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Breeze....Update on GBP/JPY

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  • Post #681
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2007 2:09pm Nov 26, 2007 2:09pm
  •  Arbit007
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 60 Posts
Quoting TraderJoe
Disliked
Well, I can speak about it from where I see it but I do not profess to know exactly the way Breeze performs the hedge function.

I do it like this.

1. While I am trading I do not hedge or set any SL unless the market is very volatile then I'll set a disaster hedge way out there 150 to 200 pips.

2. When it is time for me to leave the computer I set a hedge around 50 pips above/below any resistance/support I think price has a possibility to touch while I'm away.

3. When I return, normally no hedge is hit but occasionally when it does get hit then, I sit back, smoke a cig, have a cup of coffee and bless the morning because I don't have to worry about making any quick decision to get unhedged.

Anyways here is the part were most people screw up.
Now that we're hedged, psychology begins to work on the mind. On one hand we know we are completely safe and have literally all the time in the world to get back into the game on a positive note yet on the other hand there is a tendency to feel pressured to hurry and get back in being afraid we might just miss that magic moment were we can unhedge and all will be well.

Speaking from my own standpoint here remember, when I suddenly find myself hedged, I then work out a plan of:

What did I do wrong which landed me in a hedge or was there an unusual condition that got me hedged?

a: If it was an error of judgment regarding correct pivots S/R's or what ever then I simply concentrate harder on my charts and find where the correct entry point should have been that I missed. Then I set a order to unhedge me at that point and begin again.

b: If it was because of a change in market conditions then if the conditions are plain and clear I'll do the same as a: above but if they are not clear then I'll put that trade on the back burner for as long as it takes for market conditions to reveal themselves so I can again stalk the correct timing to enter (re-enter) the position again.

The most important thing anyone can understand about hedging is that once hedged, we must put all urgency to the side and relax, say to ourselves... I'm hedged!!! WONDERFUL! Then work out a trading plan to become unhedged the same as you would work on a plan to take any trade.

Well... I hope this helps some. Again, I really don't know exactly how Breeze does it but I did develop my hedging system based on watching him hedge for quite some time now but Breeze is the final authority on hedging, and he is very very good at it.

Sincerely,
TJ

EDIT:
It would not be right for me to leave out the common sense fact that anyone wishing to learn how to hedge should practice on a demo account until they feel comfortable with it before implementing anything different such as hedging on their live trading account.
Ignored


Thanks for your time to explain this.
 
 
  • Post #682
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:58am Nov 27, 2007 2:45am | Edited 2:58am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
long @
227.50................active
226.50................active
227.00................active
226.22................active
226.50................active
226.75................active
227.25................active
226.40 X 5...........active
226.00.................waiting activation
225.00................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
224.15................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
223.50................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked

added long again @
223.50...............active
224.00...............active
224.22...............waiting activation
224.50...............waiting activation

Profitable trading
Breeze
 
 
  • Post #683
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:49am Nov 27, 2007 2:49am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
Quoting TraderJoe
Disliked
Well, I can speak about it from where I see it but I do not profess to know exactly the way Breeze performs the hedge function.

I do it like this.

1. While I am trading I do not hedge or set any SL unless the market is very volatile then I'll set a disaster hedge way out there 150 to 200 pips.

2. When it is time for me to leave the computer I set a hedge around 50 pips above/below any resistance/support I think price has a possibility to touch while I'm away.

3. When I return, normally no hedge is hit but occasionally when it does get hit then, I sit back, smoke a cig, have a cup of coffee and bless the morning because I don't have to worry about making any quick decision to get unhedged.

Anyways here is the part were most people screw up.
Now that we're hedged, psychology begins to work on the mind. On one hand we know we are completely safe and have literally all the time in the world to get back into the game on a positive note yet on the other hand there is a tendency to feel pressured to hurry and get back in being afraid we might just miss that magic moment were we can unhedge and all will be well.

Speaking from my own standpoint here remember, when I suddenly find myself hedged, I then work out a plan of:

What did I do wrong which landed me in a hedge or was there an unusual condition that got me hedged?

a: If it was an error of judgment regarding correct pivots S/R's or what ever then I simply concentrate harder on my charts and find where the correct entry point should have been that I missed. Then I set a order to unhedge me at that point and begin again.

b: If it was because of a change in market conditions then if the conditions are plain and clear I'll do the same as a: above but if they are not clear then I'll put that trade on the back burner for as long as it takes for market conditions to reveal themselves so I can again stalk the correct timing to enter (re-enter) the position again.

