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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #39,361
  • Oct 11, 2007 5:50pm Oct 11, 2007 5:50pm
Quoting markam
Just for the heck of it, I took the hourly data since we started our uptrend from the 229 area on September 25 and curve-fitted it. It actually fits a 2nd-order polynomial function quite well. According to the curve, we have basically reached the top of the curve and will remain near this level for two more days. The curve turns downward at 6 pm eastern on October 11.

I am 99% sure this means nothing. I was basically just playing with excel while waiting for the market to move.
Maybe it was only 90% nothing.
  • #39,362
  • Oct 11, 2007 5:51pm Oct 11, 2007 5:51pm
Quoting bullrock
Karmo, I think I will join markam and his 210...
LOL markam will win this battle but I'll win the war , as long as the pips are green, I'm in.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #39,363
  • Oct 11, 2007 5:53pm Oct 11, 2007 5:53pm
Here's one more look at divergence on the 4H chart. I opened it up a little wider from the last shot of this chart and discovered two more divergence signals. The first divergence is often a headfake, as it was in this scenario (#1 on chart). The second divergence gave us a small bounce down to the 237 area (#2 on chart). We are, IMO, near the beginning of the third and fourth divergences (#3 and #4 on chart), which are actually peaking at the same price, 240.35. Based upon the down movement of the second divergence, I am expecting price to move down beneath that area, possibly as low as 235.50 or even 235, where a number of different supports abound. The farther apart the divergence signals are, the greater the potential move, in this case, downward. Let's see what happens.

M2B
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy 4h.gif Size: 35 KB
  • #39,364
  • Oct 11, 2007 5:54pm Oct 11, 2007 5:54pm
Quoting bmwboyee
Aus, you seem to be getting up earlier and going to bed later. addicted?
I went to bed early last night bro.. I missed this dip. Wish I never have to sleep Looking forward to the weekend.
  • #39,365
  • Oct 11, 2007 5:56pm Oct 11, 2007 5:56pm
That spike up hit exactly (to the pip) on the limit for my last long. Now I am all short.

Time to go down.
  • #39,366
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:01pm Oct 11, 2007 6:01pm
Quoting my2buoys
Here's

M2B
Thanks for the mail bro
  • #39,367
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:02pm Oct 11, 2007 6:02pm
Quoting auslanco
Thanks for the mail bro
Teamwork, my Friend. Give and it shall be given.

M2B
  • #39,368
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:11pm Oct 11, 2007 6:11pm
It looks as if the retracement (north) off the last 15m sell move is complete. Just bouned off the 38.2 fib and is starting to head south again.
Attached Image
  • #39,369
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:12pm Oct 11, 2007 6:12pm
Hakuna Matata, wagwaan? lol

Tell us your view please
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #39,370
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:12pm Oct 11, 2007 6:12pm
Quoting yezbick
It looks as if the retracement (north) off the last 15m sell move is complete. Just bouned off the 38.2 fib and is starting to head south again.
Nice chart, Yez.

M2B
  • #39,371
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:16pm Oct 11, 2007 6:16pm
Quoting markam
That spike up hit exactly (to the pip) on the limit for my last long. Now I am all short.

Time to go down.
bro..I always knew you had that technical side in you, although you pretended to be a fundie:
  • #39,372
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:19pm Oct 11, 2007 6:19pm
Good TPs based on my fibs are: 236.40 & 235.20 area
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #39,373
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:21pm Oct 11, 2007 6:21pm
Quoting markam
That spike up hit exactly (to the pip) on the limit for my last long. Now I am all short.

Time to go down.
I'd like to hear your fundamental analysis of what caused the drop, if you have an opinion.
  • #39,374
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:26pm Oct 11, 2007 6:26pm
Mmmmmmm. Me hungry!
Attached Image
  • #39,375
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:27pm Oct 11, 2007 6:27pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
I'd like to hear your fundamental analysis of what caused the drop, if you have an opinion.

Do you guys really not know what caused the drop yet? I thought it was pretty clear/obvious.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #39,376
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:28pm Oct 11, 2007 6:28pm
Quoting my2buoys
Here's one more look at divergence on the 4H chart.

M2B
Bro.. Thanks for the great analysis .Did you know you can spot divergence on the 10C Mom indicator as well.. Would you mind giving us a Mom divergence analysis if you got time. I'm learning to spot them from your charts.Thanks in advance bro
  • #39,377
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:31pm Oct 11, 2007 6:31pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
I'd like to hear your fundamental analysis of what caused the drop, if you have an opinion.

This drop was written all over the charts all day from the last Tokyo session. Fundamental news just helped the cause.
  • #39,378
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:32pm Oct 11, 2007 6:32pm
The underside of this Daily trend line has proven to be pretty resilient so far.

M2B
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy 30m.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #39,379
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:35pm Oct 11, 2007 6:35pm
Quoting karmostaji
Hakuna Matata, wagwaan? lol

Tell us your view please
mronin bro and everyone

woke up and was blasted away by what happned while i slept--wow!
once again the power of 50 ema on 4hr--perfect bounce off there
platted a few fibs and ive gone short already--as exactly posted in journal both on g/u and g/j
i want to see how this present 1 hr candle closes-- looks like bearish enfulfing then shorts will party as according to fiba we have hit the 505 mark
and we r below 100sma
we need a close below 50ema 4hr---till then trend is still bullish--chk the 4hr chrt what hsa happend at the last bolunces off the 4hr 50ema

eneway --lets wait and see
ive jumped the trade in early on 5 min signal and not 15
if i get 15 min suignakl --ill add more
  • #39,380
  • Oct 11, 2007 6:35pm Oct 11, 2007 6:35pm
Quoting auslanco
Did you know you can spot divergence on the 10C Mom indicator as well.. Would you mind giving us a Mom divergence analysis if you got time. I'm learning to spot them from your charts.Thanks in advance bro
I am aware of that. Almost any oscillator can help determine potential divergence. I just prefer using MACD because it has proven to be more consistent, even when taking the headfakes into consideration. I'll try to post some Momentum-to-price divergence charts from time to time.

M2B
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