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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #21,461
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:29pm Sep 4, 2007 11:29pm
the price is currently on HK's 50EMA
  • #21,462
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:29pm Sep 4, 2007 11:29pm
Now, digest this fellas...

August 26, 2007


$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks Anybody have a
clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?

The two sales are being referred to by market traders as "bin Laden trades"
because only an event on the scale of 9-11 could make these short-sell
options valuable.

There are 65,000 contracts @ $750.00 for the SPX 700 calls for open
interest. That controls 6.5 million shares at $750 = $4.5 Billion. Not a
single trade. But quite a bit of $$ on a contract that is 700 points away
from current value. No one would buy that deep "in the money" calls. No
reason to. So if they were sold looks like someone betting on massive
dislocation. Lots of very strange option activity that I haven't seen
before.

The entity or individual offering these sales can only make money if the
market drops 30%-50% within the next four weeks. If the market does not
drop, the entity or individual involved stands to lose over $1 billion just
for engaging in these contracts!

Clearly, someone knows something big is going to happen BEFORE the options
expire on Sept. 21.

THEORIES:

The following theories are being discussed widely within the stock and
options markets today regarding the enormous and very unusual activity
reported above and two stories below. Those theories are:

1) A massive terrorist attack is going to take place before Sept. 21 to tank
the markets, OR;

2) China, reeling over losing $10 Billion in bad loans to the sub-prime
mortgage collapse presently taking place, is going to dump US currency and
tank all of Capitalism with a Communist financial revolution. Either
scenario is bad and the clock is ticking. The drop-dead date of these
contracts is September 21. Whatever is going to happen MUST take place
between now and then or the folks involved in these contracts will lose over
$1 billion for having engaged in this activity.

"$1.78 Billion Bet that Stock Markets will crash by third week in September
Anonymous Stock Trader Sells 10K Contracts on EVERY S&P/Y "Strike" Shorts
Stocks "in the money" effectively selling all his SPY holdings for cash up
front without pressuring the market downward.

This is an enormous and dangerous stock option activity. If it goes right,
the guy makes about $2 Billion. If he's wrong, his out of pocket costs for
buying these options will exceed $700 Million!!! The entity who sold these
contracts can only make money if the stock market totally crashes by the
third week in September.

Bear in mind that the last time anyone conducted such large and unusual
stock option trades (like this one) was in the weeks before the attacks of
September 11.

Back then, they bought huge numbers of PUTS on airline stocks in the same
airlines whose planes were involved in the September 11 attacks.

Despite knowing who made these trades, the Securities and Exchange
Commission NEVER revealed who made the unusual trades and no one was ever
publicly identified as being responsible for the trades which made upwards
of $50 million when the attacks happened.

The fact that this latest activity by a single entity gambles on a complete
collapse of the entire market by the third week in September, seems to
indicate someone knows something really huge is in the works and they intend
to profit almost $2 Billion within the next four weeks from whatever
happens! This is really worrisome."

Source: Ticker Forum
  • #21,463
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:33pm Sep 4, 2007 11:33pm
Did price hit 30min. 5sma already?
  • #21,464
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:34pm Sep 4, 2007 11:34pm
Quoting wilson
Now, digest this fellas...

August 26, 2007


$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks Anybody have a
clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?

The two sales are being referred to by market traders as "bin Laden trades"
because only an event on the scale of 9-11 could make these short-sell
options valuable.


Source: Ticker Forum
wow !!
  • #21,465
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:34pm Sep 4, 2007 11:34pm
If I am reading the charts right, we currently have no time frames where the momentums are indicating a retrace.

Is that correct?
  • #21,466
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:36pm Sep 4, 2007 11:36pm
Quoting auslanco
the price is currently on HK's 50EMA

Father A,

Forgive me for I have sinned a grievous sin, but I have changed my ways... and my direction - now I'm short in the nick of time.
  • #21,467
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:40pm Sep 4, 2007 11:40pm
Quoting wilson
Now, digest this fellas...

August 26, 2007


$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks Anybody have a
clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?

