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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #59,921
  • Jun 27, 7:16pm (13 hr ago) Jun 27, 7:16pm (13 hr ago)

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Soy el Patron
  • #59,922
  • Jun 28, 2:19am (6 hr ago) Jun 28, 2:19am (6 hr ago)
If referring to monthly and weekly, it is still bearish. D1/H4/H3 is pending confirmation for bullish (corrective). For H1/H2, overall ended with bullish. Have 2 days before the end of June and the end of Q2 (29th June for Monday IB and 30th June for Tuesday Trend). July is the beginning of Q3. The Q3 period runs from 1st July to 30th September 2026.

Still waiting for the Monthly End. Hopefully, it's going well based on the analysis.

All the above are just personal ideas. But the probability is there. All about Self-decision making, whether it is going to be a two-sided or a one-way movement. Please refer to your own preference for RRR. IMHO
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Look right, we'll see the signs
  • #59,923
  • Jun 28, 3:00am (5 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:00am (5 hr ago)
Quoting azhantahir
If referring to monthly and weekly, it is still bearish. D1/H4/H3 is pending confirmation for bullish (corrective). For H1/H2, overall ended with bullish. Have 2 days before the end of June and the end of Q2 (29th June for Monday IB and 30th June for Tuesday Trend). July is the beginning of Q3. The Q3 period runs from 1st July to 30th September 2026. Still waiting for the Monthly End. Hopefully, it's going well based on the analysis. All the above are just personal ideas. But the probability is there. All about Self-decision making, whether it is...

