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Attachments: I haven't got a clue!
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I haven't got a clue!

  • Linked: WhyLose.com | Brokerage Account XXXXX41
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  • #381
  • Edited 2:25pm Jan 18, 2007 2:12pm | Edited 2:25pm
I'm fascinated with your trading style, though mine is a bit different.
The new moon also foresees a drop first though
There are 3 lunation scenarios: the trend end, its continuation or the reversal. I guess today the third is true for next cycle. Today I've got +50 pips on post-CPI uptrend and lost the chance to go long after that.
Ben
  • #382
  • Jan 18, 2007 10:05pm Jan 18, 2007 10:05pm
And that could be my undoing.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #383
  • Jan 18, 2007 10:08pm Jan 18, 2007 10:08pm
2953 long exited for 43.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #384
  • Jan 18, 2007 10:17pm Jan 18, 2007 10:17pm
Net short 6-3. Open loss $477. Margin 214%
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #385
  • Edited 10:33pm Jan 18, 2007 10:32pm | Edited 10:33pm
Quoting Benf
I'm fascinated with your trading style, though mine is a bit different.
The new moon also foresees a drop first though
There are 3 lunation scenarios: the trend end, its continuation or the reversal. I guess today the third is true for next cycle. Today I've got +50 pips on post-CPI uptrend and lost the chance to go long after that.
Wow and I thought you were joking Benf. Oh well. Thanks for the input and the added chart. I need the reversal even more now though. I'll leave that one to the forex Gods. They've been smiling on me so far. Well done on your CPI call BTW.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #386
  • Jan 18, 2007 10:52pm Jan 18, 2007 10:52pm
Most news services will release this report at 10:00 am New York, however, special paid subscribers to University of Michigan telephone conferencing, will get it at 9:45 am. The big news services, like Bloomberg, Reuters, Cnbc, Dow Jones, or any other big names will have this data for the public 15 minutes too late.

The expectation of the consumer confidence is at around 92. A reading of 95 or above, would signify the highest reading since July 2005 when the U.S. economy market and housing were booming, and therefore would be bullish for the dollar short term. A reading of 89 or below would dump the consumer confidence reading below the 90s level, which was steadily reading throughout the whole fourth quarter of 2006, therefore a reading of 89 or below would be bearish for the dollar.

A 30 pips move on this one if the consumer confidence gives a big surprise.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #387
  • Jan 18, 2007 11:37pm Jan 18, 2007 11:37pm
Well, the short 2996 went nowhere for the last couple of hours. I'd be gutted if I got a margin call due to a short when I'm so bullish. Net long 7-6. I trust my shorts won't go stale like my longs from the 5th January. I won't be able to stand the smell. And stale shorts are far more serious.

To err is human, to "hedge" divine. Be long term but watch the ticks.

Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #388
  • Jan 19, 2007 12:25am Jan 19, 2007 12:25am
Patience is not my strong point. 15 south in the last 30. Oh well, lets scoop up my shorts down to 2920 for a 100 but no lower and then we'll continue north. Famous last words? Probably.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #389
  • Jan 19, 2007 12:33am Jan 19, 2007 12:33am
Back to 1.3 in the blink of an eye. Serious interest on the dips it would appear. Stale shorts coming to a thread near you soon I fear.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #390
  • Jan 19, 2007 12:50am Jan 19, 2007 12:50am
2996 short exited for 10.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #391
  • Jan 19, 2007 1:17am Jan 19, 2007 1:17am
Corrective risk under 1.3 Pivot: 3003. Targets 295 & 2937 which will go through my 2950 TP for 20. Shorts 2940 and 2945 would remain. But the upside breakout of 1.3003 will open the way to 1.3031 & 1.305. The pair should bang against its bullish channel resistance.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bullish
305 Intraday resistance
3031 Fib retracement (38.2%)
3003 Intraday pivot point
2993 Last
295 Fib retracement (50%)
2937 Fib retracement (61.8%)
2905 Bullish channel support

http://www.tradingcentral.com/chart/...0119074717.GIF

Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #392
  • Jan 19, 2007 5:56am Jan 19, 2007 5:56am
Further consolidation. Net short 7-8.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #393
  • Jan 19, 2007 5:59am Jan 19, 2007 5:59am
Exit short 2965 for 12.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #394
  • Jan 19, 2007 6:29am Jan 19, 2007 6:29am
7-7 neutral until something hits TP.

