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Bitcoin trading calls

  • #781
  • May 9, 2026 6:12pm May 9, 2026 6:12pm
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} bro you literally gave me the shivers, from the beginning I've been cringing, I'm losing, the mind is hard to maintain, it's hard to keep face in front of my partner when you explain to her that you're starting everything from scratch for the 200th time, I thought I was alone but maybe I understand that we all go through it and that I'm not alone and it feels good that it's a 'common' process. I must also thank you for having this state of mind of transmission, I think that nothing can pay for that except recognition and respect. I have...
Yeah brotha, its a tough path to choose. Theres a reason why probably 99.9% ultimately fail. Takes so long to get good at this, and cost a lot of money and time!
But the reward at the end is what we have our eyes on, and IT IS a nice reward, though the work is never done until you retire. Its a battle every single day, but for some reason I love it. If you dont love this you should probably do something else.

I think you are trading with too much money though. You should be trading with money you can afford to lose. If you are putting in more than that and its impacting your life, that adds a whole other level of stress to the situation. And that stress can make you have irrational decisions.

You are probably trying to recoup what you lost and then losing even more in a vicious cycle. You will keep losing though until your skills are there, not when you deposit more money. I know its a hard pill to swallow, but if you can over time become a more skilled trader you will eventually get it all back in spades. Might take longer than you ever imagined, but you put in the work it will come eventually. BUT, it is totally dependent on YOU! The market doesnt care how long you have been trading, it is up to you to take control of your trades, emotions, and decisions. Thats a scary thing I know!

If I could go back in time, I would not have deposited the amount of money I routinely did. I would have made myself PROVE that I am a good trader with $100 instead of $1000 or more. Now if you get a strong conviction about a big move and you want to take a swing here and there, I say go for it! It worked for me (eventually), but dont risk more than you can afford to lose or you might end up losing all your money and your girl.

Stay small, very small, until you have PROVEN you can do this for at least a few months, because after the big trade its right back to the daily grind and you gotta be able tk survive in that or you'll lose it all again.
  • #782
  • May 9, 2026 6:33pm May 9, 2026 6:33pm
Added a tight short as I intimated earlier looking for price to do more retracement after retracement of the retracement funny right
I just put that in to put a smile on your face for the weekend

Technically speaking, We have had a strong upmove from 65k to 82.8k then a retracement to 80k.
I feel this retracement is not done and there should be one more downmove even if price will go up some more.
Kind of like an EW abc retracement if the upmove.
This if it plays out should hit about 38.2% around 75k.
Price does not have to travel far against me if this idea does not play out.
Let's see.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #783
  • May 9, 2026 6:52pm May 9, 2026 6:52pm
Quoting Olu
Added a tight short as I intimated earlier looking for price to do more retracement after retracement of the retracement funny right I just put that in to put a smile on your face for the weekend Technically speaking, We have had a strong upmove from 65k to 82.8k then a retracement to 80k. I feel this retracement is not done and there should be one more downmove even if price will go up some more. Kind of like an EW abc retracement if the upmove. This if it plays out should hit about 38.2% around 75k. Price does not have to travel far against...


Now is important spot I think. Will the upmove continue or about to make another leg down. Putting stop at b/e.

Still leaning bullish, letting this play out. It hasn't moved below where CME closed, and while this move up was very uninspiring, it IS the weekend and this might be deceptive weakness.

Regular view looks bearish ( chart 1), but inverted looks bullish (chart 2). You all see this too????
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  • #784
  • May 9, 2026 6:56pm May 9, 2026 6:56pm
Selling not very inspiring either (inverted chart)
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  • #785
  • May 9, 2026 6:59pm May 9, 2026 6:59pm
Quoting Zappa
{quote} Regular view looks bearish ( chart 1), but inverted looks bullish (chart 2). You all see this too????{image} {image}
It is crazy Zappa - bullish and bearish.
I am in a small profit but moving it to b/e for me is a guarantee to exit. The price will get hit if one weekend trader sneezes
So I will leave the stop as is for now.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #786
  • May 9, 2026 7:18pm May 9, 2026 7:18pm
Quoting Zappa
{quote} Yeah brotha, its a tough path to choose. Theres a reason why probably 99.9% ultimately fail. Takes so long to get good at this, and cost a lot of money and time! But the reward at the end is what we have our eyes on, and IT IS a nice reward, though the work is never done until you retire. Its a battle every single day, but for some reason I love it. If you dont love this you should probably do something else. I think you are trading with too much money though. You should be trading with money you can afford to lose. If you are putting in...

