AutoRebateForex Official Thread - Automated 80% Forex Rebates

1. Context: Market under pressure after heavy outflows, but signs of possible bottom forming as selling exhaustion builds.
2. Bias: Weak but stabilizing
3. Support: 61,100 • 59,600 • 58,200
4. Resistance: 62,600 • 63,600 • 65,800
5. Trade Ideas:
   1. Buy above 61,600 → target 62,600–63,600
   2. Sell below 61,100 → target 59,600

6. Outlook: Early recovery signals emerging, but confidence remains fragile; expect volatility before any sustained rebound.

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1. Context: Stabilizing despite ETF outflows, supported by long-term accumulation
2. Bias: Bullish above key support
3. Support: 62,500, 61,600, 61,000, 59,600
4. Resistance: 63,600, 65,600, 67,700, 70,000
5. Outlook:
   1. Holding above key base suggests recovery attempt
   2. Institutional demand quietly supporting price

6. Trade Plan:
   1. Buy: Above 62,500 → target 63,600 / 65,600
   2. Buy dips: 61,600 area
   3. Sell: Below 61,000 → target 59,600
   4. Positioning: Favor gradual accumulation

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1. China: Industrial Production, Retail Sales
2. Japan: Machinery Orders
3. Euro Area: Trade Balance
4. US: Empire State Manufacturing Index

Tuesday – June 16

1. Australia: RBA Meeting Minutes
2. UK: Employment Data (Claimant Count, Wage Growth)
3. Germany: ZEW Economic Sentiment
4. US: Retail Sales
5. US: Industrial Production

Wednesday – June 17

1. UK: Inflation Data (CPI)
2. Euro Area: Inflation Final Reading
3. US: Housing Starts & Building Permits
4. US: Crude Oil Inventories
5. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
6. Fed Press Conference

Thursday – June 18

1. Australia: Employment Change & Unemployment Rate
2. Switzerland: Central Bank Rate Decision
3. UK: Bank of England Rate Decision
4. US: Initial Jobless Claims
5. US: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

Friday – June 19

1. Japan: National CPI
2. UK: Retail Sales
3. Canada: Retail Sales
4. US: Leading Economic Index

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1. Bias: Short-term bearish correction risk
2. Drivers: ETF outflows, institutional selling, capital shift to AI sector
3. Support: 65,600, 64,900, 63,000
4. Resistance: 66,000, 66,600, 67,000

Outlook & Trade Plan:

1. Recent bounce lacks strong backing
2. Market vulnerable to pullback despite improved sentiment

Recommendation:

1. Sell below 66,000–67,000 → target 64,900–63,000
2. Buy only on dips near 65,600 or lower with confirmation
3. Stay cautious of sudden volatility

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1. Outlook: Bearish trend with short-term recovery attempts; sentiment-driven market
2. Support: 65,800, 63,600, 61,100
3. Resistance: 67,700, 69,400, 71,400
4. Bias: Selling rallies
5. Trade Ideas:
   1. Sell near 68,000–70,700 zone → target 63,600 / 61,100
   2. Short-term buy near 65,800 support for quick rebound trades only

   
   

6. Forecast: Correction likely temporary; downside risk still dominant

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1. Context: Market under stress with heavy unrealized losses; risk of further liquidation
2. Bias: Bearish short-term, fragile structure
3. Support: 64,000, 62,500, 59,000
4. Resistance: 65,500, 66,900, 68,000
5. Outlook: Vulnerable to deeper pullback unless strong support holds
6. Trade Plan:
   1. Buy near 64,000 on strong hold
   2. Sell below 65,500 targeting 64,800 / 62,500
   3. Break above 65,500 opens recovery toward 68,000

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1. Bias: Bearish with corrective bounces
2. Support: 62,800, 61,200, 59,600
3. Resistance: 64,500, 66,600, 67,700
4. Outlook: Tight liquidity conditions limit upside recovery
5. Trade Ideas:
   1. Sell near 64,400–66,000 resistance zone
   2. Buy near 62,800 for short-term bounce
   3. Break below 62,800 signals deeper decline

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Monday – June 22

1. China Loan Prime Rate (1Y & 5Y)
2. Eurozone Current Account (Q1)
3. Hong Kong Current Account
4. Multiple European data:
   1. Consumer Confidence (Netherlands, Denmark, Belgium)
   2. Poland Retail Sales, Employment, Wages

5. Turkey Consumer Confidence

Tuesday – June 23

1. Switzerland Current Account (Q1)
2. Global focus shifts to flash PMI releases (manufacturing & services)
3. Market sentiment driven by early signals of economic activity

