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Market Structure: Gold & Dollar

  • #1
  • First Post: Jun 25, 2026 1:44am Jun 25, 2026 1:44am
Gold remains under pressure ahead of today's US PCE and GDP data releases.

Above 4030: A sustained breakout could attract buyers and open the path toward 4100–4120.
Below 3960–3970: Selling pressure may increase, with 3880–3900 acting as the next key support zone.

Trader Insight: Strong economic data generally supports the USD and can pressure gold, while weaker data may fuel a bullish move.

The market remains neutral until the data hits.
What's your call — breakout above 4030 or a move toward 3900 first?
Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Not financial advice.https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HLorkiub...png&name=large
  • #2
  • Jun 25, 2026 1:51am Jun 25, 2026 1:51am
Quoting Tanisha.fx
Gold remains under pressure ahead of today's US PCE and GDP data releases. Above 4030: A sustained breakout could attract buyers and open the path toward 4100–4120. Below 3960–3970: Selling pressure may increase, with 3880–3900 acting as the next key support zone. Trader Insight: Strong economic data generally supports the USD and can pressure gold, while weaker data may fuel a bullish move. The market remains neutral until the data hits. What's your call — breakout above 4030 or a move toward 3900 first? Trade the reaction, not the prediction....
Good madam .
  • #3
  • Jun 25, 2026 1:58am Jun 25, 2026 1:58am
Quoting Wajidjamal
{quote} Good madam .
Thanks, what are you planning to do today?

Buy or sell?
  • #4
  • Jun 25, 2026 2:02am Jun 25, 2026 2:02am
Quoting Tanisha.fx
{quote} Thanks, what are you planning to do today? Buy or sell?
Sell kr rha hu didi
I am in sell
  • #5
  • Jun 25, 2026 2:19am Jun 25, 2026 2:19am
Mam pls mujhe koi chart dedo tread mark karke sell or buy ki entry with sl or tp
  • #6
  • Jun 25, 2026 2:31am Jun 25, 2026 2:31am
Quoting Tanisha.fx
{quote} Thanks, what are you planning to do today? Buy or sell?
What ur advaise..I'm heartly want buy..but every body say sell..so I'm on sell..but wait 3992
  • #7
  • Jun 25, 2026 3:01am Jun 25, 2026 3:01am
Quoting Wajidjamal
{quote} What ur advaise..I'm heartly want buy..but every body say sell..so I'm on sell..but wait 3992
You can buy
  • #8
  • Jun 25, 2026 3:12am Jun 25, 2026 3:12am
Quoting Tanisha.fx
{quote} You can buy
Ok..trust on u..going buy .tell me which point
  • #9
  • Jun 25, 2026 3:15am Jun 25, 2026 3:15am
Quoting Wajidjamal
{quote} Ok..trust on u..going buy .tell me which point
wait for 3965-3975 level
  • #10
  • Jun 25, 2026 3:18am Jun 25, 2026 3:18am
If today Gold breaks above 4030 and sustains above it than i am expecting gold to reach 4100-4120 range after the data.
  • #11
  • Jun 25, 2026 5:05am Jun 25, 2026 5:05am
PCE News Analysis – June 25, 2026Key Release (8:30 AM ET):

  1. Core PCE Price Index m/m (May) – Forecast: +0.3% (prev +0.2%)
  2. Core PCE YoY – Forecast: +3.4% (prev +3.3%)
  3. Final Q1 GDP q/q

Market Impact:- USD
A stronger-than-expected print will support USD strength by reinforcing higher-for-longer Fed policy. A weaker print will weigh on the dollar.

Gold (XAU/USD):
Stronger inflation data typically pressures gold lower (via stronger USD and higher yields). Weaker data is supportive for gold. High volatility expected post-release. Focus on deviation from consensus.

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  • #12
  • Jun 25, 2026 5:11am Jun 25, 2026 5:11am
am expecting the market to move down first before going bullish just waiting for confirmation
  • #13
  • Jun 26, 2026 3:58am Jun 26, 2026 3:58am
Gold – Holding Above Wednesday Low After Positive GDP!
Positive GDP data is raising hopes for a less hawkish Fed → Gold successfully defending support.

Technical Levels:
Hold above 3960 → upside correction or consolidation expected → Immediate resistance 4080–4100
Break & sustain below 3955 → deeper downside move → Targets 3880–3900 range

Bias: Cautious bullish while above 3960. Today's action around 3960 will set the short-term direction.
Your view – bounce to 4100 or breakdown to 3880 first?
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
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  • #14
  • Jun 26, 2026 3:59am Jun 26, 2026 3:59am
Quoting Eltorino18
am expecting the market to move down first before going bullish just waiting for confirmation
On the contrary first i want an upside correction after which i am open to sell.
  • #15
  • Jun 26, 2026 6:38am Jun 26, 2026 6:38am
If I gave 100 traders the exact same entry, stop loss, and take profit, 90 of them would still get different results.
The market isn't the problem. Execution is!
  • #16
  • Jun 29, 12:32am (27 hr ago) Jun 29, 12:32am (27 hr ago)
XAUUSD– Down ~1% Monday After Fresh US-Iran Exchange of Fire!
Saturday night clashes have increased hopes for prolonged conflict rather than quick resolution → safe-haven flows mixed with hawkish Fed expectations.

Technical Outlook:
Immediate resistance: 4100 (even a push to 4150 should be treated as fake buying / sell zone)
Immediate support: 3958 (last week's low) → Break below 3958 → deeper correction toward 3900

Bias: Bearish lean short-term due to rising rate hike chances. Positive employment or softer inflation data could limit downside, but geopolitics keeps volatility elevated.

Your view– rejection at 4100–4150 or breakdown below 3958 first?

Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
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  • #17
  • Jun 29, 3:16am (25 hr ago) Jun 29, 3:16am (25 hr ago)
TODAY'S TIP FOR SELLERS:-
Only when gold 1H candle closes below 4050 we will get selling confirmation. Meaning above that market could go upside also. So position yourself after getting confirmation only and not based on your idea.
  • #18
  • Jun 29, 5:12am (23 hr ago) Jun 29, 5:12am (23 hr ago)
Quoting Tanisha.fx
TODAY'S TIP FOR SELLERS:- Only when gold 1H candle closes below 4050 we will get selling confirmation. Meaning above that market could go upside also. So position yourself after getting confirmation only and not based on your idea.
U say right
  • #19
  • Jun 29, 5:18am (23 hr ago) Jun 29, 5:18am (23 hr ago)
Sell gold between 4050-4055
tp1- 4035
tp2- 4010
tp3- 3980
  • #20
  • Jun 29, 6:27am (21 hr ago) Jun 29, 6:27am (21 hr ago)
EAST VS WEST: WHO DRIVES GOLD NOW?
Western funds often trade Gold based on Fed expectations and US yields.
Asian demand, especially from China, tends to focus on physical ownership, reserve diversification, and long-term value.

This creates an interesting dynamic:
• Higher yields = bearish pressure.
• Central bank buying = long-term support.
• Geopolitical uncertainty = safe-haven demand.

Could the growing influence of Asian demand change the way Gold trades in the future?
Interested in hearing views from traders in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, and other Asian markets.
2 traders viewing now, 1 is registered:
Mr.pawan