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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #37,081
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:34pm Oct 4, 2007 6:34pm
Quoting Geppy
Gold and Silver will both appreciate heavily in the future. I forgot about gold and started hoarding silver buillion. I have a good 1,500 troy ounces tucked away
If your hoarding silver I will forgive you for going long and apparently screwing up my short.
  • #37,082
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:36pm Oct 4, 2007 6:36pm
Quoting markam
If your hoarding silver I will forgive you for going long and apparently screwing up my short.
Apology accepted
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #37,083
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:42pm Oct 4, 2007 6:42pm
Quoting auslanco
I had to do some serious studying yesterday. I got a exam coming up beginning of next month. Back to studying in another few hours. You guys can keep this thread warm in the mean time

ok buddy-- good luck with the exams
let me know when u pop in especially at ldn/ny session---we can run thru some analysis togther---always appreciating your analysis

i was actually thinking of discussing our aussie$ from time to time
we.ve got markam as our teddy "bear" to keep this thread warm.
  • #37,084
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:43pm Oct 4, 2007 6:43pm
Quoting markam
If your hoarding silver I will forgive you for going long and apparently screwing up my short.

markam--can u share your thoughts on GOLD
want to know your long term view buddy ( 3-5 yrs)
  • #37,085
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:44pm Oct 4, 2007 6:44pm
Quoting aediaz1
Morning.
Hopefully we can test upper fan again

very likely
thats a good tool--i use it occasionally to see projections
what mt4 indicator are u using?
  • #37,086
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:45pm Oct 4, 2007 6:45pm
well I not sure about the p/y but the dollat/yen appears tired i'll take a short here 116.43 if it goes up to 117.00 i will add to this short stop above 117.38 looking to target 115 yen
  • #37,087
  • Oct 4, 2007 6:49pm Oct 4, 2007 6:49pm
FXManager Trade closed.

Details Here
  • #37,088
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:04pm Oct 4, 2007 7:04pm
Quoting Hakuna Matata
markam--can u share your thoughts on GOLD
want to know your long term view buddy ( 3-5 yrs)
My long-term view is that the 35 year experiment in fiat currencies is going to end and most currencies will have to go back to being backed by gold. Unfortunately, this cannot occur until there has been a complete collapse of the current fiat currency model. It will occur however. The world has been working under a model of exponentially growing debt, and exponentially growing money supply. Any growth over population growth results in continually decreasing value of the money. Eventually, the value will drop to nothing.

This is going to be led by the dollar. The US cannot service the debt it has created. The only way to cover our obligations is to hyperinflate our currency, reducing the value of the debt held by the world. There will be some tipping point, after which the US will begin to look like the Weimer Republic in Germany. The dollar will collapse, and we will create a new currency, which will only be accepted by the world if it is backed by gold.

As to the long-term value of gold, there is going to be so much going to happen, I couldn't give you a number. Until we reach the tipping point on the dollar, I expect gold to increase at least 20-30%/year, possibly much more.
  • #37,089
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:05pm Oct 4, 2007 7:05pm
Quoting Geppy
been long . . . staying long . . . LOVIN long!
Geppy -- on what do you base your confidence in being long? When you were a floor trader in your former life, did you trade currencies, stocks, or commodities?
_______________ Here 2 Learn
  • #37,090
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:07pm Oct 4, 2007 7:07pm
My short lives. Now if the Japanese will cooperate and not slam their own currency like they usually do.
  • #37,091
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:14pm Oct 4, 2007 7:14pm
Quoting Hakuna Matata
very likely
thats a good tool--i use it occasionally to see projections
what mt4 indicator are u using?
Indicators u seeing under is called Fozzysignal, based on RSI and Bollinger bands crossover. Basically playing its ace in daily frame but find it quite helpful in lower time frames too. Check out the picture, doesn't occur too often but when it does, it gives a valid call.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy.gif Size: 19 KB
Measure twice, cut once
  • #37,092
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:16pm Oct 4, 2007 7:16pm
Quoting markam
My long-term view is that the 35 year experiment in fiat currencies is going to end and most currencies will have to go back to being backed by gold. Unfortunately, this cannot occur until there has been a complete collapse of the current fiat currency model. It will occur however. The world has been working under a model of exponentially growing debt, and exponentially growing money supply. Any growth over population growth results in continually decreasing value of the money. Eventually, the value will drop to nothing.

This is going to be led by the dollar. The US cannot service the debt it has created. The only way to cover our obligations is to hyperinflate our currency, reducing the value of the debt held by the world. There will be some tipping point, after which the US will begin to look like the Weimer Republic in Germany. The dollar will collapse, and we will create a new currency, which will only be accepted by the world if it is backed by gold.

As to the long-term value of gold, there is going to be so much going to happen, I couldn't give you a number. Until we reach the tipping point on the dollar, I expect gold to increase at least 20-30%/year, possibly much more.

thanks
thats what i had in mind too
  • #37,093
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:17pm Oct 4, 2007 7:17pm
Targets Post-nfp: Abn Amro Says That A Strong Nfp Reading May Send Eur/usd To 1.3830, While A Reading Below 50k Will Send Eur/usd To 1.4350 By The End Of Friday - Wires
  • #37,094
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:19pm Oct 4, 2007 7:19pm

man i think short will have an advantage...
we are on the trip to down under...

"Analysis Is Hard But Trade Is Easy"
  • #37,095
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:24pm Oct 4, 2007 7:24pm

H1 ,H4, Weekly,..all toppish...except daily...no sign of reversal...
weekly also seems to form head and shoulder....
i BET we will be in big drop soon...

"Analysis Is Hard But Trade Is Easy"
  • #37,096
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:26pm Oct 4, 2007 7:26pm
Quoting markam
As to the long-term value of gold, there is going to be so much going to happen, I couldn't give you a number. Until we reach the tipping point on the dollar, I expect gold to increase at least 20-30%/year, possibly much more.
I would like to think that silver would increase as much too.

PS. rumor has the next currency as the "Amero" for Canada, Mexico, and USA.
  • #37,097
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:29pm Oct 4, 2007 7:29pm
Today' S Asian Central Bank Operations: The Rba Injects A$1.9b In The Money Market V System Deficit Of A$2.0b
  • #37,098
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:31pm Oct 4, 2007 7:31pm
Quoting kevinsw
I would like to think that silver would increase as much too.

PS. rumor has the next currency as the "Amero" for Canada, Mexico, and USA.
As would I. I have enough silver to cast a full size statue of myself.
  • #37,099
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:32pm Oct 4, 2007 7:32pm
Quoting Geppy
been long . . . staying long . . . LOVIN long!
me too
  • #37,100
  • Oct 4, 2007 7:34pm Oct 4, 2007 7:34pm
Quoting 59fender
well I not sure about the p/y but the dollat/yen appears tired i'll take a short here 116.43 if it goes up to 117.00 i will add to this short stop above 117.38 looking to target 115 yen
Lots of support underneath that price.
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