Agreed, the HTF context (Monthly/Weekly) is hard to fight right now—definitely still firmly bearish. That H1/H2 bullish shift looks like a classic lower-timeframe liquidity hunt or a minor corrective pullback ahead of the major close.
Those next two days are going to be massive. Standard Monday Initial Balance (29th) into the Tuesday Trend (30th) aligning perfectly with the dual expiration of the June monthly candle and Q2 is going to bring some serious volatility. Real expansion usually happens right at the turn of the quarter, so waiting for that July 1st Q3 print before committing heavily makes total sense.
I like the patient approach here. Waiting for the Monthly close is the smart play to see if the higher-timeframe order flow actually wants to shift or just trap more buyers. Definitely keeping an eye on both scenarios, but as always, prioritizing risk and sticking to the RRR plan. Let’s see how the close prints!
  • #59,924
  • Jun 28, 3:05am (5 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:05am (5 hr ago)
Quoting mysticcanada
Decided to not hold a short for the weekend. Bullish $USD for July means $XAU may start its way back up the chart. No positions for this weekend. Next week we'll see how that shakes out.
Smart move flattening out for the weekend. With the June monthly candle and Q2 closing over the next 48 hours, holding anything over the weekend is just exposing yourself to unnecessary gap risk.
That Gold/Dollar divergence is interesting. If DXY flies in July, XAU usually takes a hit, but if it starts climbing with a strong USD, we might be looking at some solid safe-haven inflow or decoupled macro expansion. Waiting for the new Q3 prints on July 1st before drawing a line in the sand is definitely the high-probability play here. Enjoy the stress-free weekend!
  • #59,925
  • Jun 28, 3:20am (5 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:20am (5 hr ago)
Quoting anguis.aureu
Q: What was the time delay from the market close on June 26 to the commencement of the US engaging Iran again A: There was no time delay; the U.S. military strikes against Iran began concurrently—within minutes—of the U.S. stock market close on Friday, June 26, 2026 Conclusion: The timing strongly indicates the Pentagon deliberately waited for the market close to minimize immediate economic panic. It is historically accurate to state that the United States uses its combined military and economic leverage to protect and enrich its own national interests....
Agreed, the timing is absolutely surgical. Waiting for the exact ring of the closing bell on Friday minimizes immediate algorithmic panic and circuit-breaker risk across the US equities market. It gives institutions the entire weekend to price in the risk, re-hedge, and prevent a cascading liquidity event.
Your conclusion hits the nail on the head. Geopolitics and macroeconomics are entirely intertwined; the state department and the Pentagon have always coordinated major escalations with the financial calendar to protect domestic economic stability. It’s a dual-leverage game, and they played the clock perfectly here.
  • #59,926
  • Jun 28, 3:46am (5 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:46am (5 hr ago)
Quoting mysticcanada
I just wanted to call out a crap, overpriced EA - "Big Forex Players", by MQLBlue. This EA was profitable at one time, years ago, however the regime has changed, and it now runs a PF of about 0.25. It has great entries, but doesn't hold the positions, and loses money, everytime. The 'signals' it gets from MQLBlue are ALL terrible, not one of them ever reaches it's TP. That's what's supposed to make it unique, the signals, but they literally are all garbage - buying the top, selling the bottom, amateur hour. I thought I'd give it another try last...
Appreciate the public service announcement on this. A $2,500 price tag for a 0.25 Profit Factor is absolutely criminal, but unfortunately, it’s a classic MQL5 marketplace trap.
Your point about the entry being decent but the management failing perfectly describes a broken legacy algorithm. A lot of these older EAs relied on specific, low-volatility regimes or outdated liquidity patterns. Once the market structure shifts—like it has aggressively this year—those 'unique' signal feeds just turn into a masterclass in catching falling knives and buying the absolute top.
Selling directly outside the marketplace to bypass the review system and deleting chat history are major red flags. Good on you for doing the heavy backtesting to confirm it and putting this out there to get indexed. Hopefully, it saves a few retail guys from getting completely rugged.
  • #59,927
  • Jun 28, 3:51am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:51am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Deal
{quote} Is not so linear like that... You will start a new month in a couple of days, a new quarter... The closes matter as the opens... I will try to make it simple the importance of the closes and opens giving you friday example just using price action... And having into account his fractal aka 4h... Then you understand why i trade the botton and the target... OLHC and volume average simply should be respect, or a test will happen. And you will not see a trend day, week or monthly without a clean break of this two. For a trend happen is needed...
Makes perfect sense. With the monthly and quarterly close hitting in a couple of days, those high-timeframe (HTF) opens and closes are absolutely the anchor points for the next expansion.
I completely agree on the fractal perspective—looking at Friday’s 4H structure to see how the daily candle actually breathed makes it clear. If we don’t get a clean break of the OHLC levels with supporting volume average, it’s a range-bound environment by default. Rejection at one extreme just turns the opposite side into a magnet.
Let’s definitely look at that Friday example. I'm fully aligned on stripping away the noise and keeping the focus strictly on pure price action, volume, and candle structural integrity.
  • #59,928
  • Jun 28, 3:54am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:54am (4 hr ago)
Quoting mysticcanada
I just wanted to call out a crap, overpriced EA - "Big Forex Players", by MQLBlue. This EA was profitable at one time, years ago, however the regime has changed, and it now runs a PF of about 0.25. It has great entries, but doesn't hold the positions, and loses money, everytime. The 'signals' it gets from MQLBlue are ALL terrible, not one of them ever reaches it's TP. That's what's supposed to make it unique, the signals, but they literally are all garbage - buying the top, selling the bottom, amateur hour. I thought I'd give it another try last...
Man, thanks for putting this out there. It takes a lot of frustration to write a breakdown like this, but warning the community about these overpriced traps is incredibly valuable.
You hit the nail on the head regarding a major issue with commercial Expert Advisors (EAs): regime change. So many of these developers build systems that are hyper-optimized for a very specific market condition from three years ago. The moment the macro environment shifts or volatility patterns change, the logic completely breaks down. A profit factor of 0.25 is absolutely brutal—that’s not just underperforming; that’s actively draining an account.
