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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #57,401
  • Jan 5, 2008 12:34pm Jan 5, 2008 12:34pm
Quoting dagoods
great chart..... but my spidey senses are telling me that after such a huge move..... the dang geppy wants to start to get trciky on us...... check this monthly chart previous resistance now turned support??? can anyone say possible retrace? 219.32 still possible? or 216.65 the 38 fib on the monthly candle? hmmmmmmmmmmmm.... then again.....no doubt she is going to fall more sooner or later though.....great chart thanks! this beast has a mnd of her own i may just stay out of her way for a while till she makes it nice and easy on me again.....
just my opinion but we may see some dollar strength next week which could drive the pound lower and obviously push the DOW higher and poss push gj up. PLEASE DONT ASK ME WHY I THINK DOLLAR WILL STRENGHTHEN, I KNOW IT MAKES NO SENSE. but if dagoods can use his spidey senses so can I. LOL!!! i think i am just trying to balance myself, getting too excited about the poss short opportunities. btw, the charts are definitely saying SHORT ME, SHORT ME
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #57,402
  • Jan 5, 2008 1:03pm Jan 5, 2008 1:03pm
Quoting moneymagnet
just my opinion but we may see some dollar strength next week which could drive the pound lower and obviously push the DOW higher and poss push gj up. PLEASE DONT ASK ME WHY I THINK DOLLAR WILL STRENGHTHEN, I KNOW IT MAKES NO SENSE. but if dagoods can use his spidey senses so can I. LOL!!! i think i am just trying to balance myself, getting too excited about the poss short opportunities. btw, the charts are definitely saying SHORT ME, SHORT ME

oh come on....you're just agreeing with me so i keep posting charts and you can keep taking weekends off!
  • #57,403
  • Jan 5, 2008 1:22pm Jan 5, 2008 1:22pm
Quoting dagoods
oh come on....you're just agreeing with me so i keep posting charts and you can keep taking weekends off!
YEP!!!
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #57,404
  • Jan 5, 2008 1:40pm Jan 5, 2008 1:40pm
Quoting moneymagnet
YEP!!!

boy that uj lookis like she wants to fight all this down pressure does'nt she? shes a trooper i think she may dig down and fight back a little bit..... we'll know soon....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uj.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #57,405
  • Jan 5, 2008 2:05pm Jan 5, 2008 2:05pm
Quoting Timingy
Can someone point me to where I can ind live qoutes on GJ over the weekend?
you can check the chart (update every 60 min) @


http://www.actionforex.com/forex_ana..._200603215764/

br
  • #57,406
  • Jan 5, 2008 4:50pm Jan 5, 2008 4:50pm
Quoting bluerose
you can check the chart (update every 60 min) @


http://www.actionforex.com/forex_ana..._200603215764/

br
Here is a site for real time quotes
http://www.forex-markets.com/quotes_crossrates.htm
  • #57,407
  • Jan 5, 2008 4:59pm Jan 5, 2008 4:59pm
Here's a look at the monthly chart with this decade's fibs and trends, and an emphasis on where price could be heading. Drew some fibs from low to high, and it looks like we've hit the 38.2% retrace fib already. Found three viable trend lines for lows pointing to areas above 200 and below 210. If the fundamental situation gets worse I see us heading for the mid to low 200's, where there's a confluence of the trend lines and the next fib line.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: monthly2.jpg Size: 158 KB
  • #57,408
  • Jan 5, 2008 5:04pm Jan 5, 2008 5:04pm
I see Bearish @ long term here.

1- Weekly Chart
2- Monthly Chart
3- Daily Chart
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBP-JPY Weekly chart January 5, 2008.png Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBP-JPY Monthly chart January 5, 2008.png Size: 43 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBP-JPY Daily chart January 5, 2008.png Size: 30 KB
  • #57,409
  • Jan 5, 2008 5:21pm Jan 5, 2008 5:21pm
Quoting dagoods
great chart..... but my spidey senses are telling me that after such a huge move..... the dang geppy wants to start to get trciky on us...... check this monthly chart previous resistance now turned support??? can anyone say possible retrace? 219.32 still possible? or 216.65 the 38 fib on the monthly candle? hmmmmmmmmmmmm.... then again.....no doubt she is going to fall more sooner or later though.....great chart thanks! this beast has a mnd of her own i may just stay out of her way for a while till she makes it nice and easy on me again.....
I wouldn't mind seeing that, Mr D.

  • #57,410
  • Jan 5, 2008 5:42pm Jan 5, 2008 5:42pm
Originally Posted by bluerose http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
you can check the chart (update every 60 min) @
http://www.actionforex.com/forex_ana..._200603215764/


Originally Posted by PipChick

Here is a site for real time quotes
http://www.forex-markets.com/quotes_crossrates.htm

--------------------------------------------------------

And my favorite
http://www.xe.com/
  • #57,411
  • Jan 5, 2008 6:03pm Jan 5, 2008 6:03pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
I wouldn't mind seeing that, Mr D.


