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Alternative Trend Following- A Journal

  • #61
  • Aug 15, 2007 4:49am Aug 15, 2007 4:49am
I made a serious mistake today...
i had thought that i pressed the offer button on EURUSD.

Made an order to short at current price level only to realise that i have actually bought it!!! Cut loss....sigh

Long EURUSD @ 1.3533 : -35pips

Realised Loss : -243pips
Realised gains: +5pips
  • #62
  • Aug 15, 2007 6:03pm Aug 15, 2007 6:03pm
hey bro,

Haven't gotten lunch with you for 1/2 yr. Just a reminder from our last conversation. Try adding EMA39 for bull corrections.

EU Critical support levels
13400 Daily Chart
13360 Weekly
GU Critical support level
1.9850
This week is so important as it should define if this support lvl can hold.
Personal view: Touch of bottom of bullish channel.
Investors overreacted to subprime woes, buy at this time gives the least risk.
Still waters run deep
  • #63
  • Aug 16, 2007 3:01am Aug 16, 2007 3:01am
hey man...yeah long time no see.

lunch again lol....2mths already not doing good....my eqy curve falling lol
  • #64
  • Aug 16, 2007 8:12am Aug 16, 2007 8:12am
I assume its the carries hurting your pie.

Majors and carries are touching the weekly supports, best thing to happen is for them to work their way up next week and hold their fort well. Bargain hunting.
Still waters run deep
  • #65
  • Aug 19, 2007 7:42pm Aug 19, 2007 7:42pm
well thats true...im looking to sell sme rallies first. Coz theres 2 way abt it right now. We'll just have to see how the market goes after that

The volatility can be very rewarding but if you ar caught in the wrong side ot pinches hard. I cant imagine how many people got affected by this irrational market sentiments.
  • #66
  • Sep 5, 2007 10:53am Sep 5, 2007 10:53am
Hi,

im sorry for not updating my journal
ok so far i've only made two trades ever since my last failure lol
anyway heres the update

USD/CAD 15/8/2007L1065010598-52
EUR/USD 3/9/2007S136311360229

Realised Loss : -295pips
Realised gains: +34pips

currently i have switch my position for EURUSD,

Long EURUSD 1.3618
  • #67
  • Sep 5, 2007 10:44pm Sep 5, 2007 10:44pm
Hang in there man, wait for the bounce, don't look back.
Still waters run deep
  • #68
  • Sep 7, 2007 8:33am Sep 7, 2007 8:33am
EUR/USD 1.3782 as i am typng, nice bounce, grats.
Still waters run deep
  • #69
  • Sep 8, 2007 12:55pm Sep 8, 2007 12:55pm
Quoting jest1081
Long EURUSD 1.3618
moved stop to 1.3698
guranteed 80pips
  • #70
  • Sep 11, 2007 3:09am Sep 11, 2007 3:09am
Quote
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guranteed 130pips

Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips

SEP
Realised Loss : -0pips
Realised gains: +29pips

OVERALL
Realised Loss : -295pips
Realised gains: +34pips
  • #71
  • Sep 11, 2007 3:20am Sep 11, 2007 3:20am
I'm am looking at a probable long trade against the current price swing...a likely breakout trade on the cards.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurjpy.jpg Size: 38 KB
  • #72
  • Edited 7:57pm Sep 11, 2007 12:39pm | Edited 7:57pm
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guaranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guaranteed 130pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 1.3778, guaranteed 160pips
Update 4 : moved stop tp 1.3798, guaranteed 180pips

Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips
Update 1 : moved stop to 0.6978 guaranteed 29pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 0.6998 guaranteed 49pips
  • #73
  • Sep 12, 2007 12:57pm Sep 12, 2007 12:57pm
Quoting jest1081
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guaranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guaranteed 130pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 1.3778, guaranteed 160pips
Update 4 : moved stop tp 1.3798, guaranteed 180pips

Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips
Update 1 : moved stop to 0.6978 guaranteed 29pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 0.6998 guaranteed 49pips
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guaranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guaranteed 130pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 1.3778, guaranteed 160pips
Update 4 : moved stop tp 1.3798, guaranteed 180pips
Update 5 : moved stop tp 1.3848, guaranteed 230pips

Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips
Update 1 : moved stop to 0.6978 guaranteed 29pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 0.6998 guaranteed 49pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 0.7098 guaranteed 149pips
  • #74
  • Sep 12, 2007 11:04pm Sep 12, 2007 11:04pm
Quoting jest1081
I'm am looking at a probable long trade against the current price swing...a likely breakout trade on the cards.
I think i have totally missed the carry boat...price is likely to approach resistance, im not that interested to short this pair considering the swaps and the cheap price.

If my analysis, holds true, EJ should have very little downside risks....i'm expecting a small consolidation and a further price breakout. I'll be hunting for cheap zones for a good fill. Watching.
  • #75
  • Sep 13, 2007 3:13am Sep 13, 2007 3:13am
Quoting jest1081
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guaranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guaranteed 130pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 1.3778, guaranteed 160pips
Update 4 : moved stop tp 1.3798, guaranteed 180pips
Update 5 : moved stop tp 1.3848, guaranteed 230pips

Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips
Update 1 : moved stop to 0.6978 guaranteed 29pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 0.6998 guaranteed 49pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 0.7098 guaranteed 149pips
Long NZDUSD 0.6949, Stop 0.6898, guarantees -51pips
Update 1 : moved stop to 0.6978 guaranteed 29pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 0.6998 guaranteed 49pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 0.7098 guaranteed 149pips - CLOSED

SEP
Realised Loss : -0pips
Realised gains: +178pips

YTD
Realised Loss : -295pips
Realised gains: +183pips
  • #76
  • Sep 14, 2007 1:58am Sep 14, 2007 1:58am
So how do i put this? I have noticed that RSI OB OS signals should not only be limited to 70:30. This might sound a little like fozzy, but here's the setup. Pardon me if it is fozzy but from what i have gathered, the original fozzy is a little different, correct me if i'm wrong.

RSI overlayed with BB.
The best signals come when you see the RSI sneaking out of the extreme borders of the BB. A trade with the general trend direction will give the signal a better emphasis.
Attached Image
  • #77
  • Sep 14, 2007 12:05pm Sep 14, 2007 12:05pm
Quoting jest1081
Long EURUSD 1.3618
Update 1 : moved stop to 1.3698, guaranteed 80pips
Update 2 : moved stop to 1.3748, guaranteed 130pips
Update 3 : moved stop to 1.3778, guaranteed 160pips
Update 4 : moved stop tp 1.3798, guaranteed 180pips
Update 5 : moved stop tp 1.3848, guaranteed 230pips - CLOSED
SEP
Realised Loss : -0pips
Realised gains: +408pips

YTD
Realised Loss : -295pips
Realised gains: +413pips
  • #78
  • Sep 18, 2007 12:24am Sep 18, 2007 12:24am
I see an ippurtunity to pick up GBPUSD, think its very cheap now. Contemplating on shorting EURGBP as well, will wait further.

GBPUSD Long @ 1.9892 stop @ 1.9848, guarantees -44pips
  • #79
  • Sep 18, 2007 2:16am Sep 18, 2007 2:16am
GBPJPY Long @ 228.95, Stop @ 227.95, guarantees -100pips
  • #80
  • Sep 18, 2007 4:13am Sep 18, 2007 4:13am
Quoting jest1081
GBPJPY Long @ 228.95, Stop @ 227.95, guarantees -100pips
GBPJPY Long @ 228.95, Stop @ 227.95, guarantees -100pips
Update : Closed +35pips

SEP
Realised Loss : -0pips
Realised gains: +443pips

YTD
Realised Loss : -295pips
Realised gains: +448pips
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