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  • #19,881
  • May 8, 2026 3:43am May 8, 2026 3:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} arriving support zone, maybe good rr to buy given liqudity is now taken. But it is Friday and yesterday closed back below 1743, so I dont know.
bull is trying but nfp today so…. I will probably stay out and wait for next week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,882
  • May 8, 2026 4:43am May 8, 2026 4:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull is trying but nfp today so…. I will probably stay out and wait for next week
What if payrolls suprise the bull? Todays base should be targeted at least. Or else sell above 1.1800 next.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,883
  • May 8, 2026 4:53am May 8, 2026 4:53am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} What if payrolls suprise the bull? Todays base should be targeted at least. Or else sell above 1.1800 next.
daily has put me off buying as we are at strong resistance level. Last could of weeks are basically consolidating but i see a clearee direction to be given shortly. I prefer the downside but time will tell.

stock markets setting new highs while middle east conflicts still going on, i wouldnt touch the stock market now. Just like when gold pushed up from 4xxx to 5600 in a month and you want to stay out of it.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,884
  • May 8, 2026 5:07am May 8, 2026 5:07am
Now that we have done a 'round trip' since the drop from the yesterday's range I suspect at some point big boys will target stops around 1.178 which is rich for harvesting AGAIN AND THEN ATTACK THE LONGS THAT WERE LIFTED ALMOST EFFORTLESSLY THROUGHOUT THE LONDO SESSION THIS MORNING. All the current liquidity to SELL in to is AGAIN TODAY resting under 1.17650.
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  • #19,885
  • Edited 9:12am May 8, 2026 8:52am | Edited 9:12am
Current Levels (My View)
Support

  1. 1.1755 – 1.1757
  2. Followed by 1.1730

Resistance

  1. 1.1780
  2. 1.1800
  3. Upper channel boundary (Upper edge of the channel)
  4. The rising wedge is valid.
  5. Given the proximity to 1.1780, it should not be ignored.

BUT:

  1. We only get a bearish bias after a break of the wedge bottom.
  2. Until then, bulls still have the momentum.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY.png Size: 43 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,886
  • May 8, 2026 9:15am May 8, 2026 9:15am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
I am locking for entry here any one can give me any suggestion {image}
i am don here
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #19,887
  • May 8, 2026 9:30am May 8, 2026 9:30am
97.50 is currently a very important support on the DXY
As long as:

  1. We hold ABOVE 97.50

The following remains valid:

  1. Short-term higher low structure
  2. Compression could breakout to the upside
  3. The recovery scenario is alive

Why is 97.50 important?
It is the:

  1. Local swing low
  2. Bottom of the current compression
  3. Bulls' line of defense after a massive dump

And so far, the market:

  1. Has been unable to print a new low below it
  2. Is merely consolidating

This often means: Absorption prior to a larger move.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,888
  • Edited 10:08am May 8, 2026 9:41am | Edited 10:08am
Which is better to watch: EURUSD at the 1.1780 – 1.1800 level, or DXY at the 97.50 level?

Why the DXY might be a cleaner signal right now

EURUSD at 1.1780:

  1. Already inside a supply zone.
  2. Forming a rising wedge.
  3. But still maintaining bullish momentum.

It could:

  1. Create a fake breakout.
  2. Sweep the highs (liquidity grab).
  3. Keep pushing higher for a little longer.

In short: EURUSD is currently a bit of a "dirty" setup.

DXY 97.50 last line / invalidation level

  1. It is a very clear support.
  2. It is holding the entire recovery structure.
  3. Below this level, sentiment will shift significantly.

Furthermore:

  1. DXY often acts as a "leading" indicator.
  2. EURUSD frequently reacts as a secondary move.

If DXY loses 97.50 EURUSD will likely breakout higher.

Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,889
  • May 8, 2026 10:17am May 8, 2026 10:17am
For now lower tf remain bullish while above 1743 1724 1717.
1724 liquidity taken which pushed the price up again.
daily/weekly close matters!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,890
  • May 8, 2026 10:44am May 8, 2026 10:44am
Quoting johncen
For now lower tf remain bullish while above 1743 1724 1717. 1724 liquidity taken which pushed the price up again. daily/weekly close matters!
A break of 1757 could take us lower near 1700 again.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,891
  • May 8, 2026 10:56am May 8, 2026 10:56am
i can see some buy signals but today is friday ... who knows what trump is going to tweet on weekend so its better to trade on monday
  • #19,892
  • Edited 3:34pm May 8, 2026 3:16pm | Edited 3:34pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} A break of 1757 could take us lower near 1700 again.
unlikely to be the case, a week closed above 1743 is rather significant. I can see potentially 1835 or 1920 if above 1790 1800
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,893
  • May 9, 2026 1:38am May 9, 2026 1:38am
The EUR/USD traded higher at the end of the week. After finding support earlier at 1.1676, it regained the 1.1700 round number and 1.1749 on improved risk sentiment. However, the daily chart needs a strong move above 1.1800 for the bulls to push the pair higher toward 1.1849 and the stronger resistance zone at 1.1900/29.

If 1.1800 or 1.1849 holds and EUR/USD starts dropping, then I expect the pair to retest 1.1749. If that level is not strong enough to trigger another move higher, then the 1.1722/00 zone or 1.1676 could be revisited once again.


