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Signals with Moving Averages

  • #9,361
  • Jun 4, 2026 6:08am Jun 4, 2026 6:08am
My yesterday long about to hit Tp
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  • #9,362
  • Jun 4, 2026 6:58am Jun 4, 2026 6:58am
Was totally wrong, not going to make predictions anymore; guess I should shut up for some time.

Beautiful setup with signal and all.

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  • #9,363
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:28am Jun 4, 2026 7:28am
I think we all get it wrong on many occasions. Your system looks as though it works brilliantly.
Whilst reading through each of the pages, I'm still uncertain whether or not I am following it correctly.

That's not through any lack of content and examples though, just me being a numpty, I suspect.
Is my attached example correct for the USDJPY H4 chart? I know that this candle has not completed in my time-zone yet, it is 13:28 hrs here, and my broker is GMT +2.
Thank you.
Pink line is line chart and green is 2 EMA, for clarity.
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  • #9,364
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:36am Jun 4, 2026 7:36am
Quoting Scchplendid
I think we all get it wrong on many occasions. Your system looks as though it works brilliantly. Whilst reading through each of the pages, I'm still uncertain whether or not I am following it correctly. That's not through any lack of content and examples though, just me being a numpty, I suspect. Is my attached example correct for the USDJPY H4 chart? I know that this candle has not completed in my time-zone yet, it is 13:28 hrs here, and my broker is GMT +2. Thank you. Pink line is line chart and green is 2 EMA, for clarity. {image}
Let me check, will be back in a second.
  • #9,365
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:52am Jun 4, 2026 7:52am
Quoting Bakker
{quote} Let me check, will be back in a second.
It's correct but I need to add that it's not the usual double turn on white. This is a "special" one which I used to call "sloppy"; as you can see it tilted slightly up with green bending down from it's previous position - going in the right direction. As said before, it happens usually where the trend is already established.

Not to offend anybody, but you're the first guy I come across who really understand how the system works. Keep it up buddy, you're on the right track.

Check my next post for an addition of an old moving average, EMA(1)Open.
  • #9,366
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:56am Jun 4, 2026 7:56am
Quoting Bakker
{quote} It's correct but I need to add that it's not the usual double turn on white. This is a "special" one which I used to call "sloppy"; as you can see it tilted slightly up with green bending down from it's previous position - going in the right direction. As said before, it happens usually where the trend is already established. Not to offend anybody, but you're the first guy I come across who really understand how the system works. Keep it up buddy, you're on the right track. Check my next post for an addition of an old moving average, EMA(1)Open....
Thank you for confirming. I look forward to the addition too!
  • #9,367
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:57am Jun 4, 2026 7:57am
This is WITH the addition of EMA1open; the blue line. Ignore the written part; just to remind me not to erase it.
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  • #9,368
  • Jun 4, 2026 7:59am Jun 4, 2026 7:59am
This is after black is removed
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  • #9,369
  • Jun 4, 2026 8:49am Jun 4, 2026 8:49am
Okay, you will ask what is the purpose of blue:

Blue's main purpose is to support the turn made by white with one of its own. If blue isn't there you wouldn't know what direction to follow because at the very point where white close after the first turn it can go any way. But with blue (open price) which also came with a turn to join white the picture is clear.

Important to remember that since blue is open price it will, unlike white, not move a bit until the candle closes. See below for explanation:
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  • #9,370
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:14am Jun 4, 2026 9:14am
The same chart as above in post 9368. You will notice there are three exceptions indicated by yellow line. The turn by blue is not from the same level as white BUT it's a special signal - a small-body candle with all colors exiting with sharp turns.

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Summary:

Look for turn in white, check immediately if blue opens next to white's close.
Look where both are coming from, does it make sense and is it coherent with what we're trying to achieve i.e extending the trend.
Manage the pullback, which is a different ball game and a lecture on it's own.
  • #9,371
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:18am Jun 4, 2026 9:18am
Back to trading:

Check position of white and blue. It's pulling back, blue remains.
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  • #9,372
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:21am Jun 4, 2026 9:21am
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You can switch to H1 to check what it's up to.
  • #9,373
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:26am Jun 4, 2026 9:26am
When it becomes clear from smaller TFs that it has changed course you can relax and follow the same procedure down with say H1 or M30.
  • #9,374
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:27am Jun 4, 2026 9:27am
I'm going now to bake a bread
  • #9,375
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:47am Jun 4, 2026 9:47am
If you had switch to H1 immediately after close of H4 you would have noticed that the situation is perfect for a new trade down; check orange lines. Black were H4's lines. See chart
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Why I said perfect also need some explanation, maybe you know what is.

It's a strong move down which will require a next visit to Daily/Weekly.

But now back to bread.
  • #9,376
  • Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm
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  • #9,377
  • Jun 4, 2026 12:13pm Jun 4, 2026 12:13pm
This one is good for down

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  • #9,378
  • Jun 4, 2026 9:57pm Jun 4, 2026 9:57pm
Good morning guys. And there goes weekly with a very nice 3600p overnight after a break at 4474. I caught it but with a trade value of just 20c per pip, 372 instead of 3600
  • #9,379
  • Jun 4, 2026 10:02pm Jun 4, 2026 10:02pm
My trading day in future will start from 13h00. The mornings are too volatile. It really starts to settle only from 18h00.
  • #9,380
  • Jun 4, 2026 10:29pm Jun 4, 2026 10:29pm
I made a quick check after adding EMA Open and it's clear that your best trades of the day come after 12h00. This morning is an exemption.

H1
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