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The Swamp

  • #127,621
  • May 5, 2026 11:16am May 5, 2026 11:16am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm supposed to sell gold here 4,584. with a 40$ stop.. tp about 40$. Beta run. {image}
Gold: its dropped better than 1/2 way. we will see.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,622
  • May 5, 2026 11:28am May 5, 2026 11:28am
Quoting Shiham
{quote} The most interesting in your list, there is a JPY pair. Such a haunted currency right now
I was running an ea. I want good, and bad info from it (all is useful). Instead of curve fitting for the best trades. I want to reverse it, not repeat the bad trade signs. That group was a 35% win to loss trade. Meaning it wins a third of the time (losses 2/3). The only way to see how to avoid it. Is the see what it does. I'm curve fitting losers to avoid those.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,623
  • May 5, 2026 12:58pm May 5, 2026 12:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold: its dropped better than 1/2 way. we will see. {image}
this may hurt the gold short.
https://apnews.com/live/donald-trump...tes-05-05-2026 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05...r-trump-hormuz
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,624
  • May 5, 2026 2:30pm May 5, 2026 2:30pm
Quoting micho
buying GBPUSD now at 1.3392
Closing all now at 1.3543
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #127,625
  • May 5, 2026 3:11pm May 5, 2026 3:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
I'm supposed to sell gold here 4,584. with a 40$ stop.. tp about 40$. Beta run. {image}
some profit taken.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,626
  • May 5, 2026 6:16pm May 5, 2026 6:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} some profit taken. {image}
another sell signal.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,627
  • May 5, 2026 7:18pm May 5, 2026 7:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I was running an ea. I want good, and bad info from it (all is useful). Instead of curve fitting for the best trades. I want to reverse it, not repeat the bad trade signs. That group was a 35% win to loss trade. Meaning it wins a third of the time (losses 2/3). The only way to see how to avoid it. Is the see what it does. I'm curve fitting losers to avoid those.
legendary idea.
  • #127,628
  • May 5, 2026 7:27pm May 5, 2026 7:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this may hurt the gold short. https://apnews.com/live/donald-trump...tes-05-05-2026 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05...r-trump-hormuz
nice sharing.
  • #127,629
  • May 5, 2026 7:45pm May 5, 2026 7:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this may hurt the gold short. https://apnews.com/live/donald-trump...tes-05-05-2026 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05...r-trump-hormuz
but gold was struggling to turn up and wasn't smooth until ny session. if mr. trump did open his mouth yesterday for any matter gold and usoil would be
Staggering. news about him firstly appeared before half an hour to end eu session. everything and everybody is the part of same plan
  • #127,630
  • Edited 3:05am May 6, 2026 2:49am | Edited 3:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} just that quick a test. The month and week closed below 98.03. This can be a liquid sweep (Head fake) {image} {image}
the usd is not looking healthy below 98.03. Once the eu passes back above 1.1744.. It can start to support. The eu can rise.
Its acting as R there now. But it never had the usdx to help with that month and week close below. I don't trust 98.03+, plus some other challenges
It may cross above but still range. A day close below usdx 97.55, is likely a break out, along with a eu close above 1.1744
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,631
  • May 6, 2026 3:07am May 6, 2026 3:07am
Quoting Shiham
{quote} but gold was struggling to turn up and wasn't smooth until ny session. if mr. trump did open his mouth yesterday for any matter gold and usoil would be Staggering. news about him firstly appeared before half an hour to end eu session. everything and everybody is the part of same plan
Each time the idiot opens his mouth the usd looks worse. Gold looks better the more he opens his mouth
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,632
  • May 6, 2026 3:32am May 6, 2026 3:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the usd is not looking healthy below 98.03. Once the eu passes back above 1.1744.. It can start to support. The eu can rise. Its acting as R there now. But it never had the usdx to help with that month and week close below. I don't trust 98.03+, plus some other challenges It may cross above but still range. A day close below usdx 97.55, is likely a break out, along with a eu close above 1.1744 {image} {image}
will have to see if we can defend 1.1743 today. No daily closed above since 21 Apr
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,633
  • May 6, 2026 3:39am May 6, 2026 3:39am
Quoting johncen
{quote} will have to see if we can defend 1.1743 today. No daily closed above since 21 Apr
A b/o may get a 2x move. The month week 12h 6 4 2 1 are down. The day has that support. It could go deeper than 2x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,634
  • May 6, 2026 3:47am May 6, 2026 3:47am
Quoting johncen
{quote} will have to see if we can defend 1.1743 today. No daily closed above since 21 Apr
The 1h 2 3 6 12 day wk month are bullish. the 4h bear at 1765. The next 4h closes in 13 min.
+1767 sustained is likely bullish, it may support later
maybe resist some before
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,635
  • May 6, 2026 3:53am May 6, 2026 3:53am
Lets see if its off to the races.. 1744 can support on a retrace too.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,636
  • May 6, 2026 3:58am May 6, 2026 3:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 1h 2 3 6 12 day wk month are bullish. the 4h bear at 1765. The next 4h closes in 13 min. +1767 sustained is likely bullish, it may support later maybe resist some before
my daily is neutural/bearish but my 1h/4h is bullish.

i have been waiting for bear to take down 1445/1455 to confirm 1h turned back to bearish before shorting.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,637
  • May 6, 2026 4:03am May 6, 2026 4:03am
It didn't clear this time. Possible entry maybe 1744 if its supportive. I still think its bullish
1726/27 s 2 area
below not so much
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,638
  • May 6, 2026 4:18am May 6, 2026 4:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the usd is not looking healthy below 98.03. Once the eu passes back above 1.1744.. It can start to support. The eu can rise. Its acting as R there now. But it never had the usdx to help with that month and week close below. I don't trust 98.03+, plus some other challenges It may cross above but still range. A day close below usdx 97.55, is likely a break out, along with a eu close above 1.1744 {image} {image}
The day has 12h to close.
Both missed the b/o slightly. They may retrace and try for the day later, or not. But anyway. There is 12hs until the day closes.. lots can happen between. A retrace to support don't hurt. 1744 or 27 may be supportive.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,639
  • May 6, 2026 4:47am May 6, 2026 4:47am
Quoting johncen
{quote} my daily is neutural/bearish but my 1h/4h is bullish. i have been waiting for bear to take down 1445/1455 to confirm 1h turned back to bearish before shorting.
I have most things saying eu bullish (last month above 1744, and usdx not below 98.03 with a week and month close. . The 12h closed above 1726x and 1744. +1767 is bullish, it didn't make the 12h close. It don't need to retrace because of that miss. I closed the long thinking 1767 may reject enough to get a retrace. Its up over 80 pips today.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,640
  • May 6, 2026 4:55am May 6, 2026 4:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have most things saying eu bullish (last month above 1744, and usdx not below 98.03 with a week and month close. . The 12h closed above 1726x and 1744. +1767 is bullish, it didn't make the 12h close. It don't need to retrace because of that miss. I closed the long thinking 1767 may reject enough to get a retrace. Its up over 80 pips today.
gator April was closed below 1743 on my end.

but agreed that no need to retrace and 1785 doesnt look like a block to bull, 1835 will be in sight again
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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