Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Amazon: Record Earnings Are Priced In as the Trend Loses Momentum



Fundamental backdrop
In the first quarter of 2026, Amazon (AMZN on FXOpen) reported a 17% increase in net sales to $181.5 billion. AWS revenue grew by 28% — its fastest pace in 15 quarters — while operating margin reached a record 13.1%. These results provided a solid fundamental foundation for the rally in Amazon shares seen from February through early May.

Now that the positive impact of the quarterly earnings release has likely been fully priced in, the market appears to be shifting its focus towards second-quarter prospects. A key event for the period will be the annual Prime Day sales event, scheduled for June 2026.



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Tesla: Attempted Decline Following a Corrective Trend


The fundamental backdrop surrounding Tesla has been mixed in recent weeks. In the first quarter of 2026, the company exceeded consensus expectations, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.41 versus forecasts of $0.36, while revenue reached $22.38 billion. Gross margin in the automotive segment improved to 19.2%, and the company recorded its largest order backlog in more than two years.

At the same time, corporate developments continue to influence market sentiment. Speculation regarding a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX has intensified following CNBC reports on 27 May that Elon Musk had discussed a combination of the two companies with colleagues. Against this backdrop, JPMorgan removed its long-standing "underweight" rating on 5 June, ending a bearish stance that had been maintained for years.



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NVIDIA: Record Revenue Sustains Interest, but Shares Remain Under Pressure


NVIDIA's revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 surged by 85% to $81.62 billion, marking another record quarter for the company. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.87, exceeding the Wall Street consensus forecast of $1.76. The primary driver of growth remains the data centre segment based on the Blackwell architecture, which accounts for approximately 92% of the company's total revenue.
At the same time, uncertainty surrounding the Chinese market persists. Although small batches of H200 chips intended for Chinese customers received approval from US regulators, the company has yet to recognise any revenue from these shipments. Regulatory considerations therefore remain a key source of caution in investor assessments.


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Dollar Gains Fresh Momentum: Market Assesses the Impact of the NFP Report


The US dollar strengthened against its major counterparts after the release of a robust US labour market report. Non-farm payrolls increased by 172K in May, well above the forecast of 85K, confirming the resilience of the US economy and reducing expectations of an imminent easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Additional support for the greenback comes from rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which continue to boost demand for safe-haven assets.

Investors remain focused on developments in the conflict between Israel and Iran. Over the weekend, both sides exchanged large-scale strikes, leading to a further escalation of tensions in the region. The increase in geopolitical risks is contributing to persistent uncertainty across global financial markets and strengthening demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven currency. Against this backdrop, market attention is gradually shifting towards upcoming US economic releases, which are expected to either confirm or challenge the sustainability of the current bullish momentum in the dollar.



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Euro Stabilises After Sell-Off as Markets Await US CPI and Bank of Canada Meeting


The euro is showing signs of a modest recovery following a sharp decline triggered by a strong US employment report and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Robust Nonfarm Payrolls data confirmed the resilience of the US labour market, allowing the dollar to strengthen against most major peers and reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive policy stance.

Investor attention today will be focused on the release of US inflation data. According to forecasts, annual consumer price growth may accelerate to 4.2% from 3.8% previously, while core inflation is expected to rise to 2.9% from 2.8%. Should the figures exceed expectations, markets may once again reassess the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts, providing additional support for the US dollar.

Another key event will be the Bank of Canada policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, although market participants will be paying close attention to the accompanying statement and policymakers' comments regarding the future path of monetary policy. Any signals pointing towards further easing could weigh on the Canadian dollar and support gains in EUR/CAD.


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Meta Platforms: Strong Earnings Fail to Support the Share Price


Meta's revenue rose by 33% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, reaching $56.3 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $7.31, comfortably ahead of the consensus forecast of $6.67. However, the positive earnings results were overshadowed by other developments.

Alongside the report, the company raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to between $125 billion and $145 billion, which the market interpreted as a signal of potential pressure on free cash flow. Additional pressure on the share price emerged in early June following reports that Meta was considering raising tens of billions of dollars through a new share offering to finance AI infrastructure projects. The company itself dismissed these reports as "pure speculation".


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EUR/USD: ECB Meeting and Interest Rate Expectations


On 11 June, the ECB is holding the second day of its Governing Council meeting. The interest rate decision will be announced at 14:15 CET, followed by a press conference by Christine Lagarde at 14:45 CET. Markets are focused on the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate increase to 2.25%.

The case for further tightening is supported by accelerating inflation in the euro area, driven in part by higher energy prices resulting from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At its 30 April meeting, the ECB paused its policy cycle but indicated that June would be an important point for reassessing the outlook. Labour market resilience and signs of second-round inflation effects have strengthened the arguments in favour of tighter policy. The tone of the press conference could shape market expectations for interest rates through the remainder of the year.


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Sterling at Key Levels as Investors Assess UK Economic Outlook


The British pound is maintaining a cautious tone following a period of elevated volatility, with market participants now focused on key upcoming UK economic data releases. Both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY are consolidating near important technical levels as investors await macroeconomic indicators that could provide clearer signals on the outlook for the UK economy and the Bank of England’s next policy moves.

The main event later this week will be the release of UK GDP data for April. Forecasts suggest the economy may contract by 0.1% month-on-month, following a 0.3% expansion in the previous month. At the same time, figures for industrial production, manufacturing output, construction activity, and the trade balance will also be published. Weaker-than-expected data could reinforce expectations of further Bank of England easing and put additional pressure on sterling, while stronger readings may support the currency and trigger a fresh wave of demand.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.