The most important thing anyone can understand about hedging is that once hedged, we must put all urgency to the side and relax, say to ourselves... I'm hedged!!! WONDERFUL! Then work out a trading plan to become unhedged the same as you would work on a plan to take any trade.

Well... I hope this helps some. Again, I really don't know exactly how Breeze does it but I did develop my hedging system based on watching him hedge for quite some time now but Breeze is the final authority on hedging, and he is very very good at it.

Sincerely,
TJ

EDIT:
It would not be right for me to leave out the common sense fact that anyone wishing to learn how to hedge should practice on a demo account until they feel comfortable with it before implementing anything different such as hedging on their live trading account.
Ignored
Very Good TradeJoe.....very very good....keep the thread alive while I'm not here.....good explanation there my friend.....where is AF...?....we need him here.

Breeze
 
 
  • Post #684
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:51am Nov 27, 2007 2:51am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
Quoting TraderJoe
Disliked
He's around here somewhere, I just don't know his handle yet.
He said usdjpy is headed for 110 and he's long, (so am I)

Ignored
thats how I see it too....thanx mate.

Breeze
 
 
  • Post #685
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:01am Nov 27, 2007 3:01am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
long @
227.50................active
226.50................active
227.00................active
226.22................active
226.50................active
226.75................active
227.25................active
226.40 X 5...........active
226.00.................waiting activation
225.00................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
224.15................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
223.50................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked

added long again @
223.50...............active..............................target @ 226.00
224.00...............active..............................target @ 226.00
224.22...............waiting activation...............target @ 226.00
224.50...............waiting activation...............target @ 226.00

Profitable trading
Breeze
 
 
  • Post #686
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:01am Nov 27, 2007 3:01am
  •  fxpredator
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
Hi Breeze ,what do you think about the movement of AUD JPY, I am still holding the shorts there, and i am waiting for sure signal for trend reverse to close them and open Long positions thank you very much best regardsFXP
 
 
  • Post #687
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:03am Nov 27, 2007 3:03am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
Quoting fxpredator
Disliked
Hello Breeze I have good profits on shorts AUDJPY (2lots on 98.60, 2 lot on 100 ) and i am waiting the reverse of the trend to close them... As you know, i have also Long position (4 lots 106.50 ) which is on minus , so i dont have to make misstake ; what do you think about aud/jpy? will it go up , when and till where or it will range and then drop again Best regards
Ignored
Theres signs of a reversal to the upside on the USD/JPY....its not yet confirmed.....but almost there....so AUD/JPY....I would say target to the upside and again I might be wrong theres too much whipsaws....I just dont like the way the market is acting rite now....not at all

Breeze
 
 
  • Post #688
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:11am Nov 27, 2007 3:11am
  •  fxpredator
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
Quoting Breeze
Disliked
Theres signs of a reversal to the upside on the USD/JPY....its not yet confirmed.....but almost there....so AUD/JPY....I would say target to the upside and again I might be wrong theres too much whipsaws....I just dont like the way the market is acting rite now....not at all

Breeze
Ignored
Thank you Breeze wish you profitable tradesFXP
 
 
  • Post #689
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:18am Nov 27, 2007 3:18am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
long @
227.50................active
226.50................active
227.00................active
226.22................active
226.50................active
226.75................active
227.25................active
226.40 X 5...........active
226.00.................waiting activation
225.00................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
224.15................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
223.50................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked

added long again @
223.50...............active..............................target @ 226.00
224.00...............active..............................target @ 226.00
224.22...............waiting activation...............target @ 226.00
224.50...............waiting activation...............target @ 226.00

Profitable trading
Breeze
 
 
  • Post #690
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 3:28am Nov 27, 2007 3:28am
  •  Kain
  • | Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 44 Posts
Breeze, mind telling me how you can "afford" to hedge so much and at the same time open new positions down low when you have so many opened up above? How big of a volume/quantity do you use per trade?
 
 
  • Post #691
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 4:37am Nov 27, 2007 4:37am
  •  TraderJoe
  • | Joined Nov 2004 | Status: SOHN Graduate | 764 Posts
Quoting Kain
Disliked
Breeze, mind telling me how you can "afford" to hedge so much and at the same time open new positions down low when you have so many opened up above? How big of a volume/quantity do you use per trade?
Ignored



There's only one way my friend. I'll give you 3 guesses and the first two don't count.
Charts never lie! (everyone else does) ... now where's that FF Adult lounge
 
 
  • Post #692
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 4:44am Nov 27, 2007 4:44am
  •  TraderJoe
  • | Joined Nov 2004 | Status: SOHN Graduate | 764 Posts
Quoting Breeze
Disliked
Very Good TradeJoe.....very very good....keep the thread alive while I'm not here.....good explanation there my friend.....where is AF...?....we need him here.

