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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #39,321
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:30pm Oct 11, 2007 2:30pm
Quoting karmostaji
it should start retracing from next hour


kam ..Gj stuck at ema 200 tf 1 H and ema 50 4 H ....i think break this suport below we can see 236.50........what u think? qqe5 4 H already bearish
  • #39,322
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:33pm Oct 11, 2007 2:33pm
Quoting kayman
Price also bounced off 4Hr50ema
Just a note, not to offend, but for quick reference. The 1H 200EMA will always (obviously) be the same price as the 4H 50EMA. It's a simple math equation.

M2B
  • #39,323
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:34pm Oct 11, 2007 2:34pm
Quoting karmostaji
Price needs to breath and gain some power before breaking, so wait for some retracement and then get in

still no signal for reversal........pattern i mean.. what u think any comment
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  • #39,324
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:35pm Oct 11, 2007 2:35pm
Quoting karmostaji
Don't fall in love with your positions, just warning you.
Ok karm...what do you see that I am not seeing?
  • #39,325
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:38pm Oct 11, 2007 2:38pm
We could have a retrace up to 239
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #39,326
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:39pm Oct 11, 2007 2:39pm
Dow is down, hence the high yielders. Now keep in mind the BoJ didn't hike and wasn't hawkish. ECB heads on the wires being hawkish, since Eur and Gbp correlate could mean some buying at the [email protected], a smart bounce off that might hold till Japan and if they follow the DJIA lower then another round of selling towards 235
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #39,327
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:40pm Oct 11, 2007 2:40pm
Quoting my2buoys
Just a note, not to offend, but for quick reference. The 1H 200EMA will always (obviously) be the same price as the 4H 50EMA. It's a simple math equation.

M2B
Good stuff, always keen to learn ..here...bud
Thanks
Success has a Thousand Fathers.
  • #39,328
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:42pm Oct 11, 2007 2:42pm
totally agreed bro.. im looking at 238.60 (1st tgt) scalp [hope i make it] without hitting my SL @ 237.3

I will be looking for an entry at around 238.8 - 239..

fibs learnt from the master
Quoting karmostaji
We could have a retrace up to 239
  • #39,329
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:46pm Oct 11, 2007 2:46pm
Quoting karmostaji
We could have a retrace up to 239
karmo just trying to learn.....why retrace and why to 239
  • #39,330
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:52pm Oct 11, 2007 2:52pm
GARTLEY FOR EJ COMPELETED AB=CD .......hopefully reach my target ..
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  • #39,331
  • Oct 11, 2007 2:54pm Oct 11, 2007 2:54pm
Quoting blunt
karmo just trying to learn.....why retrace and why to 239
we have a nice gartley pattern on 1H chart, plus the 61.8% fibo from this last fall is 239, have a look at 30m chart too, might have a reversal forming there. new 4hr 5sma should be around that area too.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #39,332
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:01pm Oct 11, 2007 3:01pm
Quoting karmostaji
we have a nice gartley pattern on 1H chart, plus the 61.8% fibo from this last fall is 239, have a look at 30m chart too, might have a reversal forming there. new 4hr 5sma should be around that area too.

Since we bounced off the 4h kumo cloud, i expect the price to go to 238.70, so 239 seems a good target
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #39,333
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:07pm Oct 11, 2007 3:07pm
Quoting karmostaji
we have a nice gartley pattern on 1H chart, plus the 61.8% fibo from this last fall is 239, have a look at 30m chart too, might have a reversal forming there. new 4hr 5sma should be around that area too.
thanks karmo for your time
  • #39,334
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:08pm Oct 11, 2007 3:08pm
Who can tell me this is NOT a perfect Aus 4h/1h Short trade now?

So I guess that we are waiting for a 1hr retrace to 5sma around 238.5 to enter?
  • #39,335
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:09pm Oct 11, 2007 3:09pm
excellent analysis Dutch

Quoting DutchTrader
Dow is down, hence the high yielders. Now keep in mind the BoJ didn't hike and wasn't hawkish. ECB heads on the wires being hawkish, since Eur and Gbp correlate could mean some buying at the [email protected], a smart bounce off that might hold till Japan and if they follow the DJIA lower then another round of selling towards 235
  • #39,336
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:11pm Oct 11, 2007 3:11pm
Quoting charvo
Who can tell me this is NOT a perfect Aus 4h/1h Short trade now?

So I guess that we are waiting for a 1hr retrace to 5sma around 238.5 to enter?
  • #39,337
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:18pm Oct 11, 2007 3:18pm
rally downfall coming soon next week ..
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  • #39,338
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:20pm Oct 11, 2007 3:20pm
Remember, NY has just closed, so even the retrace up to the 1H 5SMA area will probably be slow. 1H 5SMA is currently around 238.60, which is also the underside of the Daily trend line. It might take more than one hour to retrace which would bring the 5SMA down even more. But as Karmo would say, green pips are worth the wait.

M2B
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  • #39,339
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:43pm Oct 11, 2007 3:43pm
Quoting my2buoys
Remember, NY has just closed, so even the retrace up to the 1H 5SMA area will probably be slow. 1H 5SMA is currently around 238.60, which is also the underside of the Daily trend line. It might take more than one hour to retrace which would bring the 5SMA down even more. But as Karmo would say, green pips are worth the wait.

M2B
Nice reminder, I was just almost enter at 238.2x , hhh, impatience kills!
  • #39,340
  • Oct 11, 2007 3:48pm Oct 11, 2007 3:48pm
got stopped by 237.84 support , after closing 4h candle at that area , will make it moves between ( 237.84 - 238.59 ) till the breakout of one of them .
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