T
$4.5 Billion... Isnt that BHP(Australias Biggest company) Quartely profits. It doesn't sound like a big amount at all. One chineese commercials bank already announced that they have 10billion dollar exposure to US Subprime. Also at the same time they announced a 3 billion dollar profits for the last six months.
  • #21,468
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:40pm Sep 4, 2007 11:40pm
could THIS be the start of the MASSIVE FALL

i just hope--coz im short HUGE from that close below 50ema on 1 hr-- (233.57)

i hope that this is THEE rollercoaster ride down

ah well-- hope so
  • #21,469
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:41pm Sep 4, 2007 11:41pm
Quoting markam
If I am reading the charts right, we currently have no time frames where the momentums are indicating a retrace.

Is that correct?
correct.. you will get 5 min and 10 min retraco.. but good momentum to the downside on 30min TF upwards.
  • #21,470
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:42pm Sep 4, 2007 11:42pm
Quoting markam
If I am reading the charts right, we currently have no time frames where the momentums are indicating a retrace.

Is that correct?
It looks that way from here!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #21,471
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:45pm Sep 4, 2007 11:45pm
Quoting auslanco
$4.5 Billion... Isnt that BHP(Australias Biggest company) Quartely profits. It doesn't sound like a big amount at all. One chineese commercials bank already announced that they have 10billion dollar exposure to US Subprime. Also at the same time the announced a 3 billion dollar profits for the last six months.
Guess it's not the amount per se, but it's the expectancy of a catastrophic event taking place. If the Dow starts to fall this few days (according to Hakuna's chart) then who knows eh...might be true...
  • #21,472
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:45pm Sep 4, 2007 11:45pm
Quoting fourxtrader
Father A,

Forgive me for I have sinned a grievous sin, but I have changed my ways... and my direction - now I'm short in the nick of time.
thats great doc.. Hope you got in at a good price. all these silly supports will be broken on the next 4hr bar.
  • #21,473
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:46pm Sep 4, 2007 11:46pm
Quoting rodders
Did price hit 30min. 5sma already?
Look at the 0400GMT candle on the 30M chart. What actually happened was the 5SMA came down to hit price at the beginning of the next candle, which sometimes happens. It's that passing of the baton type move. Not as cut and dried as a regular retrace.

M2B
Attached Image
  • #21,474
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:48pm Sep 4, 2007 11:48pm
Dear All,

I am trying to upload a screenshot of the most recent seel signal on the 15 min stratergy for Aus system.Auslanco or anyone who is well aqauainted with this system,

kindly check if my settins and placement of indicators are correct and if my interpretation of the signal is correct.

My picture insertion skill are rudimentary .so kindly bear with me if there is any prblen with the picture.

http://img72.imageshack.us/img72/375...gnalwi5.th.png
  • #21,475
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:49pm Sep 4, 2007 11:49pm
Thanks a lot!!
  • #21,476
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:49pm Sep 4, 2007 11:49pm
FEED ME!!!
Attached Image
  • #21,477
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:57pm Sep 4, 2007 11:57pm
Looks like i failed misreably to upload or insert a picture in my post.

Can anhyone here kindly explin how to upload a picture so i can get my message across.
many thanks
  • #21,478
  • Sep 4, 2007 11:59pm Sep 4, 2007 11:59pm
Quoting sri
Looks like i failed misreably to upload or insert a picture in my post.

Can anhyone here kindly explin how to upload a picture so i can get my message across.
many thanks
SRI, I NOTICED YOUR CHART EARLIER ON AND IT LOOKS LIKE MINE. WHAT EXACTLY WOULD YOU WANT TO KNOW? PM ME
  • #21,479
  • Sep 5, 2007 12:00am Sep 5, 2007 12:00am
Quoting sri
Looks like i failed misreably to upload or insert a picture in my post.

Can anhyone here kindly explin how to upload a picture so i can get my message across.
many thanks
See where my cursor is in the pic? Click that then hit the browse tab that pops up, find your pic then click upload
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ScreenHunter_04 Sep. 11 23.58.gif Size: 136 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ScreenHunter_05 Sep. 12 00.00.gif Size: 157 KB
  • #21,480
  • Sep 5, 2007 12:04am Sep 5, 2007 12:04am
  •  vrama
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: BE at right place@right time = LUCK | 210 Posts
currently is it a 15min retrace or going for 30min retrace??

thanks
All things are difficult before they are easy.
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