of a congestion zone; which should act as resistance (right now). We are bearish as long as price is below 107.20. An unexpected breach of that level would cause to re-evaluate.


http://www.dailyfx.com/export/sites/...-08weekly2.gif

The structure of the rally from 95.72 is additional evidence that the larger trend is still down. The advance consists of overlapping waves and can be counted as a double zigzag (W-X-Y); which is two 3 wave segments connected by an X wave. We’ll be looking to confirm a top next week or the week after.



http://www.dailyfx.com/export/sites/...-08weekly3.gif

Analyzing the Dow can help confirm or refute a Yen count. Since the October 2007 top above 14,000, declines in the Dow are impulsive (5 waves) and advances are corrective (3 waves). This is evidence of a bear market in its early stages and wave iii of 3 is ready to begin. The area just above 13,100 has acted as support and resistance since May 2007; today’s high at 13,132.30 could be the top of wave ii of 3. If so, then a major decline is upon us.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #78,017
  • May 2, 2008 1:43pm May 2, 2008 1:43pm
[quote=arezab;1982143] Written by Jamie Saettele, Technical Currency Strategist


We maintain that the GBPJPY rally from 192.60 is a correction. For one, the first leg of the rally is in 3 waves. Second, the extended nature of the decline from 242.60 argues that the GBPJPY decline from 251.10 will unfold in 5 waves rather than 3. Since there are only 3 down as of right now, we can expect another low. Near term resistance begins at 205.39 and a bearish bias is warranted against 208.60.

Seen it before, do you agree with it?
  • #78,018
  • May 2, 2008 1:52pm May 2, 2008 1:52pm
this is what my program picked up for counts, top count
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #78,019
  • May 2, 2008 1:55pm May 2, 2008 1:55pm
Based on
1) pivot 2 hour
2) rapid rsi in overbought conditions
3) regular rsi dropped down thru 70

I see a down trend in to 1st target trend line 205.90
If this is broken 207.6 support at bottom of larger channel

I have a sell stop order at 206.9 ( 75 pips off bottom of pivot bar ) for the market to come to me.

I do not pick tops and bottoms but like to get the last 2/3 of the move.

Have a great weekend all

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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #78,020
  • May 2, 2008 2:12pm May 2, 2008 2:12pm
dear arezab
i think that analysis' quecee5 is better then Jamie saettele.

Here is a weekly chart I posted last week and yesterday regarding GJ over the coming weeks. .
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