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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #32,421
  • Sep 26, 2007 4:59am Sep 26, 2007 4:59am
as long as 15 min 50ema holds as support--longs are cool !
  • #32,422
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:00am Sep 26, 2007 5:00am
Quoting Hakuna Matata
LOOk at the 50ema on weekly chart of G/U--it has not been below that since mid april 2006
If the channel breaks downwards, we could possibly see a big fall. 50ema sits just below it. Chart attached.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cable-weekly.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #32,423
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:01am Sep 26, 2007 5:01am
Quoting Hakuna Matata
LOOk at the 50ema on weekly chart of G/U--it has not been below that since mid april 2006

Only the time will tell bro... Last time when I predicted a 1000pips fall 2months ago it only dropped 900 pips.. Hope I will get my full 1000 pips this time
  • #32,424
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:04am Sep 26, 2007 5:04am
Aus

Do you ind to explain WHY you see this big drop coming?

Please also wait a little to PRODUCE the drop, since we are LONG g/y!! LOL

TIA

Pepe
  • #32,425
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:07am Sep 26, 2007 5:07am
Quoting Holypendant
500-1000pip drop this week? in Singapore today is wednesday thus leaving only 2 days for this to come if it's really true. but wont that lead GJ drop 1000-2000pips since 1 pip in GU is = to 2 pips in GJ.

And also for this huge drop in GU, UJ will drop too.. so conclusion is GJ drop by this week IF ZORANS GY PREDICTION IS CORRECT?
I think 1 pip in GU = cca 1.15 pips in GJ...
1 pip in UJ = cca 2 pips in GJ
  • #32,426
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:08am Sep 26, 2007 5:08am
Quoting Holypendant
500-1000pip drop this week? in Singapore today is wednesday thus leaving only 2 days for this to come if it's really true. but wont that lead GJ drop 1000-2000pips since 1 pip in GU is = to 2 pips in GJ.

And also for this huge drop in GU, UJ will drop too.. so conclusion is GJ drop by this week IF ZORANS GY PREDICTION IS CORRECT?
I am expecting a big move on Friday/Monday. I wont enter unless I see an opportunity. We could get a big spike up first before it reverses or even continues so it needs to be played with care.

On the DOW, if price continues to stay around its current level (88.6%) then I will enter short. It could reach it's previous high and in that case I will short. So I will see where the market is at that time and play what may come. If nothing comes then I wont enter. Also, any move could take days/weeks to complete
  • #32,427
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:09am Sep 26, 2007 5:09am
Quoting Zoran
If the channel breaks downwards, we could possibly see a big fall. 50ema sits just below it. Chart attached.

yup-- have the same channel on my chart--nice

but predicting and hypothesing is all glory !!

as mentioned b4 --most here are intraday traders or hold trades over few days max
thus if what i mentioned (close below 100sma on daily first)... then we start targeting targets !
its all easy to say --yeah i see this drooping 1000 pips or rising 1000 pips and like my signature says ---we shall see 213 --lol----its all glory predictions !

lets trade what we see and look for setups and targets that are in sight !



till then-- i predict we will see 232.015 (yes --stupid fxcm with their extra digits ) b4 2hrs --- lol

nxt tgt gor g/j for me is 232.80 as long as get a close above that 61.8% fib and MP
  • #32,428
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:17am Sep 26, 2007 5:17am
15 min qqe1 and qqe 5 have crossed down----qqe 60 could cross back down too
if it happens and close below 15 and 30 min 50ema -- then ill exit
now thats my plan for s/l

(even 30min 50ema has been acting as quite strong support so far)
  • #32,429
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:21am Sep 26, 2007 5:21am
Quoting Hakuna Matata
yup-- have the same channel on my chart--nice

but predicting and hypothesing is all glory !!

as mentioned b4 --most here are intraday traders or hold trades over few days max
thus if what i mentioned (close below 100sma on daily first)... then we start targeting targets !
its all easy to say --yeah i see this drooping 1000 pips or rising 1000 pips and like my signature says ---we shall see 213 --lol----its all glory predictions !

lets trade what we see and look for setups and targets that are in sight !



till then-- i predict we will see 232.015 (yes --stupid fxcm with their extra digits ) b4 2hrs --- lol

nxt tgt gor g/j for me is 232.80 as long as get a close above that 61.8% fib and MP

Well My indicators are already set for a big fall.. I usually dont make "glory" predictions GU daily ,weekly have crossed down, Monthly momentum is very promising. .. this is not a glory target. this is what I can see on my charts. "the real deal" Not based on fundies either.