Weekly volatility (range) 89 pips

Significant news - US CPI, US PPI, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Retail Sales, US Industrial Production.



Have a great weekend!

Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,894
  • May 10, 2026 4:29pm May 10, 2026 4:29pm
Boom! Imagine how much power and how deep the pockets are of the Forex Market Masters to open up this week with a pullback all the way to the OPEN of the LONDON Session of last Friday taking out every LONG Position from BOTH SESSIONS. Do you still find some level of comfort predicting if the bulls or the bears are in charge? Really, the answer is neither.
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...l?d=1778234819
  • #19,895
  • May 10, 2026 4:34pm May 10, 2026 4:34pm
Quoting Twocans
Boom! Imagine how much power and how deep the pockets are of the Forex Market Masters to open up this week with a pullback all the way to the OPEN of the LONDON Session of last Friday taking out every LONG Position from BOTH SESSIONS. Do you still find some level of comfort predicting if the bulls or the bears are in charge? Really, the answer is neither. {image}
Thats how it’s mostly been for the past month market opens with a gap down (usually but was up once at least as well) and the gaps have filled quickly. We’ll see what happens this time. Seems like the market doesn’t believe in this war anymore and has acted like it’s over for the past month or more now despite several reports of no deals or agreements to end it.
Discipline, Patience & Consistency are key
  • #19,896
  • May 10, 2026 6:20pm May 10, 2026 6:20pm
Inserted Code
Mode: trading enabled
Ask: 1.176810
Bid: 1.176640
balance: 64302.02
profit: 11.80
equity: 64313.82
margin_used: 258.62
margin_free: 64055.20
open_average: 1.175557
takeprofit: 1.177780
pips: 22.227
lots: 0.110
$$/PIP: 1.10
expected_profit: $24.45
pos: -9.700
tc.delay: 0
type: buy
symbol, lots, open, close, profit
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175600, 1.176630, 1.030
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175600, 1.176630, 1.030
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175600, 1.176630, 1.030
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175600, 1.176630, 1.030
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175600, 1.176630, 1.030
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175580, 1.176630, 1.050
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175580, 1.176630, 1.050
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175580, 1.176630, 1.050
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175580, 1.176630, 1.050
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175580, 1.176630, 1.050
EURUSD, 0.010, 1.175230, 1.176630, 1.400
  • #19,897
  • May 10, 2026 9:05pm May 10, 2026 9:05pm
Quoting josip
Which is better to watch: EURUSD at the 1.1780 – 1.1800 level, or DXY at the 97.50 level? Why the DXY might be a cleaner signal right now EURUSD at 1.1780: Already inside a supply zone. Forming a rising wedge. But still maintaining bullish momentum. It could: Create a fake breakout. Sweep the highs (liquidity grab). Keep pushing higher for a little longer. In short: EURUSD is currently a bit of a "dirty" setup. DXY 97.50 last line / invalidation level It is a very clear support. It is holding the entire recovery...
I've been paying attention to your analysis. Very informative and accurate. However your DXY chart and mine are not quite in alignment. So, I'd like to know which broker you're using to get your DXY chart so I can match it? Thanks!
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #19,898
  • May 10, 2026 10:25pm May 10, 2026 10:25pm
Quoting Twocans
Boom! Imagine how much power and how deep the pockets are of the Forex Market Masters to open up this week with a pullback all the way to the OPEN of the LONDON Session of last Friday taking out every LONG Position from BOTH SESSIONS. Do you still find some level of comfort predicting if the bulls or the bears are in charge? Really, the answer is neither. {image}
Honestly this is why I’ve been trying to focus less on predicting direction too early and more on waiting for confirmation after those liquidity grabs. Gold especially can look bullish and bearish within the same session lately. Feels like patience matters more than bias right now.
  • #19,899
  • May 10, 2026 10:32pm May 10, 2026 10:32pm
The EUR/USD opened with a downside gap amid thin liquidity before traders began taking positions. The pair is currently trading with a neutral bias after the 1.1745 level held, preventing a further drop toward the 1.1722/08 and 1.1700 support levels. Resistance at 1.1785/97 and 1.1800 continues to cap any upward movement and it will require a "strong hand" from buyers to push the pair toward the 1.1849 resistance level.



Daily volatility (range) 41 pips



Have a great week!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,900
  • May 11, 2026 12:13am May 11, 2026 12:13am
Quoting AnneKeller
{quote} Honestly this is why I’ve been trying to focus less on predicting direction too early and more on waiting for confirmation after those liquidity grabs. Gold especially can look bullish and bearish within the same session lately. Feels like patience matters more than bias right now.
Yes, 100%. It is much easier and safer to just watch highs and lows play out and take a position in line with the Big Money after they have squeezed all the juice out of one side or the other. Much better R/R than trying to predict. Friday E/U looked like it was ready to go straight up at the close which is exactly what Big Boys want. Two whole sessions from Friday wiped out at the open. Why? They hit every Long STOP and Every small LONG account that was underfunded and over extended. Price may very well break though 'equilibrium' today or it may go back down. Why guess? Sit and wait for them to pick up one side after they clearly 'ring out' all the blood of the other.
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