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  • #20,021
  • May 18, 2026 12:41pm May 18, 2026 12:41pm
dxy
If DXY:

  1. Closes H4 above 99.00

→ High chance of continuation toward:

  1. 99.40
  2. 100.00

This would be bearish for EURUSD.

If a rejection from 99.00 occurs:
Possible return toward:

  1. 98.30
  2. 97.80

  1. Meaning:
  2. DXY below 99.00 → leaning EURUSD buy bias
  3. DXY above 99.00 → leaning EURUSD short bias

  1. BUT:
  2. I wouldn't take it as an automatic rule.
  3. EURUSD is still below H4 resistances:

    1. 1.1680
    2. 1.1710

    If:

  4. DXY breaks through 99.00,
  5. and EURUSD stays below 1.1680,
  6. then a EURUSD short starts to become more probable.

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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #20,022
  • May 18, 2026 1:23pm May 18, 2026 1:23pm
my targets are automated and dynamic.. current target is 1618
  • #20,023
  • May 18, 2026 1:51pm May 18, 2026 1:51pm
1623
  • #20,024
  • May 18, 2026 2:36pm May 18, 2026 2:36pm
Trump is moving the market again with his short, headline-style statements.
  • #20,025
  • May 18, 2026 2:48pm May 18, 2026 2:48pm
Quoting PaulsFS
Trump is moving the market again with his short, headline-style statements.
what he said
Never Lose Hope
  • #20,026
  • May 18, 2026 3:31pm May 18, 2026 3:31pm
Quoting Mr.rama
{quote} what he said
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  • #20,027
  • May 18, 2026 4:24pm May 18, 2026 4:24pm
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} that s the beauty of the markets, where one sees a buy ther s another one who sees a sell. In any case, these last two hours are just a shakeout, volumes are fading, trend is bearish. from my point of view, of course. {image}
So true. I don't see 'bears or bulls' but look for who is getting stuffed now. When one candle can wipe out hours of one side or the other that is Big Players with billions carving out a location where they can force retail to panic and cover. They do just the opposite to drive price lower.
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  • #20,028
  • May 18, 2026 4:41pm May 18, 2026 4:41pm
that is true.. if i was doing a reversion to mean and i were selling into a bull trap, someone else might buy into it..

but ultimately, the final bias is either up or down.
  • #20,029
  • May 18, 2026 5:06pm May 18, 2026 5:06pm
Quoting PaulsFS
{quote} {image}
and what does that have to do with trading the eurusd? absolutely nothing.
  • #20,030
  • May 18, 2026 8:59pm May 18, 2026 8:59pm
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Just got into a sell position
  • #20,031
  • May 18, 2026 10:29pm May 18, 2026 10:29pm
The EUR/USD traded back and forth as it found some support at 1.1607/27 yesterday, but for now, the bearish trend remains intact, with sellers positioned higher at the 1.1675-1.1695 resistance zone, which is capping the pair. If support cannot hold, then 1.1600 and 1.1576/65 should be the next bearish targets.

Daily volatility (range) 42 pips


Have a great day!

