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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #31,161
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:12pm Sep 23, 2007 7:12pm
Usd Outlook: The Dollar Has Established Significant Downside Momentum; Expectations For More Fed Easing Are Reasonably Grounded By Expectations For Further Evidence Of Housing Market Weakness - Ray Attrill At Forecast
  • #31,162
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:13pm Sep 23, 2007 7:13pm
Quoting chris747
Today we will ride it down, pass 229 area.......
would you like to share with us why u think so? would really love to know
  • #31,163
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:19pm Sep 23, 2007 7:19pm
Fed Will Lower Rates Again Before January Trading History Shows

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...currency_rates
  • #31,164
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:23pm Sep 23, 2007 7:23pm
Quoting lilmoe
would you like to share with us why u think so? would really love to know
..will elaborate tomorrow, sorry have to take a nap, after enter a few shorts....good night, many happy pips!
  • #31,165
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:24pm Sep 23, 2007 7:24pm
Quoting auslanco
...let's say ....indian......LOL
  • #31,166
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:36pm Sep 23, 2007 7:36pm
UJ is moving below the Daily pivot. GU moving up beyond the Friday's high..

Nice yo yo set up for GJ
  • #31,167
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:40pm Sep 23, 2007 7:40pm
Quoting chris747
..will elaborate tomorrow, sorry have to take a nap, after enter a few shorts....good night, many happy pips!
I can't elaborate now either, I have to re arrange my sock draw.
  • #31,168
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:45pm Sep 23, 2007 7:45pm
Quoting auslanco
UJ is moving below the Daily pivot. GU moving up beyond the Friday's high..

Nice yo yo set up for GJ
GU is almost touching the daily TFT
lets hope it won't break it though if that thing falls, we're going to have a really nice fall in GJ
  • #31,169
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:54pm Sep 23, 2007 7:54pm
Quoting Mysticdiver
I can't elaborate now either, I have to re arrange my sock draw.
LOL.. Me neither, I have to feed my dog
  • #31,170
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:54pm Sep 23, 2007 7:54pm
Quoting lilmoe
GU is almost touching the daily TFT
lets hope it won't break it though if that thing falls, we're going to have a really nice fall in GJ
lilmoe:

Can you post a chart?

Thanks
  • #31,171
  • Sep 23, 2007 7:55pm Sep 23, 2007 7:55pm
Quoting lilmoe
GU is almost touching the daily TFT
lets hope it won't break it though if that thing falls, we're going to have a really nice fall in GJ
Here is a linear regression channel on the daily g/j...showing strong downtrend, and if the channel holds we will have a down day today. But lets see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: kkk.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #31,172
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:04pm Sep 23, 2007 8:04pm
Quoting winterwhite
lilmoe:

Can you post a chart?

Thanks

sure thing

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu-daily.gif Size: 17 KB
  • #31,173
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:14pm Sep 23, 2007 8:14pm
Quoting Mysticdiver
I can't elaborate now either, I have to re arrange my sock draw.
hmmmmmmmmmm..lol
  • #31,174
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:16pm Sep 23, 2007 8:16pm
Check out this 4H Chart with MACD beneath. First of all, notice that price has been rejected three times by the 200EMA already as lilmoe pointed out. The 4H stochastics is overbought. This chart shows classic divergence of MACD to price on the 4H chart. By itself divergence is not conclusive but with a confluence of signals it can be powerful. The #1 example on this chart was divergence from Tuesday 9/18. Price's bottom was just slightly bearish while MACD's bottom was bullish and we had a 600 pip movement upward. The #2 example is where we are right now. Price's top is strongly bearish while MACD's top is strongly bullish, signifying a continuation of bearishness in price. The first example is referred to as classic (or regular) divergence while the second example is referred to as inverted divergence. With the confluence of other signals showing bearishness (1H QQE crossed down, 4H 200EMA rejection, bullish trend line breaks) this divergence could take us down quite a bit from here, I'm thinking to at least the 231 area. For further analysis of this chart and charts for the coming week check out the Analysis and Predictions Thread started by Aus.

M2B
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy 4h.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #31,175
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:23pm Sep 23, 2007 8:23pm
Short AT 233.15 Stop:233.80 /Target:231.65
Shorts in play from overnight. S/t momentum studies are bearish and parameters are at 233.7 and 232.4. 235.5 is critical level with break above targeting 239.00.(SL) 00:49 end
  • #31,176
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:26pm Sep 23, 2007 8:26pm
Quoting my2buoys
Check out this 4H Chart with MACD beneath. First of all, notice that price has been rejected three times by the 200EMA already as lilmoe pointed out. The 4H stochastics is overbought. This chart shows classic divergence of MACD to price on the 4H chart. By itself divergence is not conclusive but with a confluence of signals it can be powerful. The #1 example on this chart was divergence from Tuesday 9/18. Price's bottom was just slightly bearish while MACD's bottom was bullish and we had a 600 pip movement upward. The #2 example is where we are right now. Price's top is strongly bearish while MACD's top is strongly bullish, signifying a continuation of bearishness in price. The first example is referred to as classic (or regular) divergence while the second example is referred to as inverted divergence. With the confluence of other signals showing bearishness (1H QQE crossed down, 4H 200EMA rejection, bullish trend line breaks) this divergence could take us down quite a bit from here, I'm thinking to at least the 231 area. For further analysis of this chart and charts for the coming week check out the Analysis and Predictions Thread started by Aus.

M2B
Great analysis M2B, as always.

The momentum for the next 4hrs is pointing up towards the 234.50 area..
  • #31,177
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:30pm Sep 23, 2007 8:30pm
Quoting lilmoe
sure thing

Attachment

we have a tough resistance @ 2.0304 for GU, i really doubt we're going to see a break of that level... daily and weekly qqe pointing dowards. however if we do see a break, next would be weekly gann at 2.0338. we also have 2 consecutive bullish candles and today's the third. we should see a retracement that would trigger a downtrend on GJ, if not a downtrend on GU itself. i'm guessing today's candle's going to be a pinbar. let's hope i'm right...


here's the chart:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu-daily.gif Size: 16 KB
  • #31,178
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:42pm Sep 23, 2007 8:42pm
Looking at the charts if we breach the 233.32 area and receive a green up arrow. Will this be enough to signal longs for the day? Pivots points are out of wack today due to the small volatility on Sunday.
Attached Image
  • #31,179
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:48pm Sep 23, 2007 8:48pm
jodi candle stick on 15M chart. short again at 233.30
  • #31,180
  • Sep 23, 2007 8:54pm Sep 23, 2007 8:54pm
Quoting yezbick
Looking at the charts if we breach the 233.32 area and receive a green up arrow. Will this be enough to signal longs for the day? Pivots points are out of wack today due to the small volatility on Sunday.

Still the 15min QQE crossed down. However the 4hr TF shows the price could break the 200EMA successfully. If the pair can sustain this level for another couple of hours.. London and Frankfurt will give enough fire power to break the 200EMA. I believe the pair will atleast retest the 200EMA by London.
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