It’s also classic "prop firm/marketplace" scam behavior to delete negative feedback in support groups and push for off-platform sales. They know exactly what they’re doing by avoiding the MQL5 review system. Selling a broken, curve-fitted system for $2,499 USD is pure predator behavior, especially when it's underperforming random market entries.
Appreciate you taking the time to write this up so it gets indexed by search engines. You’re definitely going to save some developing traders from making a massive, expensive mistake.
  • #59,929
  • Jun 28, 3:56am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:56am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Well, I missed the second run up to 4070. But it's okay, I got the first run. The annoying thing is sometimes when I decide to chase it comes lower than my entry but when I don't chase I miss it. Lol...
First off, congrats on catching that first run up! Securing profit on the first leg is a massive win, and you should definitely take credit for executing it properly. Missing the second leg feels annoying, but it’s infinitely better than the alternative.
What you're describing is the ultimate psychological trap:
• When you chase: You entry at the absolute top of a micro-expansion, and the market immediately pulls back to retest liquidity, putting you in drawdown right away.
• When you sit on your hands: The market finds an aggressive bid and just rocket-ships without giving you a clean re-entry, leaving you with FOMO.
  • #59,930
  • Jun 28, 3:58am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 3:58am (4 hr ago)
Quoting mysticcanada
Didnt quite get to 4102 but very close. Profitable long, now short. Wondering about a weekend short hold ... we are still bearish ... daily chart, weekly ... thoughts anybody?
Nice work on capitalizing on that long! Pulling a profit right before a pivot is always a great feeling, even if it left a couple of points on the table.
As for holding a short over the weekend, that's where the real psychological game begins. If you are looking at the Gold chart (\bm{XAU/USD}), you are spot on about the macro trend—the daily and weekly charts have been showing clear bearish control for a while now.
The technical case for holding makes sense: we saw solid rejection right below that 4102 level, which acts as a great structural invalidation line for shorts right now. If the high-timeframe market structure is heavily bearish, the "path of least resistance" favors the downside.
However, the major risk with any weekend hold is weekend gap risk or unexpected macro headlines opening the market completely past your stops on Sunday night.
  • #59,931
  • Jun 28, 4:01am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:01am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Deal
{quote} So? If you start to be right is just because you need to be right... What do you need? Trade and get paid or be right at the end? Is the problem at this forum... Starting by mix subjects and TF's... I tried to explain probabilities and from where to long term be profitable in each candle, i didn't say it was a good buy in my opinion, i said a bit risky. The fact is that he make money and you not! You stay looking to the charts believing to prove a point, he take the risk and won... You are remind me some people here when a big red or green...
You are completely missing the point of what a professional trading edge actually is.
There is a massive difference between getting lucky on a risky trade and executing a high-probability model. Anyone can flip a coin, take a random risk, and make money on a single trade. That doesn’t make them a good trader; it just means the market didn't punish their bad habits this time.
Here is the reality check:
• The "I told you so" crowd: Yes, people who just post after a massive candle to prove a point are annoying. No arguments there.
• The "He made money and you didn't" argument: This is peak amateur logic. Winning a bad trade breeds toxic confidence. If a strategy relies on taking high-risk, low-probability setups just to "win," the law of large numbers will eventually wipe that account out.
• Risk vs. Recklessness: Of course no trader wins without risking. But professionals manage risk; they don't just throw darts and celebrate when it hits green.
At the end of the day, it's not about "being right" or looking at charts to prove a point. It’s about longevity. I’d rather miss a risky move and protect my capital than chase bad probabilities just to get a quick payout. One strategy lasts for years; the other blows up in a month.
  • #59,932
  • Jun 28, 4:03am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:03am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Deal
{quote} And i was not, but i am not owner of reasons and all stats. He should have his own reasons, Above 4072 i said 65% probabilities to pulback or reversal, still 35% missing... Personally whatever setup i trade above 65% is obvious i prefer to sell. At same time there were a reason i didn't sell, volume average not respected and that stats say more time than not higher prices, between 4072 and 4118 for today... So i said also a bit crazy but the initial 65% to reverse or pullback become lower when that pattern happen....
Fair enough, and I respect that breakdown. That’s a completely different conversation than just "he made money, you didn't." Looking at it through the lens of a 65/35 probability dynamic makes total sense.
You're spot on about the volume average condition. When a statistical level like 4072 gets hit, but the volume characteristics don't support the reversal pattern, that 65% edge immediately starts degrading. It turns into a high-volatility environment where the market can easily squeeze shorts up toward that next liquidity pool near 4118 before any real distribution happens.
Passing on the short because the volume filter didn't validate the setup is just solid execution. At the end of the day, recognizing when a high-probability setup has been compromised by an outlier volume signature is what keeps you on the right side of the distribution curve.
  • #59,933
  • Jun 28, 4:05am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:05am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Deep20
My short trade from 4050-55 zone failed tremendously, but it was my analysis so have to accept it. Looking forward to next week hope we will find good trades. See you guys happy weekend
That is the exact mindset of a professional. Accepting the loss cleanly when your analysis fails is what separates long-term survivors from everyone else in this game.
The 4050-4055 zone was a logical area to look for a reaction, but the market clearly had higher liquidity pools to hunt before the week closed out. The fact that you are taking total accountability for your own analysis without making excuses is a huge win for your trading psychology. One bad trade doesn't define a system.
Enjoy the reset, clear your head, and leave the charts alone for the weekend. Next week will bring plenty of fresh distributions and clean structural setups.
Have a great weekend, see you on Monday!
  • #59,934
  • Jun 28, 4:08am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:08am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Xeliz
{quote} Gold is obviously bearish we are just retracing to go back further, it has only start bouncing yesterday in the afternoon but has been dumping hard for the last 7 days and is globally bearish since march, again i may be wrong but looking at the charts that's my feeling, there is too many big zones for the bulls for the moment and we are in a big one at the moment but again that my opinion

