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Only EURUSD

  • #20,441
  • Jun 5, 2026 1:21am Jun 5, 2026 1:21am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Hands off the button today!
Confusing chart these days. Maybe better to stay away.
  • #20,442
  • Jun 5, 2026 4:23am Jun 5, 2026 4:23am
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #20,443
  • Jun 5, 2026 6:12am Jun 5, 2026 6:12am
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Mindset Secrets for Winning by Mark Minervini.pdf   2.9 MB | 47 downloads

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  • #20,444
  • Jun 5, 2026 7:32am Jun 5, 2026 7:32am
strong US data
  • #20,445
  • Jun 5, 2026 7:33am Jun 5, 2026 7:33am
dx short on fast covering see you underwater
chaos is just unknown order
  • #20,446
  • Jun 5, 2026 9:47am Jun 5, 2026 9:47am
The pair collapsed after the US NFP release, my strategy is only selling below these ma's at the red zone near 1.1600. Probably we'll see a retrace but for now buying is not a good strategy until things calm.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-06-05_17-44-13.png Size: 53 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,447
  • Jun 5, 2026 10:16am Jun 5, 2026 10:16am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The pair collapsed after the US NFP release, my strategy is only selling below these ma's at the red zone near 1.1600. Probably we'll see a retrace but for now buying is not a good strategy until things calm. {image}
Wise decision. Let the dust settle first
  • #20,448
  • Jun 5, 2026 10:19am Jun 5, 2026 10:19am
Daaaamp eet!
  • #20,449
  • Jun 5, 2026 2:31pm Jun 5, 2026 2:31pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The pair collapsed after the US NFP release, my strategy is only selling below these ma's at the red zone near 1.1600. Probably we'll see a retrace but for now buying is not a good strategy until things calm. {image}
finally broke below the range! We have been stuck there since mid May, only sell to me for higher tf!
1.15 1.145 next after retrace
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #20,450
  • Jun 6, 2026 1:28am Jun 6, 2026 1:28am
EUR/USD closed down strong this week after it consolidated below 1.1685 the most of the time before Friday news made it break the 1.1600 psychological number and 1.1576 structural low and then the pair turned aggressively strong ignoring strong support levels towards 1.1500 creating a new low at 1.1517.

For now the bearish trend should stay intact below the 1.1600 round number with the bulls positioning defensive at the 1.1505/00 - 1.1470/82 support zones with the risk if these levels break the pair to break even lower towards 1.1443 low. In case the buyer manage a recovery above the round number at 1.1600 then we'll see more consolidation to well known levels like 1.1645.

Weekly volatility (range) 94 pips

Significant news - US Trade Balance, US CPI, ECB Interest Rate, US PPI, US Initial Jobless Claims & University Michigan Sentiment.


Have a great weekend!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-06-06_08-32-46.png Size: 57 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,451
  • Jun 6, 2026 1:28am Jun 6, 2026 1:28am
Quoting johncen
{quote} finally broke below the range! We have been stuck there since mid May, only sell to me for higher tf! 1.15 1.145 next after retrace
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,452
  • Edited 5:02am Jun 6, 2026 4:51am | Edited 5:02am
i have read the previous posts carefully, and i can not tell if any person is committing to being long or short.

---------------

me? i aint scared to be wrong.. i dont like to be wrong, but i aint scared..

my current position is showing me 189.21 pips below the target price.

https://janicekelly.com/dash

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
  • #20,453
  • Edited 6:08pm Jun 6, 2026 5:29pm | Edited 6:08pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EUR/USD closed down strong this week after it consolidated below 1.1685 the most of the time before Friday news made it break the 1.1600 psychological number and 1.1576 structural low and then the pair turned aggressively strong ignoring strong support levels towards 1.1500 creating a new low at 1.1517.

