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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #71,861
  • Apr 4, 2008 3:49pm Apr 4, 2008 3:49pm
Quoting DutchTrader
What you mean? I said nothing, check my post edit
lol, you guys are just way too funny.
  • #71,862
  • Apr 4, 2008 3:56pm Apr 4, 2008 3:56pm
Quoting DutchTrader
What you mean? I said nothing, check my post edit
Patience + Discipline - Greed = Success
  • #71,863
  • Apr 4, 2008 4:08pm Apr 4, 2008 4:08pm
Quoting Infinity
What I was hoping for was a 4h close below 200 ema and I just got. I will leave my short from 204.5 open until next week. stop +50.

There are no major news releases scheduled for early next week so I expect this to continue to push lower in the next days.

Bless
Cool, altho I did close 3/4 of my positions at the last moment. Left some to hopefully close out lower if there's a gap down on the open. Otherwise SL at +60.

Contrary maybe, stupid not. Well not since last Monday anyway...
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-b...0080401a4.html
FUBAR...
  • #71,864
  • Apr 4, 2008 4:09pm Apr 4, 2008 4:09pm
One hell of a week............

Don't make too many comments on the post, but hell........(spectating is an art)

All I can say is that if you follow the key funadmentals of Aussie's system you should have profitted nicely, I know I have and thank you Aus, Karmo, Markem, Q et al...

The sigantures that we see all the day quoting the great 'Q' trade your charts not what I say, coupled with some wariness around news should have brought some happy faces (oh and some woefull ones) with a week like this...

I am personally re-evaluating how I analyse things after this week, i was lucky enough to see the overall Bearishness and actually take advantage of the great Long but also gradually buy into strtegic shorts throughout...and it went rather well but felt a little bit toooooooooooo lucky........

Happy pippin all for the week ahead...................
  • #71,865
  • Apr 4, 2008 4:11pm Apr 4, 2008 4:11pm
A few naked charts....
JPY day
GBP Day
Geppy Day
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jpy.GIF Size: 18 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbp.GIF Size: 16 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gep1.GIF Size: 15 KB
Patience + Discipline - Greed = Success
  • #71,866
  • Apr 4, 2008 7:14pm Apr 4, 2008 7:14pm
i'm keeping the short until the closest h4 support - 201.27 (maybe even 200.50).
after that, daily chart would show more chances for a possible break IF price turns upwards. and i think it will turn upwards for another test of the main trendline (the green one...)
my trade suggestions:
- long on a close above the green trendline, or
- short on a close below the red trendline; however, in this case, careful with the daily support from 197.74.
i would go for about 5-700 pips on either direction.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #71,867
  • Apr 5, 2008 12:00am Apr 5, 2008 12:00am
still holding my short from 205.05 .. no tp or sl used. only TS 55p used.
  • #71,868
  • Apr 5, 2008 1:37am Apr 5, 2008 1:37am
Yesterday news on NPF was good for GBP....but why GJ going down ....suppose it going up

Anybody could explain ...
  • #71,869
  • Apr 5, 2008 3:33am Apr 5, 2008 3:33am
Quoting PandoraBox
Yesterday news on NPF was good for GBP....but why GJ going down ....suppose it going up

Anybody could explain ...

well it is now expected that the problems in the us will effect europe and britan as well....so......... that being the case gpb abnd eur will be possibly looking to cut rates on their currencies to stimulate their economies...the pairs fall due to this speculation of future cuts....

OR

the market is not random at all and this was all pre-determined by the natural rhythmic cycles of the world including its finacial markets and Gods design of tthe universe

OR

the inner circle of supa dupa welathy people like the rothchilds that actually manipulate the martkets in a very precise manner had this all [lanned through compute programing algorythms years ago.... (see you tube lol...

OR maybe all of the above to some degree



you decide


  • #71,870
  • Apr 5, 2008 5:36am Apr 5, 2008 5:36am
Quoting PandoraBox
Yesterday news on NPF was good for GBP....but why GJ going down ....suppose it going up

Anybody could explain ...
there is a bias correlation between GJ and UJ: if USD news are bad it shall effect GJ pushing it down through mediator of JPY
BUT if the news for GBP are good then the move down is usually limited
  • #71,871
  • Apr 5, 2008 5:53am Apr 5, 2008 5:53am
Quoting dagoods
well it is now expected that the problems in the us will effect europe and britan as well....so......... that being the case gpb abnd eur will be possibly looking to cut rates on their currencies to stimulate their economies...the pairs fall due to this speculation of future cuts....

