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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #66,881
  • Mar 7, 2008 6:12pm Mar 7, 2008 6:12pm
Quoting aediaz1
POSSIBLE pull-back lvl ; 208.47 area looking at 1h chart. Hm.. 208.47 sounds familiar Karmo can you help me out ?
You were only 20 pips out .. NICE CALL
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #66,882
  • Mar 7, 2008 6:27pm Mar 7, 2008 6:27pm
Quoting hcruces
Malcom, nice job today. What do u think will happen with GJ now or for the close? You think it will jump back to 207???? its testing 206.40 again...

On days like today when the markets come down quiet hard look for short covering on the indexes ( the day traders will be taking their profits on stocks ,closing position at end of day , thus driving the markets up) towards the end of the day. This typically happens from 12:15 Pacific standard to US market close at 13:00 pst.

On a Friday it will happen about 11:15 pst to 12:00 pst as most traders bail out early and go home. Hence the rally in the GBPJPY from 11:15 am PST this morning to 12:00 PST


Damn i am giving away all my secrets ....lol
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #66,883
  • Mar 7, 2008 10:16pm Mar 7, 2008 10:16pm
Keep on givin bro!!!
  • #66,884
  • Mar 8, 2008 1:28am Mar 8, 2008 1:28am
hi karmo
what s your analyses for next week . is it possible to reach to 50% fibo and then begin to bear ? i use your analyses according to my own risk .
thanks
  • #66,885
  • Mar 8, 2008 3:24am Mar 8, 2008 3:24am
Quoting karmostaji
sorry bears, try harder next week lol

next week they counts their chikens
  • #66,886
  • Mar 8, 2008 3:37am Mar 8, 2008 3:37am
Quoting shahroodi

next week they counts their chikens
Hello, Shahroodi


  • #66,887
  • Edited 3:52am Mar 8, 2008 3:38am | Edited 3:52am
Quoting shahroodi

next week they counts their chikens
are u long now?
i mean do have long possition.
  • #66,888
  • Mar 8, 2008 3:59am Mar 8, 2008 3:59am
Quoting Jerry
are u long now?
i mean do have long possition.
hi mate
yes i have a long position at 206.50.

i take this position after price retraced to that area.
see post below
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=66791

  • #66,889
  • Edited 4:50am Mar 8, 2008 4:35am | Edited 4:50am
good morning guys hows you all..

after my lost this week i dunno what happen but i can call it lost , i just come back to my mini account as i hate demo lol
so hope you can help me to get some profit this week if you dont mind as i wana share you the pivot R/S calculation maybe it can help some of you and make it more easy ..

tkx for all your support and ur sweetie help

a big tkx to Karmo , Mike W , aus , Shahroodi, simonJ , texasforEX .... and all of you

Attached File(s)
File Type: zip Pivot Calculator.zip   17 KB | 353 downloads
  • #66,890
  • Mar 8, 2008 5:04am Mar 8, 2008 5:04am
Quoting danryman78
hi karmo
what s your analyses for next week . is it possible to reach to 50% fibo and then begin to bear ? i use your analyses according to my own risk .
thanks
In simple words, retrace to 50%-61.8% and then down to 199.63 (Monthly 50%), but I need to get my confirmation from the beginning of new weekly candle (I'll keep you updated)
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #66,891
  • Mar 8, 2008 5:23am Mar 8, 2008 5:23am
Why is swap rate for GBP/JPY higher than NZD/JPY? NZD has even higher interest rate than GBP right?
  • #66,892
  • Mar 8, 2008 5:27am Mar 8, 2008 5:27am
when can we expect $Yen to fall below 100 and 2 did anyone think when looking at the Non farm payrolls, so far as cable was concerned it was anticlimatic
what should next week hold?
  • #66,893
  • Mar 8, 2008 5:52am Mar 8, 2008 5:52am
Quoting shahroodi
hi mate
yes i have a long position at 206.50.

i take this position after price retraced to that area.
see post below
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=66791

we are in one cab
  • #66,894
  • Mar 8, 2008 6:11am Mar 8, 2008 6:11am
Quoting mark2007
when can we expect $Yen to fall below 100 and 2 did anyone think when looking at the Non farm payrolls, so far as cable was concerned it was anticlimatic
what should next week hold?
Mark

Anticlimatic ???

There was 2 things going on , on Friday morning.

The feds put liquidity into the markets 15minutes before the NFP came out. That was a sure sign that the NFP was NFG (no fing good) .

The NFP was supposed to be +23,000 jobs instead it was -63,000 and sure sign that the US is in recession. The NFP came out we dropped 100 pips in seconds.

Also there was a rumour of emergency rate cuts shortly after the NFP came out of 75% ... hence the 300 pips move up.

When this did not happen profit taking occurred hence the 150pips move down.

Now in all this time gbpusd moved 100 pips and 100 pips down , a big swing for gbpusd in 3 hours.

here is the question you have to think about :
what if liquidty had not been put in the market before NFP ?
what if there was no rumour of an emergency fed rate cut. ?

I bet we would have seen 500 pips down in one day on gpjpy and 200 pips up on gbpusd. The dj030 would have had a 400 point down day testing 52 week lows

The fed fund futures are factoring in a 32% of a 1% rate cut next week. (the US economy is going down the pan just like the Japanense one did .. soon they US governrment will be spending billions of dollars just to create jobs)

In regards to JPY falling under 100. Something I have picked up off the news wires is that BOJ will intervene in the 100 range,
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #66,895
  • Mar 8, 2008 10:01am Mar 8, 2008 10:01am
Hi Karmo,
I thought you were long buddy...I still dont understand why...I would like to know why even though the market situation is so bad you choose to be a bull...I have not got any positions open..but just my curiosity

Thanks
Rav
  • #66,896
  • Mar 8, 2008 10:47am Mar 8, 2008 10:47am
Quoting karmostaji
In simple words, retrace to 50%-61.8% and then down to 199.63 (Monthly 50%), but I need to get my confirmation from the beginning of new weekly candle (I'll keep you updated)
ok karmo thanks . in my opinion you are master .
i wonder if see you in iran as a guest .
  • #66,897
  • Mar 8, 2008 10:58am Mar 8, 2008 10:58am
hi shahroodi , im counting chickens yet
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  • #66,898
  • Mar 8, 2008 11:00am Mar 8, 2008 11:00am
Quoting hussin naiji
hi shahroodi , im counting chickens yet

beautifull chicken (nok tala )
  • #66,899
  • Mar 8, 2008 11:04am Mar 8, 2008 11:04am
Quoting shahroodi

beautifull chicken (nok tala )
its only a small pull back
  • #66,900
  • Mar 8, 2008 11:09am Mar 8, 2008 11:09am
i love chickens
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