I luv your charts pc.... from an a b c d e point of view.... on the geppy and the cad/jpy (weird how the jpys sems to line up all of the sudden....maybe because yen strengthening across the board) anyway the 123 4 5 waves or a b c d e wave theory would suggest we ar in the middle of wave 3 down on the geppy on your chart....how does one tell if we go up now to complete wave 4 and then a final big ole 5 down wave OR we keep going down on this nice wave 3???????? also, PC can you post your fib analysis of daily 4 hour 1 hour? i'd love to see that and am not good enough at it yet myself to trust my own chart.... help much appreciated....
  • #57,412
  • Jan 5, 2008 6:19pm Jan 5, 2008 6:19pm
Quoting emm
Pipchick, would you mind posting an example of a head and shoulders on my board. I sure would appreciate it. Thanks inadvance.
Where is your board Emm?
  • #57,413
  • Jan 5, 2008 7:10pm Jan 5, 2008 7:10pm
nice chart pc as usual. u, dagoods, and the others just make my weekends. just wondering if we get a retest of the break which happens alot. thats y i am thinking potential $ strenghth to 219-220 then fall. may be a tricky week but i am ready either way.
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #57,414
  • Edited 7:31pm Jan 5, 2008 7:30pm | Edited 7:31pm
Could anyone who has subscribed tell me how is the performance of the signal so far?

If I want to unsubscribe from the signal service, how can I go about doing so?

Thank you
  • #57,415
  • Jan 5, 2008 10:00pm Jan 5, 2008 10:00pm
Quoting Carrera
I see Bearish @ long term here.

1- Weekly Chart
2- Monthly Chart
3- Daily Chart
Nice charts there Carrera! Mind if ask you what charting package you use?

I think the whole market was following that H&S breakdown, it was difficult for my buy stop to get filled. Thanks for pointing out the 38.2 on the monthly, I haven't been tracking the fibs out that far, it will be interesting to see if it holds up.
  • #57,416
  • Jan 5, 2008 10:29pm Jan 5, 2008 10:29pm
Based on the fundamentals from USA, I think we are going into a full " Recession" soon..

Fundamental in my opinion will dominate this years trading !!!

Also, I found this analysis about GBPJPY ....

This might help understand the strength of GBP vs JPY...

http://www.pfxglobal.com/index.php?o...367&Itemid=237

It seems that GBP is following the USA weakness in the housing market...

I think Thursday will determine the overall market for the next few months....

Interest rate decision coming out from GBP and EUR. Also, Ben Bernanke the man who always seem to save the day.....

http://money.cnn.com/2008/01/04/news...ion=2008010416

You be the judge!!!

Dagoods thanks for the feedback.. I would like to know more about your " spidey senses"

Fundamentals will probably outweigh the direction of the carry trades...




Quoting dagoods
great chart..... but my spidey senses are telling me that after such a huge move..... the dang geppy wants to start to get trciky on us...... check this monthly chart previous resistance now turned support??? can anyone say possible retrace? 219.32 still possible? or 216.65 the 38 fib on the monthly candle? hmmmmmmmmmmmm.... then again.....no doubt she is going to fall more sooner or later though.....great chart thanks! this beast has a mnd of her own i may just stay out of her way for a while till she makes it nice and easy on me again.....
[
  • #57,417
  • Jan 5, 2008 11:12pm Jan 5, 2008 11:12pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Nice charts there Carrera! Mind if ask you what charting package you use?



I think the whole market was following that H&S breakdown, it was difficult for my buy stop to get filled. Thanks for pointing out the 38.2 on the monthly, I haven't been tracking the fibs out that far, it will be interesting to see if it holds up.
Thanks. I use Dealbook with GFT
  • #57,418
  • Jan 6, 2008 12:18am Jan 6, 2008 12:18am
Quoting moneymagnet
nice chart pc as usual. u, dagoods, and the others just make my weekends. just wondering if we get a retest of the break which happens alot. thats y i am thinking potential $ strenghth to 219-220 then fall. may be a tricky week but i am ready either way.
not that my 2 cents matters amongst you guys, but I see a potential retest of the break as well and looking to get short around that level...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: geppy.gif Size: 37 KB
Has what you wanted to see made you blind?
  • #57,419
  • Jan 6, 2008 12:37am Jan 6, 2008 12:37am
Quoting Dunkan
not that my 2 cents matters amongst you guys, but I see a potential retest of the break as well and looking to get short around that level...



i wouldnt be surprised at anything though....this pair likes to play games and go wacky...she could easily decide to go to 216 and drop or she could just as easily just keep falling..... then as MM said and i noticed and your chart shows quie nicely, there is the possibility of 219 220 area retest so as MM said best to be prepared for the possibilities.... but I'm with you looking (hoping?) for good places and better pricing to get short again
good luck!
  • #57,420
  • Jan 6, 2008 12:56am Jan 6, 2008 12:56am
There is a correlation with DOW with all JPY crosses, if next week the stock market still falling, you'll see GBP/JPY falling as well. Also next week GB has the interes rate news, If they lower the interes rate probably will be a heavy drop for GB. Let's see.
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