OR

the market is not random at all and this was all pre-determined by the natural rhythmic cycles of the world including its finacial markets and Gods design of tthe universe

OR

the inner circle of supa dupa welathy people like the rothchilds that actually manipulate the martkets in a very precise manner had this all [lanned through compute programing algorythms years ago.... (see you tube lol...

OR maybe all of the above to some degree



you decide


ROTFLMAO!

Good to see u post bro!
  • #71,872
  • Apr 5, 2008 6:55am Apr 5, 2008 6:55am
Quoting quecee5
ROTFLMAO!

Good to see u post bro!
now! dont you have a way of poping out of thin air.....lol...how has it been bro..quit a long time..
Imanuel Parsifal
  • #71,873
  • Apr 5, 2008 7:43am Apr 5, 2008 7:43am
Quoting sycho
now! dont you have a way of poping out of thin air.....lol...how has it been bro..quit a long time..
I'm gd bro. . . What about u?
  • #71,874
  • Edited 2:57pm Apr 5, 2008 8:54am | Edited 2:57pm
Here is what I see, price looks like it will retrace some, it has closed below the 200 EMA which confirms a down move along with the crossing of the ZL Stoch. on 4hr chart.

Now before heading lower price could go back and challenge or re-test resistance @ the 200 EMA @ 203.15/30 area before heading down, 15 min chart suggest this could be a reality.

A failure up there would see price headed back down with targets @ 38.2% or 50% ret. from the move started @ 195.06 to 205, which targets are set at 200.87 and 199.75 area. . . Keep in mind there is a monthly support ar'd 199.50 area.

A break of monthly support will more than likely mean that the whole uptrend is probably completed and GJ will be headed back to the lows and possibly new lows.

Just my take on this. . .

1st chart 4hr, 2nd - 15min
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #71,875
  • Apr 5, 2008 9:40am Apr 5, 2008 9:40am
As always, good stuff Q I believe a bounce is in order to collect more sellers as we gun for targets below 199
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #71,876
  • Apr 5, 2008 12:06pm Apr 5, 2008 12:06pm
one of my ideas.
the dotted trendline is estimated looking at the past - just take a look at the previous red trend lines. the blue one was drawn by my usual rules.
either way, it's safer to trade AFTER price breaks out of the actual triangle.

Quoting DutchTrader
As always, good stuff Q I believe a bounce is in order to collect more sellers as we gun for targets below 199
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #71,877
  • Apr 5, 2008 12:38pm Apr 5, 2008 12:38pm
Quoting quecee5
Here is what I see, price looks like it will retrace some, it has closed below the 200 EMA which confirms a down move along with the crossing of the SL Stoch. on 4hr chart.

Now before heading lower price could go back and challenge or re-test resistance @ the 200 EMA @ 203.15/30 area before heading down, 15 min chart suggest this could be a reality.

A failure up there would see price headed back down with targets @ 38.2% or 50% ret. from the move started @ 195.06 to 205, which targets are set at 200.87 and 199.75 area. . . Keep in mind there is a monthly support ar'd 199.50 area.

A break of monthly support will more than likely mean that the whole uptrend is probably completed and GJ will be headed back to the lows and possibly new lows.

Just my take on this. . .

1st chart 4hr, 2nd - 15min



as usual i agree with you
  • #71,878
  • Apr 5, 2008 12:41pm Apr 5, 2008 12:41pm
Quoting Scrat
one of my ideas.
the dotted trendline is estimated looking at the past - just take a look at the previous red trend lines. the blue one was drawn by my usual rules.
either way, it's safer to trade AFTER price breaks out of the actual triangle.
cool figure Scrat.
  • #71,879
  • Apr 5, 2008 1:00pm Apr 5, 2008 1:00pm
[quote=DutchTrader;1937628]As always, good stuff Q I believe a bounce is in order to collect more sellers as we gun for targets below 199
no below 199 perhaps 189.60
  • #71,880
  • Apr 5, 2008 1:10pm Apr 5, 2008 1:10pm
We have LL (lower low) and broke dm2 midpivot @ 202.44 and dayly s2 pivot is comming @ 201.86 Also we are not far away from my DZ zone (fibo 61.8%). On 4hr chart 200ema goes @ 201.35 and near fibo 50% @ 201.05. We might see a bounce from my upper DZ zone/fibo 61.8% or 50% fibo level as well. Lets wait and see what the market brings us.

Cheers!
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