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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #27,421
  • Sep 16, 2007 5:57pm Sep 16, 2007 5:57pm
Hi Gandolf,

I have raised this problem a few times that we all seam to be looking at totally different charts. I think it it still mt4 ,vt charts as the difference, thats why it has been hard to follow some of the calls.
Cheers
  • #27,422
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:02pm Sep 16, 2007 6:02pm
Quoting MoForce
Well I went long for multiple reasons....

1) Japan is on holiday and most of the time the countries on holiday get a beating
2) GBP/USD is way oversold and has started retracing which I see going to 2.0117 at the least (I also went long on G/U)
4) G/J is in need of completing retracement up to about 232.10 (61.8%)
5) A rise now would ensure a much bigger fall later in the week
6) U/J is headed towards 117
why is GJ in need of completing the 61.8% retracement?
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #27,423
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:04pm Sep 16, 2007 6:04pm
HOPES FOR A RATE CUT SPURRED AN EMERGING DEBT RALLY LAST WEEK: SOME ANALYSTS SUGGEST A SELLOFF IN EMERGING DEBT IF FED CUTS BY 25BPS, AND NOT 50BPS AS SOME HOPE
- "Near term, we see a risk of further market turbulence in the context of (this) week's FOMC meeting. The risk is that the FOMC disappoints part of the market by delivering a cut in the funds rate of 'only' 25 basis points," Credit Suisse's analysts said.
  • #27,424
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:08pm Sep 16, 2007 6:08pm
For Karmo's and Zorans weekly analysis,

Please visit
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=44180
  • #27,425
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:10pm Sep 16, 2007 6:10pm
interesting article in ny times on currency trading housewives in japan:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/16/bu...654&ei=5087%0A
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #27,426
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:11pm Sep 16, 2007 6:11pm
FED RATE CUT - LIMITED UPSIDE FOR EMERGING MARKET BONDS: IF THE FED CUT BY 50BPS, THE MARKET WOULD LIKELY RALLY BUT I THINK THE SELLING PRESSURE WOULD RESUME SOON AFTER THAT - NICK CHAMIE AT RBC CAPITAL
- "The longer-term negatives with regards to the subprime problems, the slowdown in the U.S. and higher risk premiums will weigh on the market in the long term."
- "We think the most likely scenario for the slightly longer term is one in which banks in the U.S. and Europe, helped by generous central bank action, gradually regain their willingness to lend on term and their ability to sell many of the assets that they wish to offload," he said, reaffirming his view that emerging debt spreads will end the year tighter than they are now.
  • #27,427
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:16pm Sep 16, 2007 6:16pm
In my broadcast market, New York, that's going to be postponed because of a footbal game. Not sure how that work in other television markets -- I mean, whether it's on schedule and just we're delayed.

Quoting digitizer123
Heads up to those living outside the US -

My broker is sending out "Fast market Conditions" warning at 7pm eastern - even though no big news is due - this is because CBS will be broadcasting a interview with Greenspan at 7pm eastern during the tv show "60 minutes". Part of the interview was leaked out on Friday that shows Greensapan scarring the country contridicting the current fed moves. Watch the market carefully during this show.
  • #27,428
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:27pm Sep 16, 2007 6:27pm
intraday Gbp/usd Bias To The Downside As Market Waits For Northern Rock Developments: Next Downside Is 1.9934 Cluster Support - Wires
  • #27,429
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:31pm Sep 16, 2007 6:31pm
Quoting BenQ
In my broadcast market, New York, that's going to be postponed because of a footbal game. Not sure how that work in other television markets -- I mean, whether it's on schedule and just we're delayed.

I got football too - "60 minutes" and SUnday Football is broadcasted live from CBS headquarters to all the CBS channels throughout the country - everyone will have to wait until Footbal is over.
  • #27,430
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:32pm Sep 16, 2007 6:32pm
Does anyone else remember the news about someone (or some entity) putting a large amount of money on the S&P nose diving by a certain date in September? I've been trying to do a follow up on it, to see if we've passed that date yet, but have come up empty handed so far. Any help would be appreciated . . .
  • #27,431
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:34pm Sep 16, 2007 6:34pm
Quoting imransait
guys who are long, have a look and take the trade
60 ema has crossed down the 200 ema on 1 min, 5 min , 15 min, and 30 mins charts, this is a very strong bearish signal, so take trades at ur discretion
shorts can have SL 20 pips above the 200 EMA, which is a very strong resistance level
have a look at jpy strength meter, shows very strong trend
Can you help me getting a chart with the indicators like you show here?
  • #27,432
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:35pm Sep 16, 2007 6:35pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
Does anyone else remember the news about someone (or some entity) putting a large amount of money on the S&P nose diving by a certain date in September? I've been trying to do a follow up on it, to see if we've passed that date yet, but have come up empty handed so far. Any help would be appreciated . . .
This might be what your thinking of
http://mparent7777-2.blogspot.com/20...n-4-weeks.html
  • #27,433
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:44pm Sep 16, 2007 6:44pm
Quoting Abundant
This might be what your thinking of
http://mparent7777-2.blogspot.com/20...n-4-weeks.html
That's the one . . . thanks!
  • #27,434
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:44pm Sep 16, 2007 6:44pm
Quoting Pips_Cruiser
Does anyone else remember the news about someone (or some entity) putting a large amount of money on the S&P nose diving by a certain date in September? I've been trying to do a follow up on it, to see if we've passed that date yet, but have come up empty handed so far. Any help would be appreciated . . .
Cruiser, that bet on the S&P is a combination of option spreads where they maintain a delta neutral position i believe. I don't think it is a bet but rather a complex credit spread.
"Only when the tide goes out will we know who is swimming naked."
  • #27,435
  • Sep 16, 2007 6:55pm Sep 16, 2007 6:55pm
GU Daily:
Currently the price is sitting on 100SMA which is a support & resistance level. I would favor a downside move since the new daily and weekly momentum is below zero and pointing down, QQE Daily is crossed down .
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  • #27,436
  • Sep 16, 2007 7:00pm Sep 16, 2007 7:00pm
Here's a link on that-

http://www.thestreet.com/s/dispellin.../10377063.html
"Only when the tide goes out will we know who is swimming naked."
  • #27,437
  • Sep 16, 2007 7:00pm Sep 16, 2007 7:00pm
Greenspan is on -
  • #27,438
  • Sep 16, 2007 7:02pm Sep 16, 2007 7:02pm
Quoting pipped oFF
Cruiser, that bet on the S&P is a combination of option spreads where they maintain a delta neutral position i believe. I don't think it is a bet but rather a complex credit spread.
From reading the article just now, it appears you are correct. Both puts and calls. My recollection was a little different, but maybe it's just from a foggy memory.
  • #27,439
  • Sep 16, 2007 7:09pm Sep 16, 2007 7:09pm
digi, what channel is greenspan on i can't find it? sorry...
"Only when the tide goes out will we know who is swimming naked."
  • #27,440
  • Edited 7:24pm Sep 16, 2007 7:10pm | Edited 7:24pm
However UJ is facing tough support from both 5 sma and 100sma. The price is currently sitting on 5 sma and it seems any downward moves are very limited from the current level. The only bearish hopes for UJ is the resistance from Daily Gann and the bearish momentum indicator for Daily and 4hr.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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