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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #49,901
  • Nov 12, 2007 11:29pm Nov 12, 2007 11:29pm
nice going Pips_Cruiser
  • #49,902
  • Nov 12, 2007 11:32pm Nov 12, 2007 11:32pm
double bottom and strategy trade in play on the Eur/Jpy
  • #49,903
  • Nov 12, 2007 11:39pm Nov 12, 2007 11:39pm
Quoting judith
what was your entry price? did you wait for a 15m 5sma retrace to get in?
Price was 226.93, and right around the 15min 5sma at the time. If I'd been a little more patient I could have had a better entry. I closed it out manually at a pretty good point though, before it retraced much. I'm hoping for a better long later but I'll have to wait and see.
  • #49,904
  • Nov 12, 2007 11:43pm Nov 12, 2007 11:43pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
I just grabbed a quick 100 pips with a 15min strategy. Hopefully that 4hr/1hr will happen next . . . the 4hr chart is almost there.

Strange how all my trades have been longs lately, even though price keeps falling.
You must have been quick of the mark with that entry. Are you enterring before the end of the 15 min bar with the QQE5 or QQE1 crossing back up?
Katte, kabuto no o wo shime yo. Size doesn't matter, leverage is the killer
  • #49,905
  • Nov 12, 2007 11:57pm Nov 12, 2007 11:57pm
Quoting revoli
You must have been quick of the mark with that entry. Are you enterring before the end of the 15 min bar with the QQE5 or QQE1 crossing back up?
Well, remember that the 15min QQE1 and 15min QQE5 only have to be above the 50 line. They don't have to be crossed bullish like the other QQE's. They've both been above the 50 line on the 15min chart for 7 hours. The QQE60 has to be crossed bullish the conventional way (solid above the dashed line), and it's been bullish that long, too.
  • #49,906
  • Nov 13, 2007 12:06am Nov 13, 2007 12:06am
GJ just bounced off the 23.6 fib retracement of the latest bear run @ 228.15. i dont know if it will continue climbing up for 50 % retraco. But London opens in few minutes.Lets see what london brings to the table.

http://img218.imageshack.us/img218/2...raconm2.th.jpg
  • #49,907
  • Nov 13, 2007 12:10am Nov 13, 2007 12:10am
we also have GBP CPI at 4:30 EST
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #49,908
  • Nov 13, 2007 12:11am Nov 13, 2007 12:11am
London session daily pivot is 227.32.
  • #49,909
  • Nov 13, 2007 1:29am Nov 13, 2007 1:29am
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
Well, remember that the 15min QQE1 and 15min QQE5 only have to be above the 50 line. They don't have to be crossed bullish like the other QQE's. They've both been above the 50 line on the 15min chart for 7 hours. The QQE60 has to be crossed bullish the conventional way (solid above the dashed line), and it's been bullish that long, too.
Pips - Maybe I am interpreting the strategy wrong here. On the 15 min system we had the 15 min QQE60 go positive at 20:15 EST, we then had the QQE1 and QQE5 turn down 22:00 and 22:45 respectively (albeit above 50 line) and they did no turn up until 01:45 - ie a buy signal on 15 min strat. At this point we wait for a retrace to 5sma to enter, stop 60 points away(ish) TP 100 pips (Orange marker).

Right or wrong?
Katte, kabuto no o wo shime yo. Size doesn't matter, leverage is the killer
  • #49,910
  • Nov 13, 2007 1:51am Nov 13, 2007 1:51am
OK, here is an update, I see guppy making a correction up to the 230.50 area, I will add shorts there, there is a small chance, of the correction extending to the 235 region, but that would be it. There are a couple of time points to mention as well, 16th which is this friday, or at the worst 19th which is monday we should enter into a final fall. My targets are 215.50(conservative) and also a time point date target of 208 by the 26th or that week, I'm leaning towards a final low of 208 by 12/1/07. From that point on I see a continuous rise to at least the 235 region but a very possible scenario would take us past 241, to around 247 after the new year. So far untill the end of the month there are a lot more pips in the downside INMO.
  • #49,911
  • Nov 13, 2007 1:55am Nov 13, 2007 1:55am
Quoting revoli
Pips - Maybe I am interpreting the strategy wrong here. On the 15 min system we had the 15 min QQE60 go positive at 20:15 EST, we then had the QQE1 and QQE5 turn down 22:00 and 22:45 respectively (albeit above 50 line) and they did no turn up until 01:45 - ie a buy signal on 15 min strat. At this point we wait for a retrace to 5sma to enter, stop 60 points away(ish) TP 100 pips (Orange marker).

