EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics 1,757 replies

ECN && STP && Scalping && Hedging - Broker Review - Oct 2009 24 replies

Anybody write ea with bill williams' chaos theory? 13 replies

EURUSD forecast & market Sentiment 14 replies

Looking For Chaos Fratal Indicator 2 replies

Attachments: EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory
Exit Attachments

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Dec 29, 2007 12:07pm Dec 24, 2007 9:31am | Edited Dec 29, 2007 12:07pm
I have gotten many requests to continue my thread "The basket of hybrids; 4 Pairs" therefore I start this thread to continue to acquaint you with possibilities of modern methods of markets analysis.
We will use only daily trading (forecasts) in EURUSD by applying the trading system based on the Chaos theory. All executions will be made on the opening of a day and results will be placed in a table.

Waiting for annual results (for 2008 year):
15-20 trades,
1-2 triggered stoploss,
profit 25-30 handles = 2500-3000 pips;
profit factor not less than 12,

We will start with 1th January of 2008 year.
  • #2
  • Dec 24, 2007 1:48pm Dec 24, 2007 1:48pm
I very much look forward to watching it as it progresses.
  • #3
  • Dec 24, 2007 2:31pm Dec 24, 2007 2:31pm
Quoting WHTenn
I very much look forward to watching it as it progresses.
Welcome!
  • #4
  • Edited Dec 26, 2007 9:32am Dec 25, 2007 1:45pm | Edited Dec 26, 2007 9:32am
Talking about dynamics of EURUSD I will use a term "the long-term trend" described by the TrendTD line. It is a isolated market cycle with a length about 30-50 days and is a main trend. I calculate its points on the basis of last 250-300 days without re-calculation their ones. The ThendTD line is an auxiliary element of my system but it allows easily to value of the price dynamics.
Attached Image
  • #5
  • Dec 26, 2007 9:49am Dec 26, 2007 9:49am
Hi,

I have been trading Bill Williams chaos recently on the 4H timeframe, and having success. It seems that certain pairs are better suited to the daily chart using this method, and I believe EUR/USD is one of them.

I assume the chaos you mention is Bill Williams', but I know there are others out there. In any case, I look forward to following this thread, and thank you in advance for the effort.


Richard
  • #6
  • Edited Dec 27, 2007 3:45am Dec 26, 2007 10:04am | Edited Dec 27, 2007 3:45am
Quoting Richard7
Hi,

I have been trading Bill Williams chaos recently on the 4H timeframe, and having success. It seems that certain pairs are better suited to the daily chart using this method, and I believe EUR/USD is one of them.

I assume the chaos you mention is Bill Williams', but I know there are others out there. In any case, I look forward to following this thread, and thank you in advance for the effort.


Richard
Many Thanks

Yes EURUSD is the best pair for technical forecasts as well as USDJPY, USDCHF and GBPUSD. No this is not the Bill Williams's method. I use own market model in space of parameters {C-close, V-volume, I-open interest}={X,Y,Z}.
  • #7
  • Dec 26, 2007 3:31pm Dec 26, 2007 3:31pm
Results will be placed in this table on the opening of days.
Attached Image
  • #8
  • Dec 26, 2007 4:22pm Dec 26, 2007 4:22pm
I don't know, the EUR/USD has been crushing technicals, IMHO. Just look at the last CPI report!

rudenstein
  • #9
  • Edited 4:50am Dec 27, 2007 3:18am | Edited 4:50am
Quoting rudenstein
I don't know, the EUR/USD has been crushing technicals, IMHO. Just look at the last CPI report!

rudenstein
To confirm my words I adduce percents of profitable trades given of my system on the history of 20 last years
among USD-contained pairs: best is EURUSD - 86%, worst is USDZAR - 76%.

Certainly, results depend on a system but major pairs will always be most forecastable because of their huge streams of money.
  • #10
  • Dec 27, 2007 4:14am Dec 27, 2007 4:14am
So aleksey, are going long eur/usd? at what price do you buy?
  • #11
  • Dec 27, 2007 4:33am Dec 27, 2007 4:33am
Quoting greentunnel
So aleksey, are going long eur/usd? at what price do you buy?
Currently I have not any opened position as I am on a vacation.
  • #12
  • Dec 27, 2007 4:33am Dec 27, 2007 4:33am
How is the trendtd line calculated. I assume its not just a simple moving average.
BTC Return This Year: na
  • #13
  • Edited 5:06am Dec 27, 2007 4:43am | Edited 5:06am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
How is the trendtd line calculated. I assume its not just a simple moving average.
It is calculated by using the digital filter based on the Park McAllen's algorithm. ThendTD line is not an element of my system, but by using it we will easy value the long-term price dynamics.
  • #14
  • Dec 27, 2007 5:12am Dec 27, 2007 5:12am
You are using terms and techniques completely unlike anything I have ever come across. I learnt bill williams but that is just another ema system , nothing really new
Are u teaching your system here? Is it ok to ask questions or is there some other reference material I could use to learn this method? Where did you learn it?
BTC Return This Year: na
  • #15
  • Dec 27, 2007 5:25am Dec 27, 2007 5:25am
I need someone good out there to tell what to expect of this pair in 5 hours time to 01.30pm(GMT)
  • #16
  • Edited 6:13am Dec 27, 2007 5:35am | Edited 6:13am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
You are using terms and techniques completely unlike anything I have ever come across. I learnt bill williams but that is just another ema system , nothing really new
Are u teaching your system here? Is it ok to ask questions or is there some other reference material I could use to learn this method? Where did you learn it?
There is the only reason why currently I do not do it. I will be able to reveal details only after publication of an article about my approach. (Spring) After that I will be able to teach its elements. It is my method and its copyright belongs to me.
  • #17
  • Dec 27, 2007 5:45am Dec 27, 2007 5:45am
Good Luck i am really looking forward in learning something new about this pair
  • #18
  • Dec 27, 2007 5:46am Dec 27, 2007 5:46am
Quoting matebisi
I need someone good out there to tell what to expect of this pair in 5 hours time to 01.30pm(GMT)
Sorry but this is not my forecast horizon.
  • #19
  • Dec 27, 2007 5:48am Dec 27, 2007 5:48am
I'm looking forward to check it out,too. Especially, if it is based on some russian research. Keep it that way Aleksei and good luck
If you do - don't be afraid, if you are afraid - don't do
  • #20
  • Edited 6:00am Dec 27, 2007 5:50am | Edited 6:00am
Quoting WARaintOVER
Good Luck i am really looking forward in learning something new about this pair
Quoting koltri
I'm looking forward to check it out,too. Especially, if it is based on some russian research. Keep it that way Aleksei and good luck
Many Thanks, Welcome
1 trader viewing now