Short TP at 2947, 2940, 2925 and 2920. Long TP at 3069, 3124, 3133 and one with none.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #395
  • Jan 19, 2007 6:53am Jan 19, 2007 6:53am
Quoting Why Oh Why
Most news services will release this report at 10:00 am New York, however, special paid subscribers to University of Michigan telephone conferencing, will get it at 9:45 am. The big news services, like Bloomberg, Reuters, Cnbc, Dow Jones, or any other big names will have this data for the public 15 minutes too late.

The expectation of the consumer confidence is at around 92. A reading of 95 or above, would signify the highest reading since July 2005 when the U.S. economy market and housing were booming, and therefore would be bullish for the dollar short term. A reading of 89 or below would dump the consumer confidence reading below the 90s level, which was steadily reading throughout the whole fourth quarter of 2006, therefore a reading of 89 or below would be bearish for the dollar.

A 30 pips move on this one if the consumer confidence gives a big surprise.
So, a nice move south to 2920 on this report then retrace until end of the week to 1.3. Forex Gods, you reading? Possible? Don't ask me. But if you don't ask you don't get. That's it from me for the moment - the weekend starts now.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #396
  • Edited 7:25am Jan 19, 2007 7:24am | Edited 7:25am
"EUR/USD was unable to maintain its overnight rally, slipping back below 1.2980/90 support early in Europe, prompting dealers to pull the plug on short term spec longs. Heavy profit-taking in Cable this morning in Europe helped filter through to EUR/USD as well.

The market has spent the first few weeks of the year reassigning its outlook for the US economy in 2007 and has fully adjusted to the view that a soft landing will be achieved. The market maintains the view that the ECB still has 50-75 bp of tightening left to do this year as well. Until those perceptions shift, it is likely that EUR/USD will remain range - bound in something like a 1.2850/1.3150 range." FXCM Squawk Box.

And I really am going now.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #397
  • Edited 9:26am Jan 19, 2007 9:23am | Edited 9:26am
Quoting Why Oh Why
So, a nice move south to 2920 on this report then retrace until end of the week to 1.3. Forex Gods, you reading? Possible? Don't ask me. But if you don't ask you don't get.
It got to exactly where I thought it would during Consumer sentiment. 2 shorts closed earlier. And then the other 2 during the announcement. So, gents we got to 73 consecutive profitable trades and I have a balance of $649.81. No margin call - but an email saying "some trades were closed due to a stop out". FXDD. I've never had a margin call and I was happy for the account to blow up. Can anybody assist why this would happen? What is a stop out.? There was no margin call. What's going on?

And the 2 that closed during the CS were short and both showing a profit and now they appear closed at break even. Well, gents, it was fun. Thanks for your support. Any ideas anyone?

I'll now be running Aparsi's new Pip Boxer when it launches next week on this account. I'm sure it'll beat my profit of 30% over 4 weeks but I'm not sure that we'll ever make 73 consecutive profitable trades. But it's the profit that counts as we all know. Have a great weekend everyone.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #398
  • Jan 19, 2007 4:53pm Jan 19, 2007 4:53pm
I was really rooting for you.

I don't particularly see why you should give up now though.

30% in 4 weeks is a great return. Just keep doing the same thing and you'll have made it into $15,000 by year end.

and that's just assuming you can't improve, which surely you can seen as you started without a clue and now must have a basic notion.

change your name to 'why oh why not' and keep going. You were only 27 away from 100.

I have no idea why you were stopped out. Perhaps they did something funny with the spreads.

Good luck with the pip boxer. It looks quite interesting doesn't it?
quote of the day: . It's like deja-vu all over again
  • #399
  • Jan 20, 2007 1:06am Jan 20, 2007 1:06am
Date: 07:59 20th Jan 2007
From: "Why Oh Why"
To: "FXDirectDealer" <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: FXDirectDealer: Confirmation

Hi,

Please tell me why the positions were closed when I had no stop loss on them and there was not a margin call?

Also why the two shorts were closed simultaneously. How can there be no
profit on them? EURUSD is now at 2962 and you closed the longs at 2940. A
difference of 22 pips. I would prefer them to still be open. You closed the
positions and as it retraced you have cost me 7 times 22 pips - 152 - in open
profit against the open loss there should be. And the shorts closed by you
did hit TP. Why close them at break even. It's ridiculous.

I look forward to hearing from you.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #400
  • Jan 20, 2007 1:09am Jan 20, 2007 1:09am
[quote=Gmak;192445]I was really rooting for you.

I don't particularly see why you should give up now though. 30% in 4 weeks is a great return. Just keep doing the same thing and you'll have made it into $15,000 by year end.quote]It was always about the consecutive profitable trades and the number being unbroken by a loss.

Thanks for your support.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
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