Right or wrong?
I think you're making it more difficult than it really is. My eyes are getting awfully tired from looking at charts, and it's 2AM here. But I promise to go through the things you've mentioned tomorrow and get back to you with a PM. It's obvious you want to understand this, so I don't mind spending some time on it.

  • #49,912
  • Nov 13, 2007 2:08am Nov 13, 2007 2:08am
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
I think you're making it more difficult than it really is. My eyes are getting awfully tired from looking at charts, and it's 2AM here. But I promise to go through the things you've mentioned tomorrow and get back to you with a PM. It's obvious you want to understand this, so I don't mind spending some time on it.

Thx get some well earned shut eye.
Katte, kabuto no o wo shime yo. Size doesn't matter, leverage is the killer
  • #49,913
  • Nov 13, 2007 4:53am Nov 13, 2007 4:53am
Quoting gene22
OK, here is an update, I see guppy making a correction up to the 230.50 area, I will add shorts there, there is a small chance, of the correction extending to the 235 region, but that would be it. There are a couple of time points to mention as well, 16th which is this friday, or at the worst 19th which is monday we should enter into a final fall. My targets are 215.50(conservative) and also a time point date target of 208 by the 26th or that week, I'm leaning towards a final low of 208 by 12/1/07. From that point on I see a continuous rise to at least the 235 region but a very possible scenario would take us past 241, to around 247 after the new year. So far untill the end of the month there are a lot more pips in the downside INMO.

Hi Gene, Of course I am just kidding with you. Thanks again for the analysis and all the time you and others dedicate to helping others. We appreciate it all.
  • #49,914
  • Nov 13, 2007 5:55am Nov 13, 2007 5:55am
Looks like we had a pretty good bounce off of the 1H 50EMA (100 pips top to bottom in 30 minutes!). My 4H chart also shows we had a confirmation on the TFT (Gann) at 7AM EST which should indicate 200 more pips upward movement to around the 230.50 level, which is near to where I show a 38.2 Fib from the last major move down.

M2B
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy 1h.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #49,915
  • Nov 13, 2007 6:28am Nov 13, 2007 6:28am
U.S. Stock-Index Futures Rise; Wal-Mart, Apple Shares Advance

``We have just gone a little bit too far, too fast; there was an excess of pessimism,'' said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor's in New York. ``We could be due for a bounce.''
  • #49,916
  • Nov 13, 2007 6:37am Nov 13, 2007 6:37am
Quoting Scrat
based on what?
Apologies for the late reply, but based on historical action. When price has got itself into the 249 to 220 range, it has normally taken a year or two to truly break out of it. When it has, the move has been a major one.
  • #49,917
  • Nov 13, 2007 6:37am Nov 13, 2007 6:37am
DOW 107.46 what's holding G/Y back??
  • #49,918
  • Nov 13, 2007 6:41am Nov 13, 2007 6:41am
Quoting wired2199
DOW 107.46 what's holding G/Y back??
Is it true?
We need to prepare for ride back down?
Work smart not hard
  • #49,919
  • Nov 13, 2007 6:52am Nov 13, 2007 6:52am
Treasury Bond Anxiety of Runaway Inflation Spurred by Bush Dollar Collapse For the first time in 18 months, the U.S. government bond market is showing growing anxiety that the plummeting dollar will result in runaway inflation.
  • #49,920
  • Nov 13, 2007 7:18am Nov 13, 2007 7:18am
Quoting wired2199
Treasury Bond Anxiety of Runaway Inflation Spurred by Bush Dollar Collapse For the first time in 18 months, the U.S. government bond market is showing growing anxiety that the plummeting dollar will result in runaway inflation.
We stoped as i can see...What now?
Work smart not hard
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