4H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,032
  • May 18, 2026 11:39pm May 18, 2026 11:39pm
Not sure if we will get another push up from here before further drops
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #20,033
  • May 18, 2026 11:48pm May 18, 2026 11:48pm
Does anyone see EUR/USD possibly rising to 1.1740 - 1.1780 tomorrow or Wednesday, 1.1850 - 1.1900 by the end of this week or early next week, and above 1.2100 within the next 2-3 weeks?
I keep seeing the possibility and can't shake it...
If the Iran war officially blows over and oil drops down to less than $70 per barrel within the next couple weeks.... Could it happen??
I feel like Trump's statement of cancelling today's attack on Iran by the request of the other Middle Eastern national leaders isn't to be taken lightly.
It seems to be a sign of what is to come the next few weeks.
All we need is a day close above 1.1722 and then supporting above 1.1670, and it's on to the moon.
A cheaper dollar is good for America so we get paid more for our exports. This is Trump's goal, to make America a major exporter of every possible asset. So, it's important that the dollar (DXY) goes down from now on. And I feel like Trump will continue to apply unpredictable unconventional methods to achieve these goals. Venezuela and Iran are both viable conquests for this purpose.
Does anybody else here see this?
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #20,034
  • May 18, 2026 11:57pm May 18, 2026 11:57pm
Quoting 7154Superman
Does anyone see EUR/USD possibly rising to 1.1740 - 1.1780 tomorrow or Wednesday, 1.1850 - 1.1900 by the end of this week or early next week, and above 1.2100 within the next 2-3 weeks? I keep seeing the possibility and can't shake it... If the Iran war officially blows over and oil drops down to less than $70 per barrel within the next couple weeks.... Could it happen?? I feel like Trump's statement of cancelling today's attack on Iran by the request of the other Middle Eastern national leaders isn't to be taken lightly. It seems to be a sign of...
Could it happen? Yes anything can happen in FX. But a multi week vertical climb of nearly 500 pips generally requires a massive structural shift in central bank policies meaning the Fed aggressively cutting rates while the ECB hikes them. Right now, the market is pricing in a relatively hawkish Fed due to sticky inflation.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #20,035
  • May 19, 2026 1:03am May 19, 2026 1:03am
Quoting johncen
Not sure if we will get another push up from here before further drops {image}
i ll tell u more buddy, this cluster @~1650 has benn a solid support in April and as u can see what is happening now is a test to confirm the switch S>R. It needs just the right driver then we ll see the capitulation.
(yellow area is the bears stronghold)
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #20,036
  • May 19, 2026 1:36am May 19, 2026 1:36am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Could it happen? Yes anything can happen in FX. But a multi week vertical climb of nearly 500 pips generally requires a massive structural shift in central bank policies meaning the Fed aggressively cutting rates while the ECB hikes them. Right now, the market is pricing in a relatively hawkish Fed due to sticky inflation.
I'm very aware of the dramatic financial policy shift that needs to take place, which, in my opinion, seems to possibly be set up to happen like a surprise event in the near term, the Iran war ending, oil prices going way down, and the new Fed chair aggressively declaring plans to cut interest rates. I'm hearing that's the reason Trump chose him to replace Powell.
And as bearish as the market is right now, after all this sideways activity the last few months, that's excellent liquidity for the market movers to take advantage of to drive EUR/USD price above the bear stronghold around 1.1800 - 1.18500.
The reason why I'm saying all this is to simply put it out there because I can't shake it, and to see if others are also seeing these things shaping up behind the scenes. But I may be completely wrong. And please do always use appropriate risk management.
I am not liable for how you trade based on my assumptions.
Happy trading!
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #20,037
  • May 19, 2026 1:46am May 19, 2026 1:46am
i am in here
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #20,038
  • May 19, 2026 1:57am May 19, 2026 1:57am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} i ll tell u more buddy, this cluster @~1650 has benn a solid support in April and as u can see what is happening now is a test to confirm the switch S>R. It needs just the right driver then we ll see the capitulation. (yellow area is the bears stronghold) {image}
yea as soon as i see a close below 1626 then i will ditch my longs
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #20,039
  • May 19, 2026 2:17am May 19, 2026 2:17am
now i am don for the day
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #20,040
  • May 19, 2026 2:23am May 19, 2026 2:23am
Quoting 7154Superman
Does anyone see EUR/USD possibly rising to 1.1740 - 1.1780 tomorrow or Wednesday, 1.1850 - 1.1900 by the end of this week or early next week, and above 1.2100 within the next 2-3 weeks? I keep seeing the possibility and can't shake it... If the Iran war officially blows over and oil drops down to less than $70 per barrel within the next couple weeks.... Could it happen?? I feel like Trump's statement of cancelling today's attack on Iran by the request of the other Middle Eastern national leaders isn't to be taken lightly. It seems to be a sign of...
unfortunately not at this stage my daily and 4h remain bearish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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