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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #75,561
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:24am Apr 25, 2008 10:24am
Quoting DutchTrader
Bears are back out to play


Attached Image
  • #75,562
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:25am Apr 25, 2008 10:25am
no pal, the only reason for this darn pair to move up was to get my stop loss then move shooting down again...

Quoting frevd
yes, finally.

it took a day longer than expected (due to eur wanting to fulfill its down move, got +51), but the range still held and i expect it to check out the downside now, IF them bulls arent evil.

damn this was crude times. my uchf short pays +47 now and i stayed in my gj short which would be -50 now (stacked up at the top and have -17 now). so lets hope we break 205 again.
  • #75,563
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:26am Apr 25, 2008 10:26am
@Lilmoe and Ash

Well they couldn't ignore the worst consumer confidence in 26 yrs
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #75,564
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:31am Apr 25, 2008 10:31am
Quoting lilmoe
no pal, the only reason for this darn pair to move up was to get my stop loss then move shooting down again...
yeah sorry for that, you had it at 6.50, no? we went 100p further, so you wont be the only one. at least you played it safe, i could easily have been trapped down there now. something was very wrong since it didnt retrace in japan session. and i'm not sure whether it will do in this coming session. so whatever happens, i'm out asap (would collect negative interest else ).
  • #75,565
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:34am Apr 25, 2008 10:34am
double tops every where
  • #75,566
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:38am Apr 25, 2008 10:38am
Quoting lilmoe
double tops every where

Yep
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #75,567
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:53am Apr 25, 2008 10:53am
awwwwww, friday effects..
  • #75,568
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:54am Apr 25, 2008 10:54am
and double tops = down?

could someone recommend a good pivot point indi? i have one but it will not show on all time frames even if "show on all time frames" is checked in properties. i'm using mt4. thanks
  • #75,569
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:55am Apr 25, 2008 10:55am
Where on earth did you find that. Fantastic!

Quoting Ash
You mean like this.......
Regards, Android.
  • #75,570
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:57am Apr 25, 2008 10:57am
this is unpredictable now. i guess it is better to wait till all those blue-eyed bulls finished their pre-wednesday positioning and then jump in when fed "unexpectedly" cuts more than expected and announces to keep cutting.
  • #75,571
  • Apr 25, 2008 10:59am Apr 25, 2008 10:59am
Quoting maneddi
and double tops = down?

could someone recommend a good pivot point indi? i have one but it will not show on all time frames even if "show on all time frames" is checked in properties. i'm using mt4. thanks
here you go (find attached), you can have any period (default daily) and it shows in all timeframes <= than the selected tf.
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 --PivotCustomTime----.mq4   14 KB | 459 downloads
  • #75,572
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:05am Apr 25, 2008 11:05am
thanks frevd, i appreciate that...
  • #75,573
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:08am Apr 25, 2008 11:08am
the camarilla lines are of no actual use, and together with the midpoints lines the R and S and pivot lines the chart looks a bit crowded above H1, so u better deactivate midpoints (since easily eye-spotted) and go with the standard lines only.
  • #75,574
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:09am Apr 25, 2008 11:09am
tweezer tops on GU h4 chart suggest bearish movement. i'm short GU, will lock some profits at 1.9790 target unknown yet. but i would really like to see 1.9821 breached..
  • #75,575
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:12am Apr 25, 2008 11:12am
Quoting lilmoe
tweezer tops on GU h4 chart suggest bearish movement. i'm short GU, will lock some profits at 1.9790 target unknown yet. but i would really like to see 1.9821 breached..
yes, technically we bounced off monthly stddev-pivot just before going through it so its very likely that we retest it. but i doubt it will be today since i see strong weekend effects.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.gif Size: 30 KB
  • #75,576
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:23am Apr 25, 2008 11:23am
Quoting Aad
Hmm, looks like it tried to break the 100% fib but then headed down towards the daily pivot, maybe it will bounce off that one...
Hi Aad, what is this stochastic indicator you are using? Would you mind please to share it?

I appreciate it.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #75,577
  • Apr 25, 2008 11:59am Apr 25, 2008 11:59am
Quoting lilmoe
according to my crystal ball, today's high would be the highest this pair would go. i'm thinking of overall bearish next week

just a thought
Here is 15 min ... bull flag that is all we have going on today.

38.2% fib retracement of the move up from 204,16 to 207.50. It seem that gj likes to go only to 38.2 % fib retracement

Once the top of the bull flag breaks then 208.01 and more likely 209.82 become targets.

Liekly that cycle will be ocmplete before the interest rate cut by the feds on Wednesday.

Wednesday the feds will likely cut rates and then talke about possible rate increases as inflation is beoming more and more of a concern .

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj100.png Size: 187 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #75,578
  • Apr 25, 2008 12:02pm Apr 25, 2008 12:02pm
Quoting frevd
this is unpredictable now. i guess it is better to wait till all those blue-eyed bulls finished their pre-wednesday positioning and then jump in when fed "unexpectedly" cuts more than expected and announces to keep cutting.

I am not second guessing .. but I think you will only get 25 bps cut and talk of rate cut easing and concerns about inflation.

food and gas going up ... only way to curb inflation is interest rate hikes.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #75,579
  • Apr 25, 2008 12:41pm Apr 25, 2008 12:41pm
ya allah
hi all
  • #75,580
  • Apr 25, 2008 12:41pm Apr 25, 2008 12:41pm
hi shahroodi
h r u??
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