Wednesday – June 24

1. Eurozone Current Account (Q1)
2. U.S. Current Account (Q1)
3. U.S. New Home Sales
4. Continued reaction to PMI data

Thursday – June 25 (Key Day)

1. U.S. GDP (Final Estimate)
2. U.S. Durable Goods Orders
3. U.S. Jobless Claims
4. U.S. Personal Income & Spending
5. U.S. PCE Inflation (main focus of the week)
6. Core driver of USD volatility and broader market direction

Friday – June 26

1. U.S. Consumer Sentiment (final reading)
2. U.S. Wholesale Inventories
3. Hungary Current Account
4. Market positioning and consolidation into week’s close

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1. Outlook: Mixed; signs of bottoming but still under pressure from outflows
2. Support: 62,800 / 61,200 / 59,600
3. Resistance: 64,300 / 66,000 / 67,700
4. Bias: Consolidation with recovery attempts
5. Trade Plan:
   1. Buy near 62,500–63,000, target 64,300 → 66,000
   2. Sell below 62,300, target 61,200 → 60,000

   
   

6. Note: Miner capitulation supports long-term recovery, but short-term remains fragile

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1. Bias: Bearish (liquidations, outflows, no strong catalyst)
2. Support: 62,800 / 61,200 / 59,600
3. Resistance: 64,300 / 66,000
4. Outlook: Market still under pressure; rebounds likely limited unless sentiment improves.
5. Trade Ideas:
   1. Sell: Rejection near 63,100–64,300 → target 61,700
   2. Buy: Only near 62,600 support with confirmation → target 64,000
   3. Breakdown: Below 61,200 → opens 59,600

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1. Bias: Bearish / Weak consolidation
2. Key Drivers:
   1. Heavy ETF outflows
   2. Institutional selling pressure (exchange transfers)
   3. Low demand, weak recovery attempts

3. Support: 62,300 / 61,200 / 59,600
4. Resistance: 64,000 / 65,500
5. Outlook:
   1. Market lacks strong buyers
   2. Downtrend remains dominant unless 64,000 is reclaimed

6. Trading Plan:
   1. Sell: 62,700–63,600 zone on weak momentum
   2. Buy: Around 62,300 only if support holds
   3. Targets:
      1. Downside: 61,200 → 59,600
      2. Upside: 64,000

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1. Bias: Bearish overall, short-term consolidation
2. Drivers: Institutional selling, high rates pressure, weak sentiment
3. Support: 60,800 / 59,600 / 58,500
4. Resistance: 62,500 / 64,000

Outlook & Strategy:

1. Market struggling to sustain rebounds
2. Buy: Near 60,000–59,400 zone targeting 62,500 → 64,000
3. Sell: Around 61,900–62,500 if upside stalls
4. Break below 58,500 opens deeper decline toward 57,500

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1. Euro Area: Economic sentiment and consumer confidence
2. Germany: Inflation data (regional releases)
3. U.S.: Dallas Fed manufacturing activity
4. Japan: Retail sales and industrial output

Tuesday – June 30

1. Japan: Unemployment rate and housing starts
2. China: Manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity data
3. Euro Area: CPI (inflation) flash estimate
4. U.K.: GDP (quarterly revision)
5. U.S.: Consumer confidence and housing price index

Wednesday – July 1

1. Global: Manufacturing PMI data (Euro Area, U.K., U.S.)
2. U.S.: ADP private employment report
3. U.S.: ISM manufacturing index
4. Federal Reserve: Policy-related remarks from officials

Thursday – July 2

1. Euro Area: Producer price data
2. U.S.: Initial jobless claims
3. U.S.: Nonfarm payrolls (early release due to holiday schedule)
4. U.S.: Unemployment rate
5. U.S.: Average hourly earnings

Friday – July 3

1. U.S.: Market holiday conditions (Independence Day observed)
2. Canada: Employment report
3. Euro Area: Services PMI (final readings)
4. Global: Lighter liquidity, potential volatility spikes

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1. Outlook: Neutral with slight upside bias as euro holds firm on solid German data, but capped by strong U.S. expectations
2. Support: 1.1384, 1.1359, 1.1330
3. Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1478, 1.1523
4. Bias: Range trading near 1.1380–1.1430
5. Trade Ideas:
   1. Buy near 1.1384 if buyers step in → target 1.1430 / 1.1478
   2. Sell below 1.1380 if price holds under → target 1.1359 / 1.1330

6. Note: Direction depends on U.S. confidence and labor data

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