(a) For now the bearish trend should stay intact below the 1.1600 round number with the bulls positioning defensive at the 1.1505/00 - 1.1470/82 support zones with the risk if these levels break the pair to break even lower towards 1.1443 low. (b)In case the buyer manage a recovery above the round number at 1.1600 then we'll see more consolidation to well known levels like 1.1645.


breakdown: he paints two scenarios (a) where the bears remain in control and (b) the buyers take control.

A) For now the bearish trend should stay intact below the 1.1600 round number

B) In case the buyer manage a recovery above the round number at 1.1600 then we'll see more consolidation to well known levels like 1.1645.
  • #20,454
  • Jun 6, 2026 8:24pm Jun 6, 2026 8:24pm
Quoting JaniceKelly
{quote} breakdown: he paints two scenarios (a) where the bears remain in control and (b) the buyers take control. A) For now the bearish trend should stay intact below the 1.1600 round number B) In case the buyer manage a recovery above the round number at 1.1600 then we'll see more consolidation to well known levels like 1.1645.
Yes it’s called solid analysis and not a prediction. Predictions are not something anyone should base their trading on as they will fail much more often than not. React to what the market does instead and of course there is always more than one scenario that will take place.
Consistency is key
  • #20,455
  • Edited 1:58pm Jun 7, 2026 10:27am | Edited 1:58pm
Quoting GainingBucks
{quote} Yes it’s called solid analysis and not a prediction. Predictions are not something anyone should base their trading on as they will fail much more often than not. React to what the market does instead and of course there is always more than one scenario that will take place.
you must be kidding...
  • #20,456
  • Edited 5:16pm Jun 7, 2026 1:58pm | Edited 5:16pm
now preparing for another week of fun..

the forex market opens for a new week of trading in one hundred minutes.

my dashboard: https://janicekelly.com/dash

legend:

ceiling : yellow line
target: long white line
floor: purple line

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 24 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: txt index.txt   11 KB | 15 downloads
  • #20,457
  • Jun 7, 2026 4:53pm Jun 7, 2026 4:53pm
it may extend the fall, it came from the 1.20, it seems dollar is strong even with all is happening.
  • #20,458
  • Jun 7, 2026 10:23pm Jun 7, 2026 10:23pm
EUR/USD opened down reaching 1.1506 after the open but the round number and oversold conditions had kept it from a drop lower and corrected above. Despite that the trend remaining down targeting a break towards 1.1471/82 zone of support. The 1.1535 high is keeping it down for mow and a move higher can reach 1.1568 pivot if we see the correction extending.

Daily volatility (range) 43 pips


Have a great week!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-06-08_06-06-16.png Size: 44 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,459
  • Edited 11:30pm Jun 7, 2026 10:52pm | Edited 11:30pm
i have been giving a lot of thought about the math that relates to margin usage when trading the eurusd.

to earn one dollar per pip requires approx $230.00 of margin, this is trading 0.10 lots.

so, to earn $1,000.00 per pip, calculate 230 x 1000 = 230,000.00 of margin required. this is trading 100 lots, i think..

----------------------

the first and most important thing that a trader must be able to do is to FIRST CALCULATE WHAT IS YOUR TARGET PRICE.

after you get that, CALCULATE YOUR POTENTIAL DRAWDOWN...

the problem is that neither of these things is really possible to calculate, so this is why people just play whatever and they play probabilities.

i am playing demo, but i am long.

my dashboard: https://janicekelly.com/dash

Inserted Video
  • #20,460
  • Jun 8, 2026 12:05am Jun 8, 2026 12:05am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EUR/USD opened down reaching 1.1506 after the open but the round number and oversold conditions had kept it from a drop lower and corrected above. Despite that the trend remaining down targeting a break towards 1.1471/82 zone of support. The 1.1535 high is keeping it down for mow and a move higher can reach 1.1568 pivot if we see the correction extending. Daily volatility (range) 43 pips Have a great week! 1H {image}
situation in middle east has escalated again might add additional pressure on eu. Even If we get a peace deal, will or should Iran trust it? I would doubt it
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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