My target for the first leg of the fall is 1.9567(monthly Gann)
  • #32,430
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:22am Sep 26, 2007 5:22am
Hmm, G/J is still bouncing around the 231.7 pivot, ain't it and just following whatever happens to G/U

We should see a nice up in the next hour or two and then G/J will probably bounce around again
May the Pips be with You Let's Pimp some Pips!
  • #32,431
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:26am Sep 26, 2007 5:26am
Quoting auslanco
Well My indicators are already set for a big fall.. I usually dont make "glory" predictions GU daily ,weekly have crossed down, Monthly momentum is very promising. .. this is not a glory target. this is what I can see on my charts. "the real deal" Not based on fundies either.

My target for the first leg of the fall is 1.9567(monthly Gann)

step by step-- we shall trade whether it goes up or down
ill ride the waves-- up or down--day BY day
  • #32,432
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:26am Sep 26, 2007 5:26am
Quoting auslanco
Well My indicators are already set for a big fall.. I usually dont make "glory" predictions GU daily ,weekly have crossed down, Monthly momentum is very promising. .. this is not a glory target. this is what I can see on my charts. "the real deal" Not based on fundies either.

My target for the first leg of the fall is 1.9567(monthly Gann)
Mate, fundies DO support a fall as well. Everyone's talking about a UK rate cut.. their inflation isn't looking dangerous.. housing is down.. if any mortgage company comes out with bad news there.. they will cut rates.

To really light fireworks all we need is Fukui talking about raising rates (like he always does)
  • #32,433
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:28am Sep 26, 2007 5:28am
I'm also waiting for some news to drag down the aussie $ too..damn thing has gone up way too much lol.. but so far aussie economy looks healthy. No bad news (or maybe they're good at hiding it!)
  • #32,434
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:29am Sep 26, 2007 5:29am
Quoting VishalJ
Mate, fundies DO support a fall as well. Everyone's talking about a UK rate cut.. their inflation isn't looking dangerous.. housing is down.. if any mortgage company comes out with bad news there.. they will cut rates.

To really light fireworks all we need is Fukui talking about raising rates (like he always does)

looks very likely
  • #32,435
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:30am Sep 26, 2007 5:30am
Quoting VishalJ
Mate, fundies DO support a fall as well. Everyone's talking about a UK rate cut.. their inflation isn't looking dangerous.. housing is down.. if any mortgage company comes out with bad news there.. they will cut rates.

To really light fireworks all we need is Fukui talking about raising rates (like he always does)
agreed.. That will be the icing on the cake
  • #32,436
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:31am Sep 26, 2007 5:31am
Quoting auslanco
Well My indicators are already set for a big fall.. I usually dont make "glory" predictions GU daily ,weekly have crossed down, Monthly momentum is very promising. .. this is not a glory target. this is what I can see on my charts. "the real deal" Not based on fundies either.

My target for the first leg of the fall is 1.9567(monthly Gann)
Yep, this is where your system can come in use (to me) - your entries are well defined. This can cause me problems at times as I sometimes get stopped just before the move. Bloody annoying when that happens!
  • #32,437
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:33am Sep 26, 2007 5:33am
iN MY cHART, i see GU like wanting to move up which is a gd sign. BUT UJ starting to move down.... hahaha
  • #32,438
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:38am Sep 26, 2007 5:38am
Broke 15 min EMA!!!
  • #32,439
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:41am Sep 26, 2007 5:41am
very small LONG lot closed @ -60 pip..... this thing going down sloooooooowly..
  • #32,440
  • Sep 26, 2007 5:41am Sep 26, 2007 5:41am
uh oh. here's that close below the 50ema on the 15min. longs are not looking good
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