Breeze
Ignored

I keep telling him, should show up soon I'm sure.

He was by the chat today but I missed him.
Charts never lie! (everyone else does) ... now where's that FF Adult lounge
 
 
  • Post #693
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 8:53am Nov 27, 2007 8:53am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
Quoting Kain
Disliked
Breeze, mind telling me how you can "afford" to hedge so much and at the same time open new positions down low when you have so many opened up above? How big of a volume/quantity do you use per trade?
Ignored
I only need to pay the spread only when I hedge......about the trading volume....I have investors and I'm a Trading Company.

Breeze
 
 
  • Post #694
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 8:57am Nov 27, 2007 8:57am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
long @
227.50................active
226.50................active
227.00................active
226.22................active
226.50................active
226.75................active
227.25................active
226.40 X 5...........active
226.00.................waiting activation
225.00................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
224.15................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked
223.50................active.......closed @ 225.50...Profits booked

added long again @
223.50...............active
224.00...............active
224.22...............waiting activation
224.50...............waiting activation

Profitable trading
Breeze
 
 
  • Post #695
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 9:01am Nov 27, 2007 9:01am
  •  Breeze
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Follow at your own risk | 2,106 Posts
We now have strong support @ 222.00....and USD/JPY on 107.61.....we need the USD/JPY to break above 108.80.....to continue this leg upward.....this is a tough war between the bears and the bulls....

Breeze
 
 
  • Post #696
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 9:20am Nov 27, 2007 9:20am
  •  HnP
  • | Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 164 Posts
what i can see is the physicological line also change the direction based on the price movement. If at the starting of a candle, it is pointing up, then if the price move down, it will also pointing down..Anybody can explain how to predict price movement using the physico indicator .....Uncle Breeze, do u have any idea?
 
 
  • Post #697
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 9:36am Nov 27, 2007 9:36am
  •  HnP
  • | Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 164 Posts
looking at 1 hr, 4 hr and daily, physicological line also has different reading, same like momentum. Really appreciate if somebody could explain
 
 
  • Post #698
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2007 11:13pm Nov 27, 2007 11:13pm
  •  TraderJoe
  • | Joined Nov 2004 | Status: SOHN Graduate | 764 Posts
Hey B... AF (and I) are holding JPY longs. Eyeballing 118
Charts never lie! (everyone else does) ... now where's that FF Adult lounge
 
 
  • Post #699
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2007 1:39am Nov 28, 2007 1:39am
  •  TraderJoe
  • | Joined Nov 2004 | Status: SOHN Graduate | 764 Posts
Quoting HnP
Disliked
looking at 1 hr, 4 hr and daily, physicological line also has different reading, same like momentum. Really appreciate if somebody could explain
Ignored

Hi HnP,

emmmm.... Don't understand what you need explained more than already has been? Any specific questions? Have you actually gone and read all the previous posts?

From what I understand the determining factor on the phy line is the 50% mark. Over 40 heading for 50 (long) and under 60 headed for 50 short along with ADX and RSI and pivots.

Post #1 says, ADX 12.5% = very strong trend and Psy line @ 60% signals "Bull Trend"

Post #12 says psy line at 56%, "I'll add more at 53 to 52%". Why? Because he says, there's strong support at the 52% level (expecting a bounce) while DX at 13% shows a very strong trend up condition.

Post 26 says, psy line holding @ 56%... ADX approaching 14% and the RSI breaking above 61 lvl, "Bulls" control.

There are several more precise instructions about how the psy line is used in the posts following those so I don't understand what you need help with.

If you could post some specific question you need answered, it would get answered? So please post it. Simply saying please explain doesn't make any sense because it has already been explained over 20 times that I could find here in this thread.

TJ
Charts never lie! (everyone else does) ... now where's that FF Adult lounge
 
 
  • Post #700
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2007 3:54am Nov 28, 2007 3:54am
  •  TraderJoe
  • | Joined Nov 2004 | Status: SOHN Graduate | 764 Posts
I'm thinking 109.65 for usdjpy. Any takers?
Charts never lie! (everyone else does) ... now where's that FF Adult lounge
 
 
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