Yes, I think the game is worth it.
it's a daily battle that pushes you to surpass yourself and to always have more control over yourself, whatever happens you can only emerge greater after understanding this.
about the risk don't worry about me I've already burned my hands I lost too much at one point (this remains insignificant in the life of a worker) I understood my mistake on the risk I was taking and also the bad areas of trading where I set foot.
Now the only pressure I have is to understand what I'm doing and to prove to myself that I can do it and not limit myself to being good or average everywhere but to finally be able to excel in a field (personal life struggle)
limit of $200 per month in propfirm account I can maintain this rhythm for life it does not impact my quality of life so this stress is eliminated.
actually in this world you are not paid by the hour but by performance.
Of course you might not have deposited as much but your deposits have made you who you are today, they have brought you to the person you are and the lesson you have received.
yes I take care of what I have already acquired and of the person I am with, I take care of them I make sure not to miscalculate it is too precious, the goal is to be present long enough to have a chance to understand.
THANKS
I won't give up.
  • #787
  • May 9, 2026 7:21pm May 9, 2026 7:21pm
Quoting Olu
retracement after retracement of the retracement funny right I just put that in to put a smile on your face for the weekend {image}
well you succeeded
I won't give up.
  • #788
  • May 9, 2026 7:35pm May 9, 2026 7:35pm
on my side have a little divergence who eventually drop de price to 80250 that is below the lilte tl in white and a bit closer to the 79300 level who eventually d'ont support..
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I won't give up.
  • #789
  • May 9, 2026 8:09pm May 9, 2026 8:09pm
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} well you succeeded
Mission accomplished
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #790
  • May 9, 2026 8:36pm May 9, 2026 8:36pm
Bitcoin still maintains a bullish institutional structure, but the trend is starting to show signs of internal pressure.
Latest COT data shows that bullish continuity remains dominant, although transition pressure has increased in recent weeks. Open Interest is moderate and below historical extremes, suggesting participation is still healthy but not in an overheated phase.
Macro conditions continue to support risk assets like BTC through dollar weakness and liquidity expansion, but mixed signals remain in the background.
In short: BTC is still structurally bullish, but the trend is becoming more mature and challenged. Institutions have not abandoned the move yet, but pressure inside the structure is clearly growing.
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  • #791
  • May 10, 2026 1:33am May 10, 2026 1:33am
Quoting Zappa
Hello Mannnnnan, TLs and price action are most important things I watch, with PA being most important. The thing is that teaching and understanding of PA is hard to do. It comes with staring at charts for a couple decades non stop. Its from witnessing and participating in all the battles over the years in markets. I use other tools like retracements and extensions, as well as other clues that are hard to explain. If I tried to explain it probably wouldn't mean anything to you guys. But those are not the most important anyways. The main reason im...
bro hats off you , did a great job
  • #792
  • May 10, 2026 4:56am May 10, 2026 4:56am
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} Yes, I think the game is worth it. it's a daily battle that pushes you to surpass yourself and to always have more control over yourself, whatever happens you can only emerge greater after understanding this. about the risk don't worry about me I've already burned my hands I lost too much at one point (this remains insignificant in the life of a worker) I understood my mistake on the risk I was taking and also the bad areas of trading where I set foot. Now the only pressure I have is to understand what I'm doing and to prove to myself that...
Glad to hear that Magiix
  • #793
  • May 10, 2026 5:32am May 10, 2026 5:32am
Look where I am taking these retracement levels from (chart 1)

Chart 2 shows what else is going on at that spot if btc makes a move there soon.

Target is a little before that at 85,500

Want to see how it looks on way up (if it does head up) before going short, but that spot looks like a good one
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  • #794
  • May 10, 2026 7:31am May 10, 2026 7:31am
Look where I am taking the extensions from.

Got some confluence in same spot as the other things just mentioned.

Bitcoin looking VERY labored at this point trying to head higher. I think if it makes it to 86k it might drop really hard after
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  • #795
  • May 10, 2026 7:38am May 10, 2026 7:38am
Quoting Olu
{quote} It is crazy Zappa - bullish and bearish. I am in a small profit but moving it to b/e for me is a guarantee to exit. The price will get hit if one weekend trader sneezes So I will leave the stop as is for now.
Instead of moving the stop to b/e I closed it for that small profit. Price is now higher than where I closed. Looks like a good decision for now. Price is looking bullish on the 4h. I know it is weekend trading volumes but people can lose money on weekends too. Posting this from my phone so can't put up my updated chart. Will do so as soon as I can
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #796
  • May 10, 2026 8:57am May 10, 2026 8:57am
This is the reason for closing my short.
Check out the 1h chart uploaded
By the way if you need to understand the lines look at the 4h chart.
(1) I initially say a H&S with a neckline break - squint at the chart you will see it as well.
In EW a H&S, however small is usually a 345-abc pattern.
I was expecting the c leg down to be extended because of length of the upmove.
(2) A bounce off the 79.5 produced an incomplete target so I was looking for more downside

Now, the bounce off 79.5k has been very strong. Price has attacked the neckline level and was repelled
On a second attack, price is now pushing through.
I think, barring geopolitical news, which can still happen overnight, this instrument is moving up.
A break below 80.1k will have me scratching my head
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #797
  • May 10, 2026 10:56am May 10, 2026 10:56am
I think we might have something like this coming.
First a jump to 86k, then scary drop to 67/68k, then another big reversal back up. After that some upward rising consolidation, and then the real bull move.

Well its a nice thought anyways.
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  • #798
  • May 10, 2026 10:57am May 10, 2026 10:57am
Kaboom!
Just a chart update.
Check out that poke above the neckline.
Next resistance is the right shoulder of the 'H&S'
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #799
  • May 10, 2026 11:09am May 10, 2026 11:09am
Quoting Olu
Kaboom! Just a chart update. Check out that poke above the neckline. Next resistance is the right shoulder of the 'H&S' {image}
Yeah Olu, im liking this move. Everything going as envisioned so far. Never went against the CME close, picking up momentum, could be a big gap up. Lets see if they can push this thing to 86k quickly if FOMO kicks in. Then once retail rushes in, BAM!!!! hard-core selloff, haha.

Lets see how it goes, dont want to get too far ahead of myself.
  • #800
  • May 10, 2026 11:39am May 10, 2026 11:39am
By the way traders I used Kaboom in my post and Zappa used a BAM!!!!.
Which one you use? At least while we wait for price to move we can find out about one another.
Forgive me, I can be playful sometimes
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
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