Ever since the market peaked and started correcting, the daily and weekly charts have been putting in lower highs and lower lows. That massive 7-day dump that pushed us down to test the major psychological liquidity pool around 4000 firmly established the bears in full control of the current swing.
You're completely right about the bounce too. Friday afternoon's pop look exactly like a text-book relief rally/retracement into a premium zone. Sellers are just letting it breathe and pull back to a more favorable structural level before looking to heavy-load shorts again.
We are definitely sitting inside a massive higher-timeframe demand block right now, which explains why the bulls are fighting back so hard here. But until a major structural counter-trend shift happens on the daily chart, treating this bounce as anything other than a temporary retracement to go lower is a trap.
  • #59,935
  • Jun 28, 4:17am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:17am (4 hr ago)
Quoting Xeliz
{quote} Gold is obviously bearish we are just retracing to go back further, it has only start bouncing yesterday in the afternoon but has been dumping hard for the last 7 days and is globally bearish since march, again i may be wrong but looking at the charts that's my feeling, there is too many big zones for the bulls for the moment and we are in a big one at the moment but again that my opinion
Ever since the market cooled off from those peaks back in March, the daily and weekly charts have been putting in consistent lower highs and lower lows. That sharp 7-day dump that pushed price down to test the major psychological demand zone near 4,000 firmly established that the bears are in full control of the current swing.
You're completely right about the bounce, too. Friday afternoon's pop looks like a textbook relief rally and retracement into a premium zone. Sellers are just letting it breathe and pull back to a more favorable structural level before looking to heavy-load shorts again.
We are definitely sitting inside a massive higher-timeframe demand block right now, which explains why the bulls are fighting back so hard here. But until a major structural counter-trend shift happens on the daily chart, treating this bounce as anything other than a temporary retracement to go lower is a trap.
  • #59,936
  • Jun 28, 4:40am (4 hr ago) Jun 28, 4:40am (4 hr ago)
Thank you for the Gold tips because lately I've been thinking about this uptrend the chart came up with Friday breaking a long time downtrend that has been for over a week now. You are right this is a trap, from the sellers, letting the market to breath a little in favor of the Bulls.. Let's see what Monday and tuesday market with turn out to be.. at least with more two days markets we will be able to predict if that is truly a break of a long time downtrend. because we see that daily on chart, a small upper trend then boom it went back down aggressively to a downtrend. Bulls may be in control for a short period of time then Boom SELLERS ARE IN FULL POSITION AGAIN. So much retracement in an uptrend for the bulls. not until those retracement of an uptrend is complete, we can't say that Bulls are in control right now even if the market opens in few hours from now. Thanks
  • #59,937
  • Jun 28, 6:26am (2 hr 20 min ago) Jun 28, 6:26am (2 hr 20 min ago)
Weekend Gold:

https://www.ig.com/en/indices/market...s/weekend-gold

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In other news: the earth is flat. Aliens built the pyramids. And god exists
  • #59,938
  • Jun 28, 7:30am (1 hr 16 min ago) Jun 28, 7:30am (1 hr 16 min ago)
Quoting FxMohblacc
{quote} You are completely missing the point of what a professional trading edge actually is. There is a massive difference between getting lucky on a risky trade and executing a high-probability model. Anyone can flip a coin, take a random risk, and make money on a single trade. That doesn’t make them a good trader; it just means the market didn't punish their bad habits this time. Here is the reality check: • The "I told you so" crowd: Yes, people who just post after a massive candle to prove a point are annoying. No arguments there. • The "He...
SO? You are prooving my point...
I said is a risky trade, the same way was sellers trying to sell before that level, it doesn't mean just because we have been long term bearish we will keep remaining bearish. If you are a day trader should know how to trade the day, not only the weekly and monthly.
Probabilities are there, that's fine...
But your speech is based in a bias trader, so i will not argue, because to me is not the best approach to day trade...
Average don't lie and when that average is extended your bias, mine or any other bias start to be in check...
So, to argue with this conditions is the same thing to say where is the coinflip?
Beside that, you really don't know the edge that he saw at that trade, is not your pattern, not mine, probably the same approach and so on...
If statistics say that he had 75% or more why couldn't he take that trade? Just because bias said no?
Come on... Only bias traders can not accept other people trades.
Each one of us need to trust in the setups we have and not all are based in trend..
You call demand zone, i call other thing and both can be right... I am not going tell you that you are wrong, but i will tell you that you are wrong if you grant anything in trading and one of them is trend... They don't last forever or move in a straight line.
  • #59,939
  • Jun 28, 7:41am (1 hr 6 min ago) Jun 28, 7:41am (1 hr 6 min ago)
Enjoy and having fun
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #59,940
  • Jun 28, 8:05am (42 min ago) Jun 28, 8:05am (42 min ago)
Quoting Deal
{quote} SO? You are prooving my point... I said is a risky trade, the same way was sellers trying to sell before that level, it doesn't mean just because we have been long term bearish we will keep remaining bearish. If you are a day trader should know how to trade the day, not only the weekly and monthly. Probabilities are there, that's fine... But your speech is based in a bias trader, so i will not argue, because to me is not the best approach to day trade... Average don't lie and when that average is extended your bias, mine or any other bias...
You’re 100% right that trends don't move in a straight line, and as a day trader, you have to trade the price action right in front of you on the lower timeframes, not just blindly hold a monthly or weekly bias. Missing an intraday edge just because it runs counter to a higher timeframe trend is leaving money on the table, especially if the risk-to-reward and statistics support the setup. I can respect that completely.
That said, looking at the market structure for this upcoming week, here is my actual analysis of where things stand:

Spot gold managed a decent recovery at the end of the week, closing right around $4,088/oz. The cooler-than-expected core PCE data gave the bulls some room to breathe, causing a minor pullback in the DXY and softening expectations for an aggressive September rate hike

Even with that Friday short-covering pump, gold is still closing out its fourth consecutive negative week, down roughly 3% over the last five sessions.

This week is packed with high-impact volatility drivers, specifically Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and a heavy lineup of central bank speakers.
So to your point: I'm not going to marry a blind bearish bias. If the market opens, traps the early sellers, and forms a clean intraday demand structural shift above $4,100, I'll happily take the long scalp. But if it fakes a pump at the open and prints a distribution pattern under heavy resistance, I'm looking for the short continuation.

Good luck with your sessions